Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Simmons 2019-20 | 24 | +0.9 | +2.0, under 10 games, +1.1, +1.1, -0.4 | 88 |
| Lamar Odom 2003-04 | 24 | +1.0 | +0.3, +1.7, +1.5, +2.9, +4.9 | 87 |
| Antoine Walker 2000-01 | 24 | +0.8 | +1.2, +0.5, -1.5, -1.7, -0.9 | 86 |
| Domantas Sabonis 2020-21 | 25 | +0.9 | +0.9, +0.9, +0.8, +0.9, +0.1 | 86 |
| Richard Jefferson 2004-05 | 24 | +0.5 | +0.2, +0.6, -1.3, -1.0, +0.5 | 85 |
| Bonzi Wells 2001-02 | 25 | +1.0 | +0.4, -1.5, -0.9, +1.1, -0.7 | 85 |
| Aaron Gordon 2019-20 | 24 | +0.8 | +0.5, +0.6, +2.4, +2.5, +2.6 | 84 |
| Nicolas Batum 2013-14 | 25 | +1.3 | +0.8, +1.3, +1.0, +0.8, -0.4 | 83 |
| Chandler Parsons 2013-14 | 25 | +1.1 | +1.3, +1.0, -1.0, -1.3, -2.0 | 83 |
| Mike Miller 2003-04 | 24 | +1.1 | +1.8, +1.4, +0.3, +0.7, -0.1 | 82 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jalen's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Jalen Johnson's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- +0.8DPMDPM Offense +1.2 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:30.9points13.6rebounds9.0assistsP/R/A100.0
- +1.2DPMDPM Offense +1.4 Defense -0.2 Per 100 possessions:34.7points10.6rebounds8.0assistsP/R/A86.7
- +1.4DPMDPM Offense +1.5 Defense -0.1 Per 100 possessions:30.3points8.3rebounds10.1assistsP/R/A83.3
- +1.2DPMDPM Offense +1.8 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:31.3points8.4rebounds5.6assistsP/R/A82.4
- +0.3DPMDPM Offense +0.4 Defense -0.1 Per 100 possessions:24.5points14.5rebounds5.3assistsP/R/A82.0
- +1.7DPMDPM Offense +1.9 Defense -0.1 Per 100 possessions:31.4points8.3rebounds7.6assistsP/R/A81.8
- +1.4DPMDPM Offense +1.0 Defense +0.4 Per 100 possessions:24.9points10.4rebounds7.0assistsP/R/A81.1
- +1.1DPMDPM Offense +1.0 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:26.4points6.6rebounds8.4assistsP/R/A80.6
- +1.2DPMDPM Offense +1.7 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:31.7points8.7rebounds4.9assistsP/R/A80.6
- +0.3DPMDPM Offense +0.7 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:27.6points8.2rebounds7.3assistsP/R/A79.8
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jalen Johnson's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $32.7M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $28.1M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$4.5M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 5.7
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 8.6
- Projected
- Retires at
- 33.4
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | ATL | 24 | 1 | 27.8 | +0.90 | +1.19 | -0.30 | — |
| 2025-26 | ATL | 24 | 72 +6 | 35.2 | +0.84 | +1.18 | -0.34 | 210th of 1185 |
| 2024-25 | ATL | 23 | 36 | 35.7 | +1.49 | +0.51 | +0.98 | 112th of 1100 |
| 2023-24 | ATL | 22 | 56 | 33.7 | +0.35 | +0.04 | +0.31 | 170th of 813 |
| 2022-23 | ATL | 21 | 70 +6 | 14.9 | +0.50 | -0.94 | +1.43 | 70th of 571 |
| 2021-22 | ATL | 20 | 22 +2 | 5.5 | -2.54 | -2.11 | -0.43 | 287th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 31.1 projected minutes and a pace of 102.5.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 30.9 | 20.5 |
| Rebounds | 13.6 | 9.0 |
| Offensive | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Defensive | 11.7 | 7.8 |
| Assists | 9.0 | 6.0 |
| Steals | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Blocks | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Turnovers | 4.3 | 2.9 |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.1 | 4.1 |
| FG attempts | 23.1 | 15.3 |
| FT attempts | 7.7 | 5.1 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 47.8% · 33.7% · 79.2% | |









