Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.26
- -0.45 before the first game, +0.82 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.34
- Feb 24 vs MIN · 29 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.40
- Nov 18 vs PHX · 25 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.14
- Last 20 games, vs 0.11 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+0.8 at age 25 in 2025-26 ranks 218th of 1,078 age-25 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Thabo Sefolosha, 2009-10.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thabo Sefolosha 2009-10 | 25 | +0.4 | +0.3, +1.3, +1.9, +0.8, +1.9 | 87 |
| Ronnie Brewer 2010-11 | 26 | +1.2 | +0.6, -1.0, -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Chris Johnson 2015-16 | 25 | 0.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Jerami Grant 2018-19 | 25 | +0.5 | -0.9, -0.6, -0.8, -0.3, -1.7 | 83 |
| Jared Jeffries 2007-08 | 26 | +0.9 | +1.5, +1.5, +1.6, +1.4, -0.3 | 82 |
| Solomon Hill 2016-17 | 26 | +0.1 | -0.7, -1.5, -1.0, -1.8, -1.5 | 82 |
| Devean George 2002-03 | 25 | +0.5 | +1.1, +0.2, +0.7, -1.0, -1.4 | 82 |
| Iman Shumpert 2014-15 | 24 | +1.0 | +0.6, -0.6, -0.7, -1.7, -2.1 | 81 |
| Cody Martin 2020-21 | 25 | 0.0 | +1.0, under 10 games, -0.6, -0.6, under 10 games | 81 |
| Fred Jones 2003-04 | 25 | +0.6 | -1.1, -1.0, -2.2, -2.2, -0.7 | 80 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Kris's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Kris Murray's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $8.1M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $3.1M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$5.0M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.2
- Projected
- Retires at
- 27.2
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | POR | 25 | 57 +5 | 23.4 | +0.82 | -1.30 | +2.12 | 218th of 1078 |
| 2024-25 | POR | 24 | 69 | 15.1 | -0.82 | -1.40 | +0.58 | 566th of 1185 |
| 2023-24 | POR | 23 | 62 | 21.7 | -0.51 | -0.85 | +0.34 | 405th of 1100 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 6.7 projected minutes and a pace of 94.2.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 12.0 | 1.6 |
| Rebounds | 8.1 | 1.1 |
| Offensive | 3.2 | 0.4 |
| Defensive | 4.9 | 0.6 |
| Assists | 3.0 | 0.4 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| Blocks | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 1.9 | 0.3 |
| 3-pt attempts | 5.0 | 0.7 |
| FG attempts | 10.0 | 1.3 |
| FT attempts | 2.5 | 0.3 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 41.9% · 28.4% · 61.5% | |
