Duncan Robinson
Age 32 · 6'7" · 215 lb · USA
Rookie 2019 · 510 games · 83 playoff games
DPM · #129 of 521
+0.8Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Dunleavy 2012-13 | 32 | +0.8 | +1.1, +0.6, -0.4, -1.9, under 10 games | 85 |
| Patty Mills 2019-20 | 32 | +1.0 | -0.1, -0.5, -2.3, -1.8, -2.7 | 85 |
| Anthony Tolliver 2017-18 | 32 | +0.5 | -0.9, -1.9, -1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Jason Richardson 2012-13 | 32 | +0.1 | under 10 games, -2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Kyle Korver 2013-14 | 33 | +1.3 | +2.3, +1.8, -0.4, +0.5, -0.9 | 84 |
| Caron Butler 2011-12 | 32 | +0.3 | -0.2, -1.9, -1.7, -2.7, under 10 games | 84 |
| George McCloud 1998-99 | 31 | +0.5 | -0.8, -2.2, -3.1, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Rick Fox 2000-01 | 31 | +0.8 | -0.1, -0.3, -0.9, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Danilo Gallinari 2020-21 | 32 | +0.7 | -0.5, under 10 games, -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Matt Barnes 2012-13 | 33 | +0.7 | +0.1, +0.6, -1.3, -1.9, under 10 games | 83 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Duncan's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Duncan Robinson's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- +0.8DPMDPM Offense +0.9 Defense -0.2 Per 100 possessions:24.3points4.5rebounds4.1assistsP/R/A100.0
- +0.8DPMDPM Offense +0.7 Defense 0.0 Per 100 possessions:21.5points6.6rebounds3.7assistsP/R/A90.5
- +0.5DPMDPM Offense +0.9 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:27.7points5.5rebounds6.2assistsP/R/A88.2
- +0.3DPMDPM Offense +0.2 Defense 0.0 Per 100 possessions:18.3points5.3rebounds2.4assistsP/R/A85.7
- +0.2DPMDPM Offense +1.0 Defense -0.8 Per 100 possessions:21.2points5.5rebounds6.1assistsP/R/A84.5
- +0.9DPMDPM Offense +1.1 Defense -0.2 Per 100 possessions:19.4points7.4rebounds2.7assistsP/R/A84.4
- +0.2DPMDPM Offense 0.0 Defense +0.2 Per 100 possessions:19.8points4.0rebounds3.1assistsP/R/A84.2
- -0.1DPMDPM Offense +0.4 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:18.7points5.5rebounds4.0assistsP/R/A83.9
- +0.9DPMDPM Offense +0.9 Defense 0.0 Per 100 possessions:28.3points6.2rebounds4.9assistsP/R/A83.9
- +0.8DPMDPM Offense +1.2 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:25.0points5.8rebounds3.4assistsP/R/A83.5
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Duncan Robinson's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $24.3M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $16.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$8.3M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 5.6
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 3.7
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 36.7
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | DET | 32 | 10 | 30.8 | +0.66 | +0.87 | -0.20 | — |
| 2025-26 | DET | 32 | 77 +13 | 27.4 | +0.94 | +0.77 | +0.18 | 131st of 530 |
| 2024-25 | MIA | 31 | 74 +4 | 24.1 | -1.05 | -0.49 | -0.57 | 403rd of 616 |
| 2023-24 | MIA | 30 | 68 +5 | 28.0 | -0.94 | -0.33 | -0.61 | 459th of 697 |
| 2022-23 | MIA | 29 | 42 +23 | 16.4 | -0.19 | +0.56 | -0.74 | 374th of 774 |
| 2021-22 | MIA | 28 | 79 +13 | 25.9 | -0.03 | +0.44 | -0.47 | 379th of 858 |
| 2020-21 | MIA | 27 | 72 +4 | 31.4 | +1.29 | +1.31 | -0.02 | 192nd of 924 |
| 2019-20 | MIA | 26 | 73 +21 | 29.7 | +0.99 | +1.55 | -0.56 | 219th of 1010 |
| 2018-19 | MIA | 24 | 15 | 10.7 | -1.50 | -1.11 | -0.39 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 30.3 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 97.2.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 24.3 | 14.9 |
| Rebounds | 4.5 | 2.8 |
| Offensive | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Defensive | 3.8 | 2.4 |
| Assists | 4.1 | 2.5 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 13.6 | 8.4 |
| FG attempts | 17.8 | 10.9 |
| FT attempts | 3.8 | 2.3 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 42.5% · 38.0% · 79.8% | |