Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Evans 2018-19 | 21 | -2.7 | -2.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Lance Stephenson 2011-12 | 21 | -2.8 | +0.5, +0.8, -2.4, -1.7, -1.5 | 88 |
| JaKarr Sampson 2014-15 | 22 | -2.4 | -3.4, under 10 games, -2.3, under 10 games, -0.6 | 88 |
| Quincy Lewis 1999-00 | 22 | -2.8 | -2.0, -1.5, under 10 games, -2.6, under 10 games | 87 |
| Mario Hezonja 2016-17 | 22 | -2.7 | -0.7, -1.4, -2.3, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Hamidou Diallo 2019-20 | 22 | -2.0 | -2.3, -1.1, -0.3, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| DaJuan Summers 2009-10 | 22 | -2.6 | -3.0, -2.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Jake Layman 2016-17 | 23 | -2.8 | -1.6, -0.8, -0.6, -0.1, -0.8 | 87 |
| Darius Morris 2013-14 | 23 | -2.6 | -3.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Khyri Thomas 2018-19 | 22 | -2.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Rayan's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Rayan Rupert's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- -2.6DPMDPM Offense -2.1 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:16.2points8.1rebounds2.8assistsP/R/A100.0
- -2.6DPMDPM Offense -2.0 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:15.9points8.9rebounds3.4assistsP/R/A93.2
- -2.5DPMDPM Offense -2.0 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:18.3points8.8rebounds3.1assistsP/R/A92.4
- -2.5DPMDPM Offense -1.9 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:17.6points9.3rebounds4.8assistsP/R/A91.1
- -2.5DPMDPM Offense -1.9 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:16.9points7.5rebounds2.9assistsP/R/A90.9
- -2.3DPMDPM Offense -1.7 Defense -0.7 Per 100 possessions:17.4points8.3rebounds3.7assistsP/R/A90.7
- -2.4DPMDPM Offense -1.6 Defense -0.8 Per 100 possessions:17.9points5.3rebounds4.1assistsP/R/A90.3
- -2.6DPMDPM Offense -1.9 Defense -0.7 Per 100 possessions:16.9points10.1rebounds2.9assistsP/R/A90.3
- -2.5DPMDPM Offense -1.8 Defense -0.7 Per 100 possessions:18.2points6.0rebounds5.2assistsP/R/A90.2
- -2.6DPMDPM Offense -2.2 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:18.7points10.6rebounds2.3assistsP/R/A90.1
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Rayan Rupert's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$2.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$3.8M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 0.0
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 0.9
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 23.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | PHI | 22 | 0 | — | -2.59 | -2.04 | -0.56 | — |
| 2025-26 | MEM | 21 | 64 | 16.8 | -3.14 | -2.41 | -0.73 | 543rd of 571 |
| 2024-25 | POR | 20 | 52 | 8.8 | -3.50 | -2.63 | -0.87 | 341st of 354 |
| 2023-24 | POR | 19 | 39 | 16.2 | -2.69 | -2.11 | -0.58 | 90th of 109 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 1.7 projected minutes and a pace of 101.3.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 16.2 | 0.6 |
| Rebounds | 8.1 | 0.3 |
| Offensive | 2.1 | 0.1 |
| Defensive | 6.0 | 0.2 |
| Assists | 2.8 | 0.1 |
| Steals | 2.3 | 0.1 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 2.3 | 0.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.7 | 0.2 |
| FG attempts | 13.6 | 0.5 |
| FT attempts | 2.8 | 0.1 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 41.6% · 33.8% · 77.1% | |









