Buddy Hield
Age 33 · 6'4" · 220 lb · Bahamas
Pick #6, 2016 Draft · Rookie 2017 · 766 games · 18 playoff games
DPM · #300 of 519
-1.1Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wayne Ellington 2020-21 | 33 | -0.4 | -0.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Al Harrington 2013-14 | 34 | -0.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Eric Piatkowski 2003-04 | 33 | -0.3 | -0.2, -0.9, -2.5, -3.8, under 10 games | 88 |
| Trevor Ariza 2018-19 | 33 | -0.9 | -0.7, -0.4, -1.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Marco Belinelli 2019-20 | 34 | -1.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Stephen Jackson 2011-12 | 34 | -0.8 | -1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Mike Miller 2013-14 | 34 | -0.8 | -2.5, -3.7, -3.9, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Jeff Green 2019-20 | 34 | -1.2 | -1.0, -1.4, -3.6, -3.5, -4.1 | 87 |
| Anthony Peeler 2003-04 | 34 | -0.9 | -2.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Walt Williams 2002-03 | 33 | -0.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Buddy's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Buddy Hield's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- -1.1DPMDPM Offense -0.9 Defense -0.2 Per 100 possessions:21.2points6.5rebounds4.8assistsP/R/A100.0
- -0.6DPMDPM Offense -0.8 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:20.9points6.3rebounds5.3assistsP/R/A92.6
- -0.8DPMDPM Offense -0.9 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:17.4points5.2rebounds4.2assistsP/R/A90.8
- -1.5DPMDPM Offense -0.9 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:18.0points6.4rebounds3.2assistsP/R/A89.0
- -1.5DPMDPM Offense -1.6 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:18.3points8.0rebounds4.1assistsP/R/A88.9
- -1.2DPMDPM Offense -0.6 Defense -0.7 Per 100 possessions:22.0points6.7rebounds2.5assistsP/R/A88.5
- -0.7DPMDPM Offense -0.8 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:16.4points5.2rebounds5.8assistsP/R/A86.9
- -0.7DPMDPM Offense -0.6 Defense 0.0 Per 100 possessions:24.7points7.1rebounds3.7assistsP/R/A86.0
- -1.0DPMDPM Offense -0.7 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:24.6points5.7rebounds3.2assistsP/R/A85.0
- -1.8DPMDPM Offense -1.3 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:20.9points7.4rebounds6.0assistsP/R/A83.3
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Buddy Hield's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $3.9M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $9.1M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$5.2M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 0.5
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 0.7
- Projected
- Retires at
- 34.5
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | CHI | 33 | 1 | 13.7 | -0.70 | -0.44 | -0.26 | — |
| 2025-26 | ATL | 33 | 51 +2 | 16.1 | -0.60 | -0.23 | -0.37 | 199th of 405 |
| 2024-25 | GSW | 32 | 82 +12 | 22.7 | -0.36 | +0.06 | -0.42 | 240th of 530 |
| 2023-24 | PHI | 31 | 84 +4 | 25.7 | +0.07 | +0.62 | -0.55 | 244th of 616 |
| 2022-23 | IND | 30 | 80 | 31.0 | +0.32 | +1.13 | -0.81 | 258th of 697 |
| 2021-22 | IND | 29 | 81 | 30.8 | -0.13 | +1.10 | -1.23 | 368th of 774 |
| 2020-21 | SAC | 28 | 71 | 34.3 | -0.01 | +1.15 | -1.17 | 377th of 858 |
| 2019-20 | SAC | 27 | 72 | 30.8 | -0.08 | +1.04 | -1.12 | 403rd of 924 |
| 2018-19 | SAC | 26 | 82 | 31.9 | +0.56 | +1.42 | -0.86 | 295th of 1010 |
| 2017-18 | SAC | 25 | 80 | 25.3 | -0.04 | +0.34 | -0.38 | 384th of 1077 |
| 2016-17 | SAC | 24 | 82 | 23.0 | -1.04 | +0.01 | -1.05 | 677th of 1185 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 7.4 projected minutes and a pace of 101.7.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 21.2 | 3.3 |
| Rebounds | 6.5 | 1.0 |
| Offensive | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| Defensive | 5.2 | 0.8 |
| Assists | 4.8 | 0.8 |
| Steals | 1.9 | 0.3 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 2.7 | 0.4 |
| 3-pt attempts | 11.8 | 1.9 |
| FG attempts | 17.4 | 2.7 |
| FT attempts | 2.2 | 0.3 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 41.9% · 37.8% · 81.5% | |