Deandre Ayton Profile

Game by game

Seismograph

DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.

Season change: +0.73; -0.50 before the first game, +0.23 before the last game
Biggest boost: +0.28; Nov 30 vs NOP · 27 min
Biggest drop: -0.28; Jan 2 vs MEM · 25 min
Typical change per game: 0.06; Last 20 games, vs 0.09 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

+0.2 at age 27 in 2025-26 ranks 330th of 924 age-27 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Marcin Gortat, 2010-11.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Marcin Gortat 2010-11	27	-0.2	+0.7, -0.4, +1.4, +1.9, +1.5	90
Nick Collison 2008-09	28	+0.5	+2.3, +3.0, +3.5, +3.4, +2.8	90
Alex Len 2020-21	27	-0.1	-1.4, -1.0, +1.0, -2.3, under 10 games	90
Jason Thompson 2013-14	27	+0.7	+0.7, -1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	88
Othella Harrington 2001-02	28	-0.2	-0.4, -1.8, -1.1, -1.8, -2.6	87
Trevor Booker 2014-15	27	+0.4	+0.9, -1.2, -1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games	87
Keon Clark 2002-03	28	+0.3	under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	87
Robert Traylor 2003-04	27	+0.5	-1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	86
John Henson 2017-18	27	+0.6	-0.2, +0.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	86
Mark Blount 2003-04	28	+0.3	-1.2, -1.9, -2.2, -2.9, -2.6	86

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Deandre's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Historical comps

Echoes today

Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Deandre Ayton's seasons, at the same age.

Jalen Duren DET like his 2020-21 87

Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Deandre Ayton's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $17.3M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $33.7M; Actual
Surplus: -$16.4M; Value minus salary
Seasons left: 2.6; Projected
Retires at: 30.6; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Deandre Ayton, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2025-26	LAL	27	72 +10	27.2	+0.23	-1.00	+1.23	330th of 924
2024-25	POR	26	40	30.1	-0.77	-1.19	+0.41	575th of 1010
2023-24	POR	25	55	32.4	-0.19	-0.64	+0.46	396th of 1078
2022-23	PHX	24	67 +10	30.4	+0.76	-0.33	+1.08	211th of 1185
2021-22	PHX	23	58 +13	29.5	+2.49	+1.23	+1.27	38th of 1100
2020-21	PHX	22	69 +22	30.6	+1.96	+0.52	+1.44	44th of 813
2019-20	PHX	22	38	32.5	+0.06	-0.37	+0.44	212th of 813
2018-19	PHX	20	71	30.7	-1.08	-0.77	-0.30	134th of 354

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 16.6 projected minutes and a pace of 93.1.

Deandre Ayton, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	19.6	6.3
Rebounds	15.2	4.9
Offensive	5.2	1.7
Defensive	10.0	3.2
Assists	1.6	0.5
Steals	1.0	0.3
Blocks	1.9	0.6
Turnovers	2.3	0.7
3-pt attempts	1.2	0.4
FG attempts	15.1	4.9
FT attempts	3.9	1.2
FG% · 3P% · FT%	61.8% · 26.1% · 63.8%