Keaton Wagler Profile

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Kevin Porter Jr. 2019-20	19	-2.2	-1.9, -0.9, -0.1, under 10 games, 0.0	73
Shaun Livingston 2004-05	19	-1.7	-1.4, -0.8, under 10 games, -1.6, +0.2	71
Isaac Okoro 2020-21	20	-2.4	-0.1, +0.2, -0.1, +0.2, -1.8	71
Lou Williams 2005-06	19	-2.2	-1.2, -0.3, -0.2, 0.0, -0.4	71
Patrick Williams 2020-21	19	-2.0	-1.9, -1.2, -0.4, -1.4, -2.5	71
CJ Miles 2005-06	19	-2.4	-2.5, +0.1, -0.7, -0.1, +0.4	70
Kira Lewis Jr. 2020-21	20	-1.5	-2.2, -0.2, -2.1, under 10 games, under 10 games	70
Troy Brown Jr. 2018-19	19	-1.8	-1.6, -0.5, -0.6, -0.7, -2.1	70
Ricky Davis 1998-99	19	-2.6	-1.0, under 10 games, -0.8, -2.1, -1.0	70
Jamal Murray 2016-17	20	-1.6	+0.2, +0.6, +2.3, +2.1, under 10 games	70

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Keaton's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to Keaton Wagler's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

1 Keaton Wagler LAC Self

-1.2DPMDPM Offense -0.7 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:22.0points6.2rebounds6.5assistsP/R/A
100.0
2 Egor Dëmin BKN ↗

-1.8DPMDPM Offense -1.5 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:20.9points5.8rebounds6.6assistsP/R/A
89.4
3 Jase Richardson ORL ↗

-1.6DPMDPM Offense -0.9 Defense -0.7 Per 100 possessions:18.0points5.7rebounds6.3assistsP/R/A
88.6
4 Liam McNeeley CHA ↗

-1.5DPMDPM Offense -0.8 Defense -0.7 Per 100 possessions:20.9points8.6rebounds3.6assistsP/R/A
88.4
5 Tyrese Proctor CLE ↗

-0.7DPMDPM Offense -0.3 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:20.5points5.8rebounds6.5assistsP/R/A
87.7
6 Brayden Burries MIL ↗

-1.7DPMDPM Offense -1.2 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:24.9points7.4rebounds5.9assistsP/R/A
87.4
7 VJ Edgecombe PHI ↗

-0.6DPMDPM Offense -0.3 Defense -0.2 Per 100 possessions:23.2points7.8rebounds5.7assistsP/R/A
86.2
8 Bilal Coulibaly WAS ↗

-1.5DPMDPM Offense -1.0 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:21.6points7.0rebounds4.5assistsP/R/A
85.7
9 Sergio de Larrea DAL ↗

-1.9DPMDPM Offense -1.4 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:17.2points5.9rebounds8.2assistsP/R/A
85.4
10 Noah Clowney BKN ↗

-1.3DPMDPM Offense -0.7 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:21.9points8.2rebounds2.8assistsP/R/A
85.3

How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Keaton Wagler's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: -$0.5M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $9.1M; Actual
Surplus: -$9.6M; Value minus salary
WARP: 1.0; Wins above replacement
Seasons left: 8.4; Projected, within 15
Retires at: 28.1; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Keaton Wagler, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2026-27 so far	LAC	19	1	28.9	-2.08	-1.44	-0.64	—

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 19.2 projected minutes and a pace of 99.5.

Keaton Wagler, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	22.0	8.7
Rebounds	6.2	2.5
Offensive	1.4	0.6
Defensive	4.8	1.9
Assists	6.5	2.6
Steals	1.9	0.8
Blocks	0.6	0.2
Turnovers	2.6	1.0
3-pt attempts	11.4	4.5
FG attempts	18.3	7.3
FT attempts	4.4	1.7
FG% · 3P% · FT%	40.6% · 33.6% · 79.7%