Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.22
- -1.96 before the first game, -0.74 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.41
- Feb 9 vs PHI · 25 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.24
- Feb 20 vs DEN · 25 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.11
- Last 20 games, vs 0.09 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.7 at age 32 in 2025-26 ranks 272nd of 530 age-32 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Lamond Murray, 2004-05.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamond Murray 2004-05 | 32 | -0.1 | -2.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Jeff Green 2017-18 | 31 | -0.7 | -1.2, -1.2, -0.9, -1.2, -4.2 | 86 |
| Antoine Walker 2007-08 | 31 | -1.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Leandro Barbosa 2013-14 | 31 | -0.8 | -2.0, -1.6, -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Alan Anderson 2014-15 | 32 | -1.0 | -1.3, -3.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Roger Mason Jr. 2011-12 | 31 | -0.5 | -1.0, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Willie Green 2012-13 | 31 | -1.4 | -1.5, -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Gerald Green 2017-18 | 32 | -1.3 | -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Wesley Matthews 2018-19 | 32 | -1.1 | -0.3, -0.7, -0.6, -1.6, -3.0 | 84 |
| Mike Scott 2019-20 | 32 | -0.4 | -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jerami's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Jerami Grant's seasons, at the same age.
- Quentin Grimes PHI like his 2019-20 90
- Noah Penda ORL like his 2014-15 87
- Patrick Baldwin Jr. SAC like his 2016-17 87
- Collin Sexton CHI like his 2020-21 85
- Kris Murray POR like his 2018-19 83
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jerami Grant's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $9.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $32.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$22.8M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.4
- Projected
- Retires at
- 32.8
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | POR | 32 | 57 +5 | 29.7 | -0.74 | -0.45 | -0.28 | 272nd of 530 |
| 2024-25 | POR | 31 | 47 | 32.4 | -1.96 | -1.33 | -0.62 | 497th of 616 |
| 2023-24 | POR | 30 | 54 | 33.9 | -1.69 | -0.42 | -1.27 | 546th of 697 |
| 2022-23 | POR | 29 | 63 | 35.6 | -0.25 | +0.36 | -0.61 | 380th of 774 |
| 2021-22 | DET | 28 | 47 | 31.9 | -0.79 | -0.61 | -0.18 | 521st of 858 |
| 2020-21 | DET | 27 | 54 | 33.9 | -0.59 | -0.08 | -0.51 | 498th of 924 |
| 2019-20 | DEN | 26 | 71 +19 | 26.6 | -0.90 | -0.55 | -0.35 | 614th of 1010 |
| 2018-19 | OKC | 25 | 80 +5 | 32.6 | +0.45 | -0.82 | +1.27 | 280th of 1078 |
| 2017-18 | OKC | 24 | 81 +6 | 20.3 | -1.00 | -1.24 | +0.25 | 632nd of 1185 |
| 2016-17 | OKC | 23 | 80 +5 | 19.1 | -1.80 | -2.16 | +0.36 | 777th of 1100 |
| 2015-16 | PHI | 22 | 77 | 26.8 | -1.40 | -1.87 | +0.47 | 484th of 813 |
| 2014-15 | PHI | 21 | 65 | 21.2 | -1.08 | -2.02 | +0.94 | 260th of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 17.5 projected minutes and a pace of 94.8.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 24.3 | 8.4 |
| Rebounds | 5.8 | 2.0 |
| Offensive | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Defensive | 4.4 | 1.5 |
| Assists | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Blocks | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| Turnovers | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| 3-pt attempts | 9.9 | 3.4 |
| FG attempts | 18.9 | 6.5 |
| FT attempts | 7.9 | 2.7 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 41.5% · 36.3% · 79.9% | |
