Julius Randle
Age 31 · 6'9" · 250 lb · USA
Pick #7, 2014 Draft · Rookie 2015 · 796 games · 42 playoff games
DPM · #167 of 522
+0.3Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Jackson 2009-10 | 32 | +0.1 | -0.9, -0.8, -1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Richard Hamilton 2009-10 | 32 | -0.2 | -1.5, -1.7, -3.3, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Goran Dragic 2017-18 | 31 | +0.7 | +0.4, +1.6, -0.1, -1.4, -2.5 | 85 |
| Derrick Rose 2020-21 | 32 | +0.4 | +0.6, -1.7, -3.4, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Al Harrington 2011-12 | 32 | +0.1 | -0.8, -0.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Ruben Patterson 2006-07 | 31 | +0.8 | 0.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Luis Scola 2011-12 | 31 | +0.1 | -0.8, -2.8, -1.7, -2.6, -2.8 | 82 |
| Tracy McGrady 2010-11 | 31 | +0.1 | -0.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Bob Sura 2004-05 | 32 | 0.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Bobby Jackson 2004-05 | 32 | +0.3 | +0.8, -0.5, -0.5, -1.4, under 10 games | 82 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Julius's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Julius Randle's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- +0.3DPMDPM Offense +0.7 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:28.9points10.1rebounds7.3assistsP/R/A100.0
- +0.4DPMDPM Offense +0.7 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:29.2points8.0rebounds5.7assistsP/R/A87.2
- 0.0DPMDPM Offense +0.7 Defense -0.7 Per 100 possessions:25.8points8.6rebounds10.4assistsP/R/A83.9
- +1.2DPMDPM Offense +1.7 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:32.1points9.5rebounds5.8assistsP/R/A83.2
- +0.6DPMDPM Offense +1.0 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:27.7points5.6rebounds6.5assistsP/R/A83.2
- +0.6DPMDPM Offense +0.9 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:29.4points5.7rebounds5.4assistsP/R/A82.1
- +0.2DPMDPM Offense +0.8 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:29.5points5.9rebounds7.7assistsP/R/A81.7
- -0.3DPMDPM Offense +0.8 Defense -1.1 Per 100 possessions:26.2points9.5rebounds4.7assistsP/R/A80.4
- +0.4DPMDPM Offense +0.2 Defense +0.3 Per 100 possessions:22.8points6.1rebounds7.7assistsP/R/A80.1
- +0.6DPMDPM Offense +1.6 Defense -1.0 Per 100 possessions:29.4points10.6rebounds4.5assistsP/R/A80.1
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Julius Randle's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $22.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $33.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$11.2M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 4.9
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 3.9
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 36.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | BKN | 31 | 7 | 34.2 | +0.24 | +0.69 | -0.44 | — |
| 2025-26 | MIN | 31 | 79 +12 | 33.0 | +0.39 | +0.86 | -0.47 | 221st of 616 |
| 2024-25 | MIN | 30 | 69 +15 | 32.3 | +0.48 | +1.08 | -0.60 | 240th of 697 |
| 2023-24 | NYK | 29 | 46 | 35.4 | +1.96 | +2.35 | -0.39 | 113th of 774 |
| 2022-23 | NYK | 28 | 77 +10 | 35.5 | +0.50 | +1.90 | -1.40 | 284th of 858 |
| 2021-22 | NYK | 27 | 72 | 35.3 | -0.78 | +0.16 | -0.94 | 564th of 924 |
| 2020-21 | NYK | 26 | 71 +5 | 37.6 | +0.75 | +1.21 | -0.47 | 262nd of 1010 |
| 2019-20 | NYK | 25 | 64 | 32.5 | -0.85 | +0.27 | -1.12 | 616th of 1077 |
| 2018-19 | NOP | 24 | 73 | 30.6 | -0.47 | +1.05 | -1.53 | 505th of 1185 |
| 2017-18 | LAL | 23 | 82 | 26.7 | -1.26 | +0.21 | -1.47 | 637th of 1100 |
| 2016-17 | LAL | 22 | 74 | 28.8 | -3.48 | -1.48 | -2.00 | 794th of 813 |
| 2015-16 | LAL | 21 | 81 | 28.2 | -3.59 | -1.66 | -1.93 | 559th of 571 |
| 2014-15 | LAL | 20 | 1 | 13.6 | -1.43 | -0.94 | -0.49 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 33.5 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 97.9.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 28.9 | 19.8 |
| Rebounds | 10.1 | 6.9 |
| Offensive | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| Defensive | 7.5 | 5.1 |
| Assists | 7.3 | 5.0 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 4.3 | 3.0 |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.8 | 4.6 |
| FG attempts | 21.4 | 14.6 |
| FT attempts | 9.0 | 6.1 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 46.2% · 32.9% · 78.8% | |