Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.69
- +2.50 before the first game, +1.81 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.26
- Feb 11 vs PHX · 20 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.40
- Dec 18 vs LAC · 29 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.09
- Last 19 games, vs 0.11 in the first 19. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+1.8 at age 25 in 2025-26 ranks 124th of 1,078 age-25 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Andre Iguodala, 2008-09.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala 2008-09 | 25 | +2.3 | +1.4, +2.3, +2.4, +2.5, +3.6 | 86 |
| Tony Parker 2006-07 | 25 | +1.8 | +1.7, +2.3, +1.0, +0.8, +1.7 | 86 |
| Bradley Beal 2017-18 | 24 | +2.2 | +2.8, +2.4, +2.4, +1.3, +1.8 | 85 |
| Jrue Holiday 2015-16 | 25 | +2.4 | +2.4, +3.6, +4.3, +3.2, +3.5 | 84 |
| Khris Middleton 2015-16 | 24 | +2.3 | +2.8, +2.6, +3.1, +3.6, +2.5 | 84 |
| CJ McCollum 2016-17 | 25 | +2.0 | +1.9, +2.6, +2.0, +2.8, +1.7 | 84 |
| Kemba Walker 2014-15 | 24 | +1.2 | +2.9, +3.5, +3.7, +3.2, +3.2 | 84 |
| Eric Bledsoe 2014-15 | 25 | +2.4 | +2.2, +2.5, +3.6, +3.8, +3.4 | 84 |
| Steve Francis 2001-02 | 25 | +2.5 | +3.2, +3.6, +2.6, -0.2, +0.5 | 83 |
| Brandon Roy 2009-10 | 25 | +2.1 | +0.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jalen's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jalen Williams's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $25.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $6.6M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$18.9M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 4.9
- Projected
- Retires at
- 30.2
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | OKC | 25 | 33 +5 | 28.4 | +1.81 | +1.73 | +0.07 | 124th of 1078 |
| 2024-25 | OKC | 24 | 70 +23 | 32.4 | +2.48 | +2.04 | +0.44 | 65th of 1185 |
| 2023-24 | OKC | 23 | 71 +10 | 31.3 | +1.91 | +1.50 | +0.41 | 73rd of 1100 |
| 2022-23 | OKC | 21 | 75 | 30.3 | -0.39 | -0.07 | -0.32 | 160th of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 23.3 projected minutes and a pace of 95.3.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 27.4 | 12.7 |
| Rebounds | 7.9 | 3.6 |
| Offensive | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Defensive | 6.2 | 2.9 |
| Assists | 7.6 | 3.5 |
| Steals | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| 3-pt attempts | 4.8 | 2.2 |
| FG attempts | 22.6 | 10.5 |
| FT attempts | 7.0 | 3.2 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 46.7% · 33.4% · 77.6% | |
