Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Crawford 2011-12 | 32 | -2.2 | -1.0, -1.6, -2.4, -2.8, -3.7 | 86 |
| Chucky Atkins 2005-06 | 31 | -1.9 | -1.3, -2.4, -3.4, -3.2, under 10 games | 84 |
| Tyronn Lue 2007-08 | 30 | -2.5 | -1.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Jerry Stackhouse 2005-06 | 31 | -1.8 | -1.3, -2.0, -3.0, -2.2, under 10 games | 83 |
| Marco Belinelli 2016-17 | 31 | -1.2 | -0.8, -0.9, -1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Mo Williams 2013-14 | 31 | -1.9 | -0.5, -4.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Stephon Marbury 2007-08 | 31 | -2.3 | -3.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Allan Houston 2001-02 | 30 | -1.4 | -0.1, -1.0, -0.4, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Tracy Murray 2002-03 | 31 | -2.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Ben Gordon 2014-15 | 32 | -3.2 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Zach's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Zach LaVine's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- -2.1DPMDPM Offense +0.1 Defense -2.2 Per 100 possessions:28.9points4.7rebounds4.4assistsP/R/A100.0
- -1.6DPMDPM Offense -0.5 Defense -1.1 Per 100 possessions:22.7points5.1rebounds4.9assistsP/R/A82.1
- -1.4DPMDPM Offense +0.6 Defense -2.0 Per 100 possessions:26.6points4.7rebounds4.2assistsP/R/A80.7
- -1.8DPMDPM Offense -0.1 Defense -1.7 Per 100 possessions:23.3points5.5rebounds4.4assistsP/R/A80.4
- -1.7DPMDPM Offense -0.2 Defense -1.5 Per 100 possessions:22.5points5.9rebounds3.9assistsP/R/A80.2
- -1.9DPMDPM Offense 0.0 Defense -1.9 Per 100 possessions:27.1points4.8rebounds6.7assistsP/R/A78.6
- -2.4DPMDPM Offense -0.4 Defense -2.0 Per 100 possessions:21.7points3.8rebounds2.6assistsP/R/A78.3
- -1.5DPMDPM Offense -0.7 Defense -0.9 Per 100 possessions:22.9points5.8rebounds3.9assistsP/R/A77.9
- -2.4DPMDPM Offense -1.0 Defense -1.4 Per 100 possessions:20.0points5.2rebounds9.0assistsP/R/A77.6
- -1.2DPMDPM Offense +0.2 Defense -1.4 Per 100 possessions:23.4points4.9rebounds2.9assistsP/R/A77.1
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Zach LaVine's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$1.9M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $45.9M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$47.8M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 0.0
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 1.9
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 33.5
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | SAC | 31 | 1 | 34.2 | -2.26 | -0.04 | -2.22 | — |
| 2025-26 | SAC | 31 | 39 | 31.4 | -2.34 | -0.04 | -2.30 | 542nd of 616 |
| 2024-25 | SAC | 30 | 74 | 35.2 | +0.12 | +1.88 | -1.76 | 288th of 697 |
| 2023-24 | CHI | 29 | 25 | 34.9 | +0.21 | +1.00 | -0.79 | 317th of 774 |
| 2022-23 | CHI | 28 | 77 | 35.9 | +1.18 | +1.96 | -0.79 | 196th of 858 |
| 2021-22 | CHI | 27 | 67 +4 | 34.7 | +1.06 | +2.11 | -1.05 | 221st of 924 |
| 2020-21 | CHI | 26 | 58 | 35.1 | +1.61 | +2.54 | -0.93 | 159th of 1010 |
| 2019-20 | CHI | 25 | 60 | 34.8 | +0.40 | +1.40 | -1.00 | 299th of 1077 |
| 2018-19 | CHI | 24 | 63 | 34.5 | -0.38 | +0.83 | -1.21 | 471st of 1185 |
| 2017-18 | CHI | 23 | 24 | 27.3 | -1.37 | +0.21 | -1.58 | 662nd of 1100 |
| 2016-17 | MIN | 22 | 47 | 37.2 | -0.88 | +0.85 | -1.73 | 380th of 813 |
| 2015-16 | MIN | 21 | 82 | 28.0 | -1.82 | -0.15 | -1.67 | 393rd of 571 |
| 2014-15 | MIN | 20 | 77 | 24.7 | -3.17 | -1.49 | -1.68 | 326th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 26.9 projected minutes and a pace of 101.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 28.9 | 16.4 |
| Rebounds | 4.7 | 2.7 |
| Offensive | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Defensive | 4.2 | 2.4 |
| Assists | 4.4 | 2.5 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.8 | 5.0 |
| FG attempts | 21.8 | 12.4 |
| FT attempts | 5.7 | 3.3 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 47.5% · 38.2% · 83.7% | |









