Player

Kevin Durant

Houston Rockets · F-G

Age 38 · 6'9" · 240 lb · USA

Pick #2, 2007 Draft · Rookie 2008 · 1,209 games · 171 playoff games

DPM · #12 of 522

+3.7
Offense +3.5 Defense +0.1 Market +4.2 · playoffs +5.4 Last played Nov 2, 2026
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Talent Percentiles

Ratings

Skills

Shooting

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

CompAgeDPM thenNext 5 seasonsMatch
Karl Malone 2000-0137+3.7 +2.1, +2.0, +1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games 81
Dirk Nowitzki 2015-1637+2.7 +0.7, 0.0, -1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games 77
Manu Ginobili 2014-1537+2.7 +2.4, +1.1, 0.0, under 10 games, under 10 games 69
Terry Porter 2000-0138+1.6 +1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 59
Steve Nash 2011-1238+5.3 +2.7, +0.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 58
John Stockton 1999-0038+5.6 +5.8, +5.1, +4.7, under 10 games, under 10 games 55
Scottie Pippen 2002-0337+1.7 -1.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 54
Reggie Miller 2003-0438+1.1 +1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 54
Arvydas Sabonis 2002-0338+2.8 under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 52
Jason Kidd 2010-1138+2.1 +1.3, +0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 52

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Kevin's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to Kevin Durant's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

  1. 1 Kevin Durant HOU Self
    +3.7DPMDPM Offense +3.5 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:32.8points7.2rebounds5.9assistsP/R/A
    100.0
  2. 2 Kyrie Irving DAL ↗
    +2.5DPMDPM Offense +2.8 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:33.5points6.1rebounds7.6assistsP/R/A
    76.2
  3. 3 James Harden CLE ↗
    +2.2DPMDPM Offense +2.8 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:26.8points6.8rebounds9.2assistsP/R/A
    72.8
  4. 4 Joel Embiid PHI ↗
    +3.8DPMDPM Offense +2.3 Defense +1.5 Per 100 possessions:33.4points11.7rebounds7.0assistsP/R/A
    72.6
  5. 5 Stephen Curry GSW ↗
    +2.8DPMDPM Offense +4.3 Defense -1.5 Per 100 possessions:39.6points6.0rebounds7.8assistsP/R/A
    71.8
  6. 6 Aaron Gordon DEN ↗
    +2.8DPMDPM Offense +2.5 Defense +0.4 Per 100 possessions:24.7points9.6rebounds4.5assistsP/R/A
    70.8
  7. 7 Jamal Murray DEN ↗
    +3.3DPMDPM Offense +3.9 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:34.0points6.1rebounds8.2assistsP/R/A
    70.5
  8. 8 Donovan Mitchell CLE ↗
    +4.0DPMDPM Offense +4.7 Defense -0.7 Per 100 possessions:34.7points6.7rebounds7.5assistsP/R/A
    70.0
  9. 9 Jaylen Brown PHI ↗
    +2.4DPMDPM Offense +3.0 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:31.9points8.9rebounds6.3assistsP/R/A
    67.8
  10. 10 Jalen Brunson NYK ↗
    +3.0DPMDPM Offense +4.1 Defense -1.1 Per 100 possessions:36.8points4.7rebounds9.0assistsP/R/A
    67.3
How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Kevin Durant's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value
$57.7M
DARKO's market estimate
Salary
$43.9M
Actual
Surplus
+$13.8M
Value minus salary
WARP
12.3
Wins above replacement
Seasons left
4.1
Projected, within 15
Retires at
42.6
Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Kevin Durant, season by season
SeasonTeamAgeGamesMPGDPMOffDefFor his age
2026-27 so farHOU38833.6+3.76+3.65+0.11—
2025-26HOU3778 +136.4+3.83+3.82+0.017th of 118
2024-25PHX366236.5+3.33+3.75-0.4213th of 189
2023-24PHX3575 +437.2+5.08+4.37+0.715th of 243
2022-23PHX3447 +1135.6+5.35+4.79+0.577th of 337
2021-22BKN3355 +437.2+4.88+5.16-0.2810th of 405
2020-21BKN3235 +1233.0+5.98+5.46+0.526th of 530
2019-20BKN310—+3.64+3.67-0.02—
2018-19GSW3078 +1234.6+4.64+4.83-0.1923rd of 697
2017-18GSW2968 +2134.2+4.93+5.40-0.4622nd of 774
2016-17GSW2862 +1533.4+6.27+5.92+0.3514th of 858
2015-16OKC2772 +1835.8+6.23+6.230.0010th of 924
2014-15OKC262733.8+6.46+6.41+0.056th of 1010
2013-14OKC2581 +1938.5+6.47+6.62-0.164th of 1077
2012-13OKC2481 +1138.5+5.92+6.10-0.185th of 1185
2011-12OKC2366 +2038.6+4.89+5.24-0.356th of 1100
2010-11OKC2278 +1738.9+3.96+4.40-0.459th of 813
2009-10OKC2182 +639.5+3.94+3.79+0.153rd of 571
2008-09OKC207439.0-0.87+0.43-1.30112th of 354
2007-08OKC198034.6-1.93-0.46-1.4763rd of 109

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 33.4 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 96.6.

Kevin Durant, projected box score
StatPer 100Per game
Points32.822.0
Rebounds7.24.8
Offensive0.80.5
Defensive6.44.3
Assists5.94.0
Steals1.10.7
Blocks1.40.9
Turnovers4.02.7
3-pt attempts6.84.6
FG attempts21.214.3
FT attempts8.15.4
FG% · 3P% · FT%51.5% · 38.9% · 85.5%