Wendell Carter Jr.

Orlando Magic · F

Age 27 · 6'9" · 270 lb · USA

Pick #7, 2018 Draft · Rookie 2019 · 471 games · 19 playoff games

DPM · #108 of 521

+1.0

Offense -0.6 Defense +1.6 Market -0.8 · playoffs -1.1 Last played Nov 10, 2026

Compare this player Explore in an assistant Open ORL in the Roster Lab

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Jonas Jerebko 2014-15	28	+1.2	+0.8, +0.2, -0.4, -0.9, under 10 games	88
Joe Smith 2002-03	27	+1.0	+0.1, 0.0, 0.0, -0.4, -0.6	87
Kelly Olynyk 2018-19	27	+1.2	+1.0, +0.9, +0.9, +0.9, -0.7	86
Al-Farouq Aminu 2017-18	27	+1.4	+1.7, +1.3, +0.2, under 10 games, under 10 games	86
Jeremy Evans 2014-15	27	+1.2	+1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	86
Larry Nance Jr. 2019-20	27	+0.8	+0.4, +0.8, +2.6, +1.8, -0.7	85
Trevor Booker 2014-15	27	+0.7	+0.5, -1.4, -1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games	85
Jason Thompson 2013-14	27	+0.8	+0.6, -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	85
James Singleton 2008-09	27	+0.5	-2.2, under 10 games, -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games	84
Gorgui Dieng 2016-17	27	+1.6	-1.0, -0.3, -0.8, 0.0, -0.8	84

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Wendell's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to Wendell Carter Jr.'s current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

1 Wendell Carter Jr. ORL Self

+1.0DPMDPM Offense -0.6 Defense +1.6 Per 100 possessions:19.6points12.7rebounds3.0assistsP/R/A
100.0
2 Deandre Ayton WAS ↗

+0.7DPMDPM Offense -0.4 Defense +1.1 Per 100 possessions:18.8points15.9rebounds2.8assistsP/R/A
84.8
3 Tari Eason HOU ↗

+1.4DPMDPM Offense -0.4 Defense +1.7 Per 100 possessions:21.8points11.3rebounds3.1assistsP/R/A
84.6
4 Karlo Matkovic NOP ↗

+0.6DPMDPM Offense -0.3 Defense +0.9 Per 100 possessions:19.9points11.9rebounds2.9assistsP/R/A
83.8
5 Jaden McDaniels MIN ↗

+1.0DPMDPM Offense 0.0 Defense +1.1 Per 100 possessions:24.9points8.0rebounds4.7assistsP/R/A
83.1
6 Jarred Vanderbilt LAL ↗

+0.7DPMDPM Offense -1.2 Defense +2.0 Per 100 possessions:11.0points13.6rebounds4.0assistsP/R/A
82.8
7 Derrick Jones Jr. LAC ↗

+1.4DPMDPM Offense +0.1 Defense +1.3 Per 100 possessions:18.7points7.3rebounds2.3assistsP/R/A
82.8
8 Daniel Gafford DAL ↗

+0.7DPMDPM Offense -0.5 Defense +1.2 Per 100 possessions:22.2points14.5rebounds3.3assistsP/R/A
82.7
9 Neemias Queta BOS ↗

+1.7DPMDPM Offense -0.2 Defense +1.9 Per 100 possessions:22.2points15.9rebounds3.5assistsP/R/A
82.3
10 Goga Bitadze ORL ↗

+1.4DPMDPM Offense -0.3 Defense +1.7 Per 100 possessions:18.8points15.9rebounds3.8assistsP/R/A
81.9

How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Wendell Carter Jr.'s salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $29.5M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $18.1M; Actual
Surplus: +$11.4M; Value minus salary
WARP: 5.9; Wins above replacement
Seasons left: 6.9; Projected, within 15
Retires at: 34.9; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Wendell Carter Jr., season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2026-27 so far	ORL	27	10	33.4	+0.96	-0.63	+1.59	—
2025-26	ORL	27	78 +7	29.3	+1.43	-0.57	+2.00	174th of 924
2024-25	ORL	26	68 +5	25.9	+0.71	-1.40	+2.11	269th of 1010
2023-24	ORL	25	55 +7	25.6	+0.78	-0.40	+1.18	230th of 1077
2022-23	ORL	23	57	29.6	+0.30	-0.39	+0.69	245th of 1100
2021-22	ORL	22	62	29.9	+0.37	-0.51	+0.88	164th of 813
2020-21	ORL	22	54	25.5	-1.06	-1.61	+0.56	423rd of 813
2019-20	CHI	20	43	29.2	-0.49	-1.51	+1.03	78th of 354
2018-19	CHI	19	44	25.2	-1.32	-1.94	+0.61	44th of 109

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

Loading percentile context...

Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 29.9 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 97.7.

Wendell Carter Jr., projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	19.6	11.9
Rebounds	12.7	7.7
Offensive	3.9	2.4
Defensive	8.8	5.3
Assists	3.0	1.8
Steals	1.3	0.8
Blocks	1.3	0.8
Turnovers	2.1	1.3
3-pt attempts	4.5	2.7
FG attempts	13.3	8.1
FT attempts	5.4	3.3
FG% · 3P% · FT%	53.1% · 33.6% · 76.0%