Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.9 at age 36 in 2025-26 ranks 137th of 189 age-36 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Dwyane Wade, 2018-19.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade 2018-19 | 37 | -1.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Kobe Bryant 2014-15 | 36 | -1.1 | -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 80 |
| Zach Randolph 2017-18 | 36 | -2.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 77 |
| Avery Johnson 2001-02 | 37 | -1.6 | -3.7, -3.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 77 |
| Dell Curry 2000-01 | 36 | -1.3 | -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 76 |
| Tony Parker 2017-18 | 35 | -2.3 | -3.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 75 |
| Johnny Newman 2000-01 | 37 | -2.6 | -3.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 75 |
| JJ Redick 2020-21 | 36 | -1.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 75 |
| Sam Cassell 2006-07 | 37 | -0.3 | -2.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 74 |
| Carmelo Anthony 2019-20 | 36 | -1.7 | -2.8, -2.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 74 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to DeMar's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to DeMar DeRozan's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- -1.9DPMDPM Offense 0.0 Defense -1.9 Per 100 possessions:27.1points4.8rebounds6.7assistsP/R/A100.0
- -1.5DPMDPM Offense -0.7 Defense -0.9 Per 100 possessions:22.9points5.8rebounds3.9assistsP/R/A79.4
- -1.6DPMDPM Offense -0.5 Defense -1.1 Per 100 possessions:22.7points5.1rebounds4.9assistsP/R/A79.4
- -2.1DPMDPM Offense +0.1 Defense -2.2 Per 100 possessions:28.9points4.7rebounds4.4assistsP/R/A78.6
- -2.4DPMDPM Offense -1.0 Defense -1.4 Per 100 possessions:20.0points5.2rebounds9.0assistsP/R/A78.0
- -1.8DPMDPM Offense -1.3 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:20.9points7.4rebounds6.0assistsP/R/A76.6
- -1.2DPMDPM Offense +0.2 Defense -1.4 Per 100 possessions:23.4points4.9rebounds2.9assistsP/R/A73.6
- -1.6DPMDPM Offense -0.6 Defense -1.0 Per 100 possessions:24.8points12.2rebounds3.5assistsP/R/A70.1
- -1.7DPMDPM Offense -0.9 Defense -0.8 Per 100 possessions:22.3points4.6rebounds3.0assistsP/R/A70.1
- -1.2DPMDPM Offense -0.6 Defense -0.7 Per 100 possessions:22.0points6.7rebounds2.5assistsP/R/A69.3
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against DeMar DeRozan's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $0.8M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$1.5M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 0.2
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 1.4
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 38.6
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | SAC | 36 | 77 | 31.2 | -1.90 | +0.26 | -2.16 | 137th of 189 |
| 2024-25 | SAC | 35 | 77 | 35.9 | +0.53 | +1.58 | -1.05 | 65th of 243 |
| 2023-24 | CHI | 34 | 79 | 37.8 | +0.27 | +1.60 | -1.33 | 108th of 337 |
| 2022-23 | CHI | 33 | 74 | 36.2 | +0.58 | +1.16 | -0.58 | 107th of 405 |
| 2021-22 | CHI | 32 | 76 +5 | 36.1 | +0.36 | +1.80 | -1.44 | 180th of 530 |
| 2020-21 | SAS | 31 | 61 | 33.7 | -0.52 | +1.09 | -1.61 | 325th of 616 |
| 2019-20 | SAS | 31 | 68 | 34.1 | -1.00 | +0.75 | -1.76 | 391st of 616 |
| 2018-19 | SAS | 29 | 77 +7 | 34.9 | -0.70 | +0.89 | -1.59 | 467th of 774 |
| 2017-18 | TOR | 28 | 80 +10 | 33.9 | +0.58 | +2.23 | -1.65 | 275th of 858 |
| 2016-17 | TOR | 27 | 74 +10 | 35.4 | -0.63 | +1.22 | -1.86 | 540th of 924 |
| 2015-16 | TOR | 26 | 78 +20 | 35.9 | -0.87 | +0.99 | -1.86 | 623rd of 1010 |
| 2014-15 | TOR | 25 | 60 +4 | 35.0 | -0.44 | +1.00 | -1.44 | 495th of 1077 |
| 2013-14 | TOR | 24 | 79 +7 | 38.2 | -0.12 | +1.31 | -1.44 | 395th of 1185 |
| 2012-13 | TOR | 23 | 82 | 36.7 | -2.17 | -0.48 | -1.69 | 898th of 1100 |
| 2011-12 | TOR | 22 | 63 | 35.0 | -1.96 | -0.31 | -1.64 | 622nd of 813 |
| 2010-11 | TOR | 21 | 82 | 34.8 | -2.10 | -0.08 | -2.02 | 444th of 571 |
| 2009-10 | TOR | 20 | 77 | 21.6 | -2.63 | -1.38 | -1.25 | 293rd of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 25.7 projected minutes and a pace of 97.9.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 27.1 | 14.2 |
| Rebounds | 4.8 | 2.5 |
| Offensive | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Defensive | 4.2 | 2.2 |
| Assists | 6.7 | 3.5 |
| Steals | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 3.1 | 1.6 |
| FG attempts | 20.9 | 10.9 |
| FT attempts | 7.9 | 4.2 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 49.6% · 32.8% · 85.3% | |









