Aaron Nesmith
Age 27 · 6'5" · 215 lb
Pick #14, 2020 Draft · Rookie 2021 · 342 games · 60 playoff games
DPM · #240 of 521
-0.5Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes 2018-19 | 26 | -0.8 | -0.6, 0.0, -1.0, -0.1, -0.5 | 90 |
| Wayne Ellington 2014-15 | 27 | -0.4 | -2.4, -1.0, +0.1, 0.0, -0.2 | 90 |
| Dorell Wright 2011-12 | 26 | -0.4 | -0.3, -0.3, +0.1, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| Wilson Chandler 2013-14 | 26 | -0.9 | -1.0, under 10 games, -0.6, -0.4, -0.6 | 90 |
| Josh Richardson 2019-20 | 26 | 0.0 | -1.3, -0.3, -0.6, -2.4, under 10 games | 89 |
| Evan Fournier 2018-19 | 26 | -0.4 | +0.2, +0.1, -1.1, -1.7, -2.5 | 89 |
| Quincy Pondexter 2014-15 | 27 | -0.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, -3.0, -1.6, under 10 games | 89 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 2019-20 | 27 | -0.5 | +0.5, -1.3, +1.8, +2.1, +1.8 | 89 |
| Taurean Prince 2020-21 | 27 | -1.0 | -0.4, -1.2, -1.3, -1.6, -1.2 | 89 |
| Linas Kleiza 2011-12 | 27 | -0.6 | -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Aaron's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Aaron Nesmith's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- -0.5DPMDPM Offense 0.0 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:23.8points6.1rebounds3.2assistsP/R/A100.0
- -0.7DPMDPM Offense -0.2 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:19.8points5.6rebounds5.1assistsP/R/A90.6
- -0.7DPMDPM Offense +0.1 Defense -0.8 Per 100 possessions:19.3points7.7rebounds2.7assistsP/R/A90.1
- -0.9DPMDPM Offense 0.0 Defense -0.8 Per 100 possessions:26.1points7.7rebounds2.5assistsP/R/A90.0
- 0.0DPMDPM Offense 0.0 Defense -0.1 Per 100 possessions:23.1points7.1rebounds3.6assistsP/R/A89.4
- +0.2DPMDPM Offense +0.5 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:22.6points6.3rebounds3.7assistsP/R/A88.7
- -0.1DPMDPM Offense +0.4 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:23.6points8.9rebounds3.0assistsP/R/A87.8
- -0.5DPMDPM Offense +0.6 Defense -1.2 Per 100 possessions:27.6points7.9rebounds4.1assistsP/R/A87.7
- -0.4DPMDPM Offense +0.2 Defense -0.7 Per 100 possessions:25.6points8.2rebounds6.0assistsP/R/A87.6
- -0.6DPMDPM Offense -0.4 Defense -0.2 Per 100 possessions:19.1points6.5rebounds6.1assistsP/R/A87.5
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Aaron Nesmith's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $12.3M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $11.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$1.3M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 2.8
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 4.4
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 31.9
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | IND | 27 | 9 | 25.6 | -0.48 | 0.00 | -0.48 | — |
| 2025-26 | IND | 26 | 45 | 29.7 | -0.09 | +0.27 | -0.36 | 434th of 1010 |
| 2024-25 | IND | 25 | 45 +23 | 24.9 | +0.99 | +0.90 | +0.10 | 200th of 1077 |
| 2023-24 | IND | 24 | 72 +17 | 27.7 | -0.23 | +0.15 | -0.38 | 426th of 1185 |
| 2022-23 | IND | 23 | 73 | 24.9 | -1.25 | -0.62 | -0.63 | 633rd of 1100 |
| 2021-22 | BOS | 22 | 52 +15 | 11.0 | -1.25 | -0.95 | -0.30 | 465th of 813 |
| 2020-21 | BOS | 21 | 46 +5 | 14.5 | -2.12 | -1.47 | -0.65 | 448th of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 26.8 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 99.4.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 23.8 | 13.2 |
| Rebounds | 6.1 | 3.4 |
| Offensive | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Defensive | 4.8 | 2.7 |
| Assists | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Blocks | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Turnovers | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 3-pt attempts | 10.8 | 6.0 |
| FG attempts | 18.9 | 10.5 |
| FT attempts | 4.4 | 2.5 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 43.7% · 38.5% · 84.2% | |