Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.17
- +0.09 before the first game, +0.26 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.55
- Oct 24 vs BKN · 26 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.51
- Nov 10 vs MIA · 33 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.10
- Last 20 games, vs 0.14 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+0.3 at age 30 in 2025-26 ranks 267th of 697 age-30 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Wayne Ellington, 2017-18.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wayne Ellington 2017-18 | 30 | +0.2 | +0.1, -0.5, -0.8, -0.5, under 10 games | 91 |
| Anthony Morrow 2014-15 | 29 | +0.3 | -0.9, -0.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| Joe Harris 2020-21 | 29 | 0.0 | -0.3, -0.5, -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Jodie Meeks 2016-17 | 29 | 0.0 | -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Wesley Matthews 2015-16 | 29 | +0.1 | -0.4, -1.3, -1.1, -0.3, -0.7 | 87 |
| Terrence Ross 2019-20 | 29 | 0.0 | -1.5, -3.5, -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Carlos Delfino 2012-13 | 30 | +0.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Reggie Jackson 2019-20 | 30 | +0.3 | +1.0, -0.3, -2.5, -3.3, -3.4 | 85 |
| James Jones 2010-11 | 30 | +0.1 | -1.0, -1.8, -0.4, -2.3, -3.0 | 85 |
| Will Barton 2020-21 | 30 | -0.1 | 0.0, -2.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Sam's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Sam Merrill's seasons, at the same age.
- John Tonje BOS like his 2020-21 92
- Curtis Jones DEN like his 2020-21 91
- Emanuel Miller SAS like his 2020-21 90
- Jamison Battle TOR like his 2020-21 89
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Sam Merrill's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $14.4M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $8.5M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$5.9M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.9
- Projected
- Retires at
- 32.1
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CLE | 30 | 52 +17 | 26.5 | +0.26 | +1.07 | -0.80 | 267th of 697 |
| 2024-25 | CLE | 28 | 71 +8 | 19.7 | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.14 | 348th of 858 |
| 2023-24 | CLE | 28 | 61 +10 | 17.5 | -1.43 | -0.68 | -0.75 | 644th of 858 |
| 2022-23 | CLE | 26 | 5 | 11.7 | -0.92 | -0.51 | -0.40 | — |
| 2021-22 | MEM | 25 | 6 | 9.6 | -1.50 | -0.73 | -0.77 | — |
| 2020-21 | MIL | 25 | 30 +8 | 7.7 | -2.15 | -1.48 | -0.67 | 916th of 1078 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 8.6 projected minutes and a pace of 94.4.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19.0 | 3.2 |
| Rebounds | 4.8 | 0.8 |
| Offensive | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| Defensive | 3.8 | 0.6 |
| Assists | 2.8 | 0.5 |
| Steals | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 1.5 | 0.2 |
| 3-pt attempts | 12.2 | 2.1 |
| FG attempts | 15.5 | 2.6 |
| FT attempts | 2.8 | 0.5 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.5% · 37.6% · 82.1% | |
