Joel Embiid

Philadelphia 76ers · C-F

Age 32 · 7'0" · 280 lb · Cameroon

Pick #3, 2014 Draft · Rookie 2015 · 496 games · 66 playoff games

DPM · #10 of 522

+3.8

Offense +2.3 Defense +1.5 Market +3.7 · playoffs +3.2 Last played Nov 2, 2026

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Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Paul Pierce 2009-10	32	+3.8	+4.2, +3.8, +3.2, +1.2, +0.8	83
LaMarcus Aldridge 2017-18	32	+3.7	+2.9, +0.8, -1.0, -1.2, under 10 games	80
Paul Millsap 2016-17	32	+3.2	+2.0, +2.2, +1.5, +1.4, -1.3	77
Scottie Pippen 1997-98	32	+4.2	+2.0, +1.9, +2.0, +0.7, +1.7	77
Manu Ginobili 2009-10	32	+4.8	+5.2, +4.8, +3.6, +4.2, +2.7	77
Vince Carter 2009-10	33	+3.1	+0.9, +1.7, +2.1, +1.6, -1.1	76
Dwyane Wade 2013-14	32	+3.5	+3.0, +1.5, -0.1, -1.2, -1.7	75
Rasheed Wallace 2006-07	32	+4.1	+4.3, +3.4, +1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games	73
Marc Gasol 2016-17	32	+2.3	+0.5, +2.0, +1.2, +0.2, under 10 games	72
Brad Miller 2007-08	32	+3.0	+1.7, +1.1, -0.2, -1.1, under 10 games	72

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Joel's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to Joel Embiid's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

1 Joel Embiid PHI Self

+3.8DPMDPM Offense +2.3 Defense +1.5 Per 100 possessions:33.4points11.7rebounds7.0assistsP/R/A
100.0
2 Karl-Anthony Towns NYK ↗

+3.3DPMDPM Offense +2.1 Defense +1.3 Per 100 possessions:30.4points18.6rebounds6.6assistsP/R/A
82.6
3 Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA ↗

+3.8DPMDPM Offense +2.9 Defense +0.8 Per 100 possessions:42.2points16.5rebounds9.3assistsP/R/A
80.5
4 Bam Adebayo MIA ↗

+3.0DPMDPM Offense +1.9 Defense +1.1 Per 100 possessions:28.5points13.7rebounds5.5assistsP/R/A
79.8
5 OG Anunoby NYK ↗

+3.0DPMDPM Offense +1.6 Defense +1.4 Per 100 possessions:26.2points8.0rebounds3.3assistsP/R/A
73.9
6 Aaron Gordon DEN ↗

+2.8DPMDPM Offense +2.5 Defense +0.4 Per 100 possessions:24.7points9.6rebounds4.5assistsP/R/A
73.8
7 Kevin Durant HOU ↗

+3.7DPMDPM Offense +3.5 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:32.8points7.2rebounds5.9assistsP/R/A
72.6
8 Scottie Barnes TOR ↗

+2.9DPMDPM Offense +1.3 Defense +1.6 Per 100 possessions:31.9points10.5rebounds8.8assistsP/R/A
71.3
9 Jarrett Allen CLE ↗

+3.0DPMDPM Offense +1.0 Defense +2.0 Per 100 possessions:23.9points14.8rebounds2.7assistsP/R/A
70.8
10 De'Aaron Fox SAS ↗

+2.5DPMDPM Offense +2.0 Defense +0.5 Per 100 possessions:25.7points6.2rebounds9.7assistsP/R/A
68.1

How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Joel Embiid's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $57.5M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $58.1M; Actual
Surplus: -$0.6M; Value minus salary
WARP: 12.6; Wins above replacement
Seasons left: 4.1; Projected, within 15
Retires at: 37.1; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Joel Embiid, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2026-27 so far	PHI	32	6	33.4	+3.72	+2.38	+1.34	—
2025-26	PHI	32	38 +7	31.6	+4.07	+2.85	+1.22	21st of 530
2024-25	PHI	31	19	30.2	+3.80	+1.41	+2.39	—
2023-24	PHI	30	39 +6	33.6	+6.89	+4.44	+2.44	9th of 697
2022-23	PHI	29	66 +9	34.6	+6.44	+3.59	+2.86	11th of 774
2021-22	PHI	28	68 +10	33.8	+6.36	+3.83	+2.53	13th of 858
2020-21	PHI	27	51 +11	31.1	+6.20	+3.56	+2.64	11th of 924
2019-20	PHI	26	51 +4	29.5	+4.07	+1.55	+2.52	30th of 1010
2018-19	PHI	25	64 +11	33.7	+5.07	+2.32	+2.75	13th of 1077
2017-18	PHI	24	63 +8	30.3	+3.86	+1.53	+2.33	24th of 1185
2016-17	PHI	23	31	25.4	+2.27	+0.79	+1.49	59th of 1100
2015-16	PHI	22	0	—	-0.65	-0.18	-0.46	—
2014-15	PHI	21	0	—	-1.40	-0.88	-0.52	—

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 33.8 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 98.8.

Joel Embiid, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	33.4	23.2
Rebounds	11.7	8.1
Offensive	2.4	1.7
Defensive	9.3	6.4
Assists	7.0	4.8
Steals	1.2	0.8
Blocks	1.6	1.1
Turnovers	4.6	3.2
3-pt attempts	5.9	4.1
FG attempts	23.0	16.0
FT attempts	11.9	8.2
FG% · 3P% · FT%	48.2% · 33.9% · 84.4%