Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.16
- +1.33 before the first game, +1.49 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.50
- Nov 8 vs CLE · 19 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.36
- Nov 22 vs WAS · 19 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.15
- Last 20 games, vs 0.18 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+1.5 at age 26 in 2025-26 ranks 160th of 1,010 age-26 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Nikola Mirotic, 2016-17.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Mirotic 2016-17 | 26 | +1.4 | +1.4, +0.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Ersan Ilyasova 2012-13 | 25 | +1.4 | 0.0, +1.3, -1.3, +0.4, +0.6 | 86 |
| Dwight Powell 2017-18 | 26 | +1.8 | +1.9, +1.9, +2.2, +1.1, +1.9 | 86 |
| Pascal Siakam 2019-20 | 26 | +1.3 | +1.7, +2.8, +2.3, +1.7, +2.3 | 85 |
| Al-Farouq Aminu 2015-16 | 25 | +1.2 | +0.5, +1.4, +1.6, +0.5, +0.4 | 85 |
| Christian Wood 2020-21 | 25 | +0.9 | +1.5, +0.5, +0.2, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Brian Cook 2006-07 | 26 | +0.8 | -1.1, -3.1, -3.5, -1.4, -2.2 | 83 |
| Antoine Walker 2001-02 | 25 | +1.2 | +0.2, -1.8, -1.8, -0.9, -1.7 | 83 |
| Lamar Odom 2005-06 | 26 | +2.0 | +1.6, +3.3, +5.0, +4.3, +3.7 | 82 |
| Vladimir Radmanovic 2005-06 | 25 | +0.8 | -1.6, +0.8, -0.3, -1.3, +1.3 | 82 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jalen's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Jalen Smith's seasons, at the same age.
- Yang Hansen POR like his 2020-21 88
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jalen Smith's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $18.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $9.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$9.5M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 2.6
- Projected
- Retires at
- 29.0
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CHI | 26 | 53 | 20.7 | +1.49 | +0.70 | +0.79 | 160th of 1010 |
| 2024-25 | CHI | 25 | 64 | 15.0 | +1.19 | +0.59 | +0.60 | 168th of 1078 |
| 2023-24 | IND | 24 | 61 +7 | 17.2 | -0.71 | -0.08 | -0.63 | 528th of 1185 |
| 2022-23 | IND | 23 | 68 | 18.8 | -1.42 | -0.58 | -0.84 | 648th of 1100 |
| 2021-22 | IND | 22 | 51 | 18.1 | -0.96 | -0.25 | -0.70 | 391st of 813 |
| 2020-21 | PHX | 21 | 27 +6 | 5.8 | -3.07 | -2.38 | -0.68 | 538th of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 22.0 projected minutes and a pace of 95.2.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 23.7 | 10.4 |
| Rebounds | 15.0 | 6.5 |
| Offensive | 4.2 | 1.8 |
| Defensive | 10.8 | 4.7 |
| Assists | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| Steals | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Blocks | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Turnovers | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 3-pt attempts | 9.5 | 4.1 |
| FG attempts | 17.9 | 7.8 |
| FT attempts | 4.8 | 2.1 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 46.0% · 34.6% · 74.6% | |
