Matas Buzelis Profile

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Donatas Motiejunas 2012-13	22	-0.9	-1.7, -0.9, -0.4, -1.7, under 10 games	88
Kyle Kuzma 2017-18	22	-1.3	-0.6, -0.2, -1.1, -2.0, -1.0	87
Tobias Harris 2014-15	22	-0.9	+0.1, -0.1, -0.1, +0.2, +0.8	87
Naz Reid 2020-21	21	-1.4	-0.5, -1.0, -0.5, +0.9, +0.8	87
Shawne Williams 2007-08	22	-0.9	-1.6, under 10 games, -0.7, -1.2, under 10 games	87
Andrea Bargnani 2007-08	22	-1.4	-1.6, -1.7, -1.8, -1.0, -2.0	87
Trey Lyles 2017-18	22	-0.7	-1.3, -1.0, -2.0, -0.8, +0.2	86
Austin Daye 2009-10	21	-1.1	-1.2, -2.8, -1.6, -1.9, -2.7	86
Martell Webster 2007-08	21	-0.8	under 10 games, +0.5, -1.3, -0.5, +0.4	86
Linas Kleiza 2006-07	22	-0.7	+0.4, -0.2, under 10 games, -1.0, -0.7	86

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Matas's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to Matas Buzelis's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

1 Matas Buzelis CHI Self

-1.3DPMDPM Offense -0.1 Defense -1.2 Per 100 possessions:27.0points9.1rebounds3.2assistsP/R/A
100.0
2 GG Jackson MEM ↗

-1.3DPMDPM Offense +0.2 Defense -1.5 Per 100 possessions:29.2points10.0rebounds3.1assistsP/R/A
92.6
3 Cam Whitmore DEN ↗

-1.3DPMDPM Offense -0.5 Defense -0.8 Per 100 possessions:26.7points7.7rebounds2.4assistsP/R/A
87.4
4 Leonard Miller CHI ↗

-1.0DPMDPM Offense -0.2 Defense -0.8 Per 100 possessions:24.8points11.8rebounds3.0assistsP/R/A
87.3
5 Noah Clowney BKN ↗

-1.3DPMDPM Offense -0.7 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:21.9points8.2rebounds2.8assistsP/R/A
86.0
6 Peyton Watson CLE ↗

-1.1DPMDPM Offense -0.5 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:20.9points7.7rebounds3.9assistsP/R/A
85.8
7 Julian Strawther DEN ↗

-1.4DPMDPM Offense -0.2 Defense -1.2 Per 100 possessions:25.6points6.2rebounds3.0assistsP/R/A
84.6
8 AJ Dybantsa WAS ↗

-1.0DPMDPM Offense -0.4 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:25.5points8.9rebounds4.2assistsP/R/A
84.4
9 Pacôme Dadiet NYK ↗

-1.0DPMDPM Offense -0.1 Defense -0.8 Per 100 possessions:19.9points8.5rebounds2.8assistsP/R/A
84.1
10 Jaylen Wells MEM ↗

-1.2DPMDPM Offense -0.1 Defense -1.0 Per 100 possessions:22.9points5.9rebounds2.6assistsP/R/A
83.9

How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Matas Buzelis's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $9.4M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $5.4M; Actual
Surplus: +$4.1M; Value minus salary
WARP: 1.3; Wins above replacement
Seasons left: 7.1; Projected, within 15
Retires at: 29.2; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Matas Buzelis, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2026-27 so far	CHI	22	1	24.8	-0.91	+0.04	-0.95	—
2025-26	CHI	21	77	29.2	-1.21	-0.02	-1.19	281st of 571
2024-25	CHI	20	80	18.9	-1.02	-0.66	-0.35	128th of 354

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 26.8 projected minutes and a pace of 103.0.

Matas Buzelis, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	27.0	15.6
Rebounds	9.1	5.2
Offensive	1.6	0.9
Defensive	7.5	4.3
Assists	3.2	1.8
Steals	1.2	0.7
Blocks	2.3	1.3
Turnovers	3.1	1.8
3-pt attempts	10.3	5.9
FG attempts	20.8	12.0
FT attempts	5.6	3.2
FG% · 3P% · FT%	45.1% · 34.6% · 79.3%