Moritz Wagner
Age 29 · 6'11" · 245 lb · Germany
Pick #25, 2018 Draft · Rookie 2019 · 400 games · 9 playoff games
DPM · #327 of 519
-1.3Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Croshere 2004-05 | 30 | -1.1 | -0.3, -2.3, -1.7, -2.6, under 10 games | 88 |
| Donyell Marshall 2002-03 | 29 | -1.3 | -0.9, -0.4, -0.3, +0.2, -0.6 | 88 |
| JaMychal Green 2018-19 | 28 | -0.8 | -1.0, +0.1, -1.2, -2.3, under 10 games | 87 |
| Omri Casspi 2017-18 | 29 | -1.5 | 0.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Antoine Walker 2005-06 | 29 | -0.9 | -1.4, -1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Michael Beasley 2018-19 | 30 | -1.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Troy Murphy 2009-10 | 29 | -1.4 | -3.0, -2.0, -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Carl Landry 2012-13 | 29 | -1.5 | -2.6, -3.3, -2.1, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Mike Scott 2017-18 | 29 | -1.6 | -1.5, -0.3, -1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Markieff Morris 2018-19 | 29 | -1.0 | -1.5, -2.0, -2.1, -2.2, -4.3 | 85 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Moritz's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Moritz Wagner's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- -1.3DPMDPM Offense -0.9 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:24.1points11.7rebounds3.6assistsP/R/A100.0
- -1.0DPMDPM Offense -1.0 Defense 0.0 Per 100 possessions:22.1points12.4rebounds4.5assistsP/R/A87.9
- -1.5DPMDPM Offense -1.4 Defense -0.1 Per 100 possessions:20.6points10.0rebounds2.9assistsP/R/A87.7
- -1.4DPMDPM Offense -0.5 Defense -0.9 Per 100 possessions:21.7points7.0rebounds2.9assistsP/R/A87.1
- -1.3DPMDPM Offense -0.5 Defense -0.7 Per 100 possessions:19.7points7.9rebounds2.6assistsP/R/A86.4
- -1.5DPMDPM Offense -1.2 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:16.2points8.1rebounds3.4assistsP/R/A86.3
- -1.2DPMDPM Offense -0.7 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:25.5points15.0rebounds2.9assistsP/R/A86.0
- -1.3DPMDPM Offense -0.4 Defense -0.9 Per 100 possessions:25.1points7.2rebounds6.2assistsP/R/A86.0
- -1.6DPMDPM Offense -0.6 Defense -1.0 Per 100 possessions:24.8points12.2rebounds3.5assistsP/R/A85.7
- -1.3DPMDPM Offense -0.3 Defense -0.9 Per 100 possessions:18.1points10.0rebounds3.7assistsP/R/A84.8
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Moritz Wagner's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $1.8M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $8.7M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$6.9M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 0.6
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 0.6
- Projected
- Retires at
- 30.1
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | BKN | 29 | 1 | 15.8 | -1.34 | -0.83 | -0.51 | — |
| 2025-26 | ORL | 29 | 36 +2 | 11.8 | -1.15 | -0.54 | -0.61 | 537th of 774 |
| 2024-25 | ORL | 28 | 30 | 18.8 | -0.10 | -0.67 | +0.56 | 395th of 858 |
| 2023-24 | ORL | 27 | 80 +7 | 17.7 | +0.41 | +0.10 | +0.31 | 319th of 924 |
| 2022-23 | ORL | 25 | 57 | 19.5 | -0.41 | -0.38 | -0.03 | 483rd of 1077 |
| 2021-22 | ORL | 24 | 63 | 15.2 | -0.52 | +0.07 | -0.58 | 517th of 1185 |
| 2020-21 | ORL | 24 | 45 | 16.0 | -0.96 | -0.87 | -0.09 | 651st of 1185 |
| 2019-20 | WAS | 23 | 45 | 18.6 | -0.61 | -0.83 | +0.22 | 454th of 1100 |
| 2018-19 | LAL | 21 | 43 | 10.4 | -0.82 | -1.13 | +0.32 | 219th of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 12.9 projected minutes and a pace of 98.9.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 24.1 | 6.4 |
| Rebounds | 11.7 | 3.1 |
| Offensive | 3.0 | 0.8 |
| Defensive | 8.6 | 2.3 |
| Assists | 3.6 | 0.9 |
| Steals | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 3.0 | 0.8 |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.7 | 1.8 |
| FG attempts | 17.1 | 4.5 |
| FT attempts | 6.8 | 1.8 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 47.8% · 34.2% · 79.2% | |