AJ Johnson
Age 21 · 6'5" · 160 lb
Pick #23, 2024 Draft · Rookie 2025 · 77 games
DPM · #510 of 519
-3.3Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Rush 2002-03 | 22 | -2.9 | -1.4, -2.6, -2.6, under 10 games, -1.7 | 90 |
| Anfernee Simons 2019-20 | 21 | -3.1 | -1.4, -0.6, -1.3, -0.7, -0.7 | 88 |
| Darius Morris 2012-13 | 22 | -2.8 | -2.6, -3.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Cassius Stanley 2020-21 | 21 | -3.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Ben McLemore 2013-14 | 21 | -2.7 | -0.8, -0.4, -0.8, -2.7, -1.4 | 88 |
| Tyler Dorsey 2017-18 | 22 | -2.7 | -2.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Frank Jackson 2019-20 | 22 | -2.7 | -0.9, -1.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Lance Stephenson 2011-12 | 21 | -2.8 | +0.5, +0.8, -2.4, -1.7, -1.5 | 86 |
| Antoine Wright 2005-06 | 22 | -3.7 | -2.7, -2.8, -1.0, -1.2, under 10 games | 86 |
| Luke Babbitt 2010-11 | 21 | -3.8 | -1.8, -2.2, -1.0, -0.3, -1.4 | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to AJ's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to AJ Johnson's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- -3.3DPMDPM Offense -1.9 Defense -1.4 Per 100 possessions:20.2points5.4rebounds4.6assistsP/R/A100.0
- -2.8DPMDPM Offense -1.8 Defense -1.0 Per 100 possessions:18.9points5.8rebounds3.5assistsP/R/A90.0
- -2.9DPMDPM Offense -2.0 Defense -1.0 Per 100 possessions:17.0points5.8rebounds5.0assistsP/R/A89.7
- -3.1DPMDPM Offense -1.8 Defense -1.3 Per 100 possessions:20.3points8.7rebounds6.5assistsP/R/A88.4
- -2.7DPMDPM Offense -1.7 Defense -1.0 Per 100 possessions:18.0points4.7rebounds3.1assistsP/R/A87.1
- -3.5DPMDPM Offense -2.1 Defense -1.3 Per 100 possessions:26.0points8.6rebounds3.6assistsP/R/A86.6
- -3.3DPMDPM Offense -1.6 Defense -1.7 Per 100 possessions:22.3points5.8rebounds3.1assistsP/R/A86.1
- -2.8DPMDPM Offense -1.0 Defense -1.8 Per 100 possessions:24.5points5.2rebounds4.1assistsP/R/A85.2
- -2.7DPMDPM Offense -2.1 Defense -0.7 Per 100 possessions:18.3points5.2rebounds6.4assistsP/R/A84.6
- -3.3DPMDPM Offense -1.9 Defense -1.3 Per 100 possessions:27.5points4.7rebounds7.6assistsP/R/A84.4
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against AJ Johnson's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$2.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $3.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$5.6M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 0.0
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 0.8
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 22.7
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | NOP | 21 | 0 | — | -3.32 | -1.95 | -1.37 | — |
| 2025-26 | DAL | 21 | 48 | 9.4 | -3.23 | -1.97 | -1.27 | 546th of 571 |
| 2024-25 | WAS | 20 | 29 | 22.0 | -3.35 | -2.24 | -1.11 | 335th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 1.4 projected minutes and a pace of 100.9.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20.2 | 0.6 |
| Rebounds | 5.4 | 0.2 |
| Offensive | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| Defensive | 4.1 | 0.1 |
| Assists | 4.6 | 0.1 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 3.1 | 0.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 5.6 | 0.2 |
| FG attempts | 17.7 | 0.5 |
| FT attempts | 4.6 | 0.1 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 41.0% · 32.0% · 78.3% | |