Paolo Banchero

Orlando Magic · F

Out for his next game (official NBA injury report)

Age 23 · 6'10" · 250 lb

Pick #1, 2022 Draft · Rookie 2023 · 272 games · 19 playoff games

DPM · #93 of 521

+1.1
Offense +1.5 Defense -0.3 Market +0.8 · playoffs +0.5 Last played Oct 23, 2026

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

CompAgeDPM thenNext 5 seasonsMatch
Richard Jefferson 2003-0423+1.2 +0.5, +0.2, +0.7, -1.4, -1.0 84
Ben Simmons 2019-2024+1.0 +2.0, under 10 games, +1.1, +1.1, -0.4 84
Antoine Walker 2000-0124+0.9 +1.3, +0.6, -1.4, -1.6, -0.7 83
Lamar Odom 2003-0424+1.1 +0.3, +1.8, +1.4, +2.9, +4.8 82
Brandon Roy 2007-0823+0.9 +3.5, +2.0, +0.9, under 10 games, under 10 games 81
Montrezl Harrell 2017-1824+0.7 +1.4, +0.5, +0.2, +1.0, -0.9 81
Domantas Sabonis 2019-2024+1.2 +0.9, +1.0, +0.9, +0.8, +0.9 80
Danilo Gallinari 2011-1223+1.2 +2.6, under 10 games, +1.9, +1.3, +2.6 80
Jaylen Brown 2019-2023+1.2 +2.2, +4.2, +3.1, +2.9, +2.6 80
Kevin Love 2011-1223+1.8 +1.2, +4.3, +2.8, +2.9, +3.1 80

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Paolo's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to Paolo Banchero's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

  1. 1 Paolo Banchero ORL Self
    +1.1DPMDPM Offense +1.5 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:33.7points10.8rebounds8.1assistsP/R/A
    100.0
  2. +1.0DPMDPM Offense +1.3 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:29.3points12.9rebounds9.7assistsP/R/A
    88.3
  3. +0.7DPMDPM Offense +1.2 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:29.7points11.1rebounds6.3assistsP/R/A
    87.1
  4. +1.1DPMDPM Offense +1.7 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:32.3points8.6rebounds5.8assistsP/R/A
    86.4
  5. +1.8DPMDPM Offense +2.5 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:34.9points9.7rebounds9.3assistsP/R/A
    85.5
  6. +1.7DPMDPM Offense +1.9 Defense -0.2 Per 100 possessions:32.2points8.7rebounds10.2assistsP/R/A
    85.4
  7. +1.5DPMDPM Offense +1.3 Defense +0.2 Per 100 possessions:27.9points8.4rebounds9.9assistsP/R/A
    83.5
  8. +1.2DPMDPM Offense +1.9 Defense -0.7 Per 100 possessions:32.2points8.7rebounds4.8assistsP/R/A
    83.1
  9. +1.1DPMDPM Offense +1.3 Defense -0.2 Per 100 possessions:28.6points8.2rebounds6.9assistsP/R/A
    82.7
  10. +0.8DPMDPM Offense +1.5 Defense -0.7 Per 100 possessions:36.7points9.7rebounds8.9assistsP/R/A
    82.2
How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Paolo Banchero's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value
$23.4M
DARKO's market estimate
Salary
$41.5M
Actual
Surplus
-$18.1M
Value minus salary
WARP
2.7
Wins above replacement
Seasons left
10.5
Projected, within 15
Retires at
34.9
Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Paolo Banchero, season by season
SeasonTeamAgeGamesMPGDPMOffDefFor his age
2026-27 so farORL23233.8+1.14+1.45-0.31—
2025-26ORL2372 +734.7+0.98+1.24-0.25158th of 1100
2024-25ORL2246 +534.4+0.61+1.03-0.42126th of 813
2023-24ORL2180 +735.0+0.32+0.92-0.6180th of 571
2022-23ORL207233.7-1.16+0.40-1.56148th of 354

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 12.8 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 98.5. He is out for his next game.

Paolo Banchero, projected box score
StatPer 100Per game
Points33.78.9
Rebounds10.82.8
Offensive1.80.5
Defensive9.02.4
Assists8.12.1
Steals1.20.3
Blocks0.70.2
Turnovers4.41.2
3-pt attempts6.31.6
FG attempts23.46.1
FT attempts12.63.3
FG% · 3P% · FT%46.6% · 33.0% · 75.6%