Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-2.0 at age 24 in 2025-26 ranks 977th of 1,185 age-24 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Jackson Vroman, 2005-06.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Vroman 2005-06 | 24 | -2.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| Curtis Borchardt 2004-05 | 24 | -1.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Erick Dampier 1998-99 | 23 | -2.2 | -2.6, -2.8, -2.1, -1.8, +0.5 | 89 |
| Nathan Jawai 2009-10 | 23 | -2.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Semih Erden 2010-11 | 24 | -2.0 | -2.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Marshall Plumlee 2016-17 | 24 | -1.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Cole Aldrich 2012-13 | 24 | -1.7 | -0.2, -0.2, 0.0, -0.5, -0.3 | 88 |
| Loren Woods 2002-03 | 24 | -2.3 | -1.1, -2.7, -0.9, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Ryan Stack 1999-00 | 24 | -2.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Rasho Nesterovic 2000-01 | 24 | -1.5 | +0.1, +0.5, +1.0, +1.5, +1.2 | 87 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Ariel's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Ariel Hukporti's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- -1.4DPMDPM Offense -2.7 Defense +1.3 Per 100 possessions:13.2points15.8rebounds2.8assistsP/R/A100.0
- -2.2DPMDPM Offense -2.8 Defense +0.6 Per 100 possessions:15.2points13.7rebounds3.4assistsP/R/A84.9
- -1.4DPMDPM Offense -2.2 Defense +0.8 Per 100 possessions:19.3points11.1rebounds2.5assistsP/R/A84.6
- -1.3DPMDPM Offense -2.4 Defense +1.1 Per 100 possessions:18.0points10.9rebounds2.4assistsP/R/A84.4
- -0.8DPMDPM Offense -1.6 Defense +0.8 Per 100 possessions:15.0points12.7rebounds1.7assistsP/R/A83.7
- -0.7DPMDPM Offense -1.7 Defense +1.1 Per 100 possessions:17.1points17.6rebounds1.7assistsP/R/A83.4
- -1.1DPMDPM Offense -1.6 Defense +0.5 Per 100 possessions:20.6points14.1rebounds1.7assistsP/R/A82.3
- -2.0DPMDPM Offense -3.2 Defense +1.2 Per 100 possessions:17.1points19.1rebounds2.7assistsP/R/A82.1
- -0.9DPMDPM Offense -2.4 Defense +1.5 Per 100 possessions:17.7points12.7rebounds4.5assistsP/R/A81.9
- -1.2DPMDPM Offense -1.7 Defense +0.5 Per 100 possessions:22.0points15.0rebounds2.3assistsP/R/A81.7
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Ariel Hukporti's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $0.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $3.2M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$3.0M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 0.5
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 2.6
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 27.1
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NYK | 24 | 54 +10 | 9.2 | -2.03 | -2.94 | +0.90 | 977th of 1185 |
| 2024-25 | NYK | 23 | 25 +3 | 8.7 | -2.60 | -3.32 | +0.72 | 985th of 1100 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 11.7 projected minutes and a pace of 100.4.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 13.2 | 3.2 |
| Rebounds | 15.8 | 3.9 |
| Offensive | 5.9 | 1.4 |
| Defensive | 9.9 | 2.4 |
| Assists | 2.8 | 0.7 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| Blocks | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| Turnovers | 2.8 | 0.7 |
| 3-pt attempts | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| FG attempts | 9.3 | 2.3 |
| FT attempts | 4.1 | 1.0 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 57.8% · 29.5% · 61.1% | |









