Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.68
- -1.74 before the first game, -2.42 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.67
- Jan 9 vs DEN · 17 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.63
- Apr 12 vs MIA · 32 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.16
- Last 20 games, vs 0.19 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-2.4 at age 27 in 2025-26 ranks 850th of 924 age-27 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Andre Owens, 2007-08.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Owens 2007-08 | 27 | -2.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Terry Dehere 1998-99 | 27 | -2.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| AJ Price 2012-13 | 26 | -2.2 | -2.3, -2.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Jannero Pargo 2005-06 | 26 | -2.1 | -0.9, -0.9, under 10 games, -2.0, under 10 games | 86 |
| Kevin Burleson 2005-06 | 27 | -1.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Howard Eisley 1998-99 | 26 | -2.0 | -3.1, -1.3, -1.2, -1.1, -1.9 | 85 |
| Damyean Dotson 2020-21 | 27 | -2.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Shane Heal 1996-97 | 26 | -2.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Bryce Drew 2000-01 | 26 | -1.8 | -0.5, -1.0, -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Michael Hawkins 1998-99 | 26 | -2.2 | -1.8, -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Keaton's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Keaton Wallace's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $0.8M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$1.5M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 27.4
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | ATL | 27 | 53 +3 | 10.1 | -2.42 | -1.94 | -0.48 | 850th of 924 |
| 2024-25 | ATL | 26 | 31 | 16.2 | -1.78 | -1.46 | -0.33 | 817th of 1010 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections. It projects no minutes for Keaton Wallace right now, so there is no per-game line.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 16.5 | — |
| Rebounds | 5.7 | — |
| Offensive | 0.6 | — |
| Defensive | 5.0 | — |
| Assists | 7.5 | — |
| Steals | 2.0 | — |
| Blocks | 0.5 | — |
| Turnovers | 2.9 | — |
| 3-pt attempts | 9.4 | — |
| FG attempts | 16.6 | — |
| FT attempts | 2.9 | — |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 38.5% · 31.7% · 75.4% | |
