RJ Barrett Profile — DARKO DPM

Game by game

Seismograph

DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.

Season change: +2.34; -1.10 before the first game, +1.24 before the last game
Biggest boost: +0.33; Oct 22 vs ATL · 30 min
Biggest drop: -0.22; Apr 5 vs BOS · 35 min
Typical change per game: 0.13; Last 20 games, vs 0.10 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

+1.2 at age 25 in 2025-26 ranks 160th of 1,078 age-25 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Mo Williams, 2008-09.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Mo Williams 2008-09	26	+1.3	+0.6, -0.8, -1.1, -2.1, -2.2	86
Larry Hughes 2004-05	26	+1.6	-0.3, -0.1, -1.7, -2.1, -1.6	85
Julius Randle 2020-21	26	+0.7	-0.8, +0.6, +1.9, +0.2, -0.1	84
Dillon Brooks 2020-21	25	+0.5	+0.8, +0.5, -0.3, 0.0, -0.3	84
Richard Hamilton 2003-04	26	+1.0	+1.3, +0.8, +1.2, +1.3, +0.8	84
Corey Maggette 2005-06	26	+1.4	+1.2, +1.3, -0.6, -0.9, -1.4	84
Wally Szczerbiak 2001-02	25	+0.9	+1.1, +0.5, +0.5, +0.7, -0.5	84
Zach LaVine 2020-21	26	+1.4	+0.8, +1.1, +0.1, +0.1, -2.5	83
Bonzi Wells 2001-02	25	+1.4	+0.8, -1.5, -1.0, +1.1, -0.5	83
Antoine Walker 2001-02	25	+1.2	+0.2, -1.8, -1.8, -0.9, -1.7	83

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to RJ's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Historical comps

Echoes today

Current players whose ten closest comps include one of RJ Barrett's seasons, at the same age.

Tre Johnson WAS like his 2019-20 91
GG Jackson MEM like his 2020-21 83

Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against RJ Barrett's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $35.1M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $27.7M; Actual
Surplus: +$7.4M; Value minus salary
Seasons left: 4.4; Projected
Retires at: 30.6; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

RJ Barrett, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2025-26	TOR	25	57 +7	30.3	+1.24	+1.72	-0.48	160th of 1078
2024-25	TOR	24	58	32.2	-1.19	-0.11	-1.08	690th of 1185
2023-24	TOR	23	58	31.7	-1.38	+0.09	-1.47	637th of 1100
2022-23	NYK	22	73 +11	33.9	-1.23	+0.32	-1.55	450th of 813
2021-22	NYK	21	70	34.5	-0.84	+0.28	-1.12	221st of 571
2020-21	NYK	20	72 +5	34.9	-0.55	-0.43	-0.11	83rd of 354
2019-20	NYK	19	56	30.4	-3.04	-1.46	-1.58	98th of 109

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 27.5 projected minutes and a pace of 94.4.

RJ Barrett, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	29.5	16.0
Rebounds	8.7	4.7
Offensive	1.9	1.0
Defensive	6.9	3.7
Assists	4.3	2.3
Steals	1.2	0.6
Blocks	0.5	0.3
Turnovers	3.3	1.8
3-pt attempts	8.2	4.4
FG attempts	23.6	12.8
FT attempts	7.8	4.2
FG% · 3P% · FT%	45.7% · 34.1% · 66.9%