Lauri Markkanen
Age 29 · 7'0" · 240 lb · Finland
Pick #7, 2017 Draft · Rookie 2018 · 498 games
DPM · #62 of 522
+1.6Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danilo Gallinari 2017-18 | 29 | +1.2 | +1.8, +2.0, +0.7, -0.5, under 10 games | 87 |
| Al Harrington 2008-09 | 29 | +0.8 | -0.1, -0.5, +0.1, -0.8, -0.9 | 85 |
| Klay Thompson 2018-19 | 29 | +1.2 | under 10 games, under 10 games, +0.7, +0.5, -0.5 | 85 |
| Peja Stojakovic 2005-06 | 28 | +1.8 | +1.2, +1.6, +1.1, +0.4, -0.1 | 84 |
| Antawn Jamison 2005-06 | 29 | +2.0 | +1.4, +2.8, +1.6, +0.8, +0.4 | 84 |
| Ryan Anderson 2016-17 | 29 | +1.1 | +0.6, -1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Kevin Love 2017-18 | 29 | +1.5 | +2.1, +0.8, +0.5, +0.7, -0.3 | 83 |
| Wally Szczerbiak 2005-06 | 29 | +1.3 | -0.1, -0.4, -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Tobias Harris 2020-21 | 28 | +2.1 | +1.1, +1.4, +1.5, +1.3, +1.3 | 82 |
| DeMarre Carroll 2014-15 | 28 | +2.0 | +1.4, +1.2, +0.3, +0.2, -1.2 | 82 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Lauri's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Lauri Markkanen's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- +1.6DPMDPM Offense +1.9 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:31.9points9.2rebounds2.9assistsP/R/A100.0
- +1.9DPMDPM Offense +2.5 Defense -0.7 Per 100 possessions:32.9points10.2rebounds3.4assistsP/R/A90.7
- +1.5DPMDPM Offense +1.6 Defense -0.1 Per 100 possessions:29.6points5.1rebounds4.9assistsP/R/A87.7
- +2.3DPMDPM Offense +2.4 Defense 0.0 Per 100 possessions:28.5points12.2rebounds3.2assistsP/R/A85.7
- +1.1DPMDPM Offense +1.1 Defense 0.0 Per 100 possessions:28.8points6.1rebounds5.2assistsP/R/A84.8
- +1.3DPMDPM Offense +1.7 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:31.2points8.6rebounds5.9assistsP/R/A84.5
- +1.2DPMDPM Offense +1.7 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:32.1points9.5rebounds5.8assistsP/R/A83.1
- +1.0DPMDPM Offense +1.2 Defense -0.1 Per 100 possessions:25.4points5.8rebounds3.5assistsP/R/A82.2
- +0.6DPMDPM Offense +1.6 Defense -1.0 Per 100 possessions:29.4points10.6rebounds4.5assistsP/R/A81.8
- +1.1DPMDPM Offense +0.9 Defense +0.2 Per 100 possessions:23.2points11.2rebounds4.5assistsP/R/A81.3
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Lauri Markkanen's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $29.6M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $46.1M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$16.5M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 6.9
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 4.4
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 34.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | UTA | 29 | 6 | 29.0 | +1.59 | +1.89 | -0.31 | — |
| 2025-26 | UTA | 28 | 42 | 34.3 | +1.66 | +1.94 | -0.29 | 150th of 858 |
| 2024-25 | UTA | 27 | 47 | 31.4 | +1.00 | +1.65 | -0.65 | 234th of 924 |
| 2023-24 | UTA | 26 | 55 | 33.1 | +2.15 | +2.66 | -0.51 | 110th of 1010 |
| 2022-23 | UTA | 25 | 66 | 34.4 | +2.63 | +3.09 | -0.46 | 72nd of 1077 |
| 2021-22 | CLE | 24 | 61 | 30.8 | +0.43 | +0.47 | -0.04 | 267th of 1185 |
| 2020-21 | CHI | 23 | 51 | 25.8 | -0.60 | -0.25 | -0.35 | 446th of 1100 |
| 2019-20 | CHI | 22 | 50 | 29.8 | -0.80 | -0.20 | -0.60 | 369th of 813 |
| 2018-19 | CHI | 21 | 52 | 32.3 | -0.76 | +0.49 | -1.25 | 204th of 571 |
| 2017-18 | CHI | 20 | 68 | 29.7 | -1.29 | -0.15 | -1.13 | 160th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 29.4 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 99.6.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 31.9 | 19.4 |
| Rebounds | 9.2 | 5.6 |
| Offensive | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| Defensive | 6.8 | 4.1 |
| Assists | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Turnovers | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| 3-pt attempts | 12.3 | 7.5 |
| FG attempts | 23.1 | 14.1 |
| FT attempts | 7.4 | 4.5 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 44.5% · 36.7% · 87.4% | |