Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook 2019-20 | 31 | +3.5 | +1.9, -0.8, +0.1, -0.6, -1.3 | 76 |
| Dwyane Wade 2013-14 | 32 | +3.5 | +3.0, +1.5, -0.1, -1.2, -1.7 | 74 |
| Jimmy Butler 2020-21 | 31 | +3.7 | +4.0, +3.6, +3.3, +2.8, +2.2 | 72 |
| Paul George 2020-21 | 31 | +5.3 | +4.7, +4.6, +4.5, +2.3, +1.9 | 71 |
| Paul Pierce 2008-09 | 31 | +4.7 | +3.8, +4.2, +3.8, +3.2, +1.2 | 70 |
| Vince Carter 2007-08 | 31 | +2.6 | +2.1, +3.1, +0.9, +1.7, +2.1 | 69 |
| Mike Conley 2018-19 | 31 | +4.2 | +1.7, +3.4, +3.0, +1.4, +1.4 | 68 |
| Gary Payton 1999-00 | 31 | +4.6 | +2.9, +3.0, +1.3, +0.8, +0.1 | 67 |
| Manu Ginobili 2008-09 | 31 | +4.8 | +4.8, +5.2, +4.8, +3.6, +4.2 | 67 |
| Chris Webber 2003-04 | 31 | +2.5 | +0.2, +0.2, -0.3, under 10 games, under 10 games | 66 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Giannis's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Giannis Antetokounmpo's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- +3.8DPMDPM Offense +2.9 Defense +0.8 Per 100 possessions:42.2points16.5rebounds9.3assistsP/R/A100.0
- +3.8DPMDPM Offense +2.3 Defense +1.5 Per 100 possessions:33.4points11.7rebounds7.0assistsP/R/A80.5
- +3.3DPMDPM Offense +2.1 Defense +1.3 Per 100 possessions:30.4points18.6rebounds6.6assistsP/R/A77.4
- +3.0DPMDPM Offense +1.9 Defense +1.1 Per 100 possessions:28.5points13.7rebounds5.5assistsP/R/A71.5
- +5.0DPMDPM Offense +4.9 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:36.9points11.3rebounds9.8assistsP/R/A68.6
- +3.1DPMDPM Offense +3.5 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:41.0points5.8rebounds10.4assistsP/R/A67.3
- +3.7DPMDPM Offense +3.5 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:32.8points7.2rebounds5.9assistsP/R/A66.5
- +4.4DPMDPM Offense +3.9 Defense +0.4 Per 100 possessions:36.8points7.6rebounds12.5assistsP/R/A66.1
- +2.9DPMDPM Offense +1.3 Defense +1.6 Per 100 possessions:31.9points10.5rebounds8.8assistsP/R/A65.8
- +3.3DPMDPM Offense +3.9 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:34.0points6.1rebounds8.2assistsP/R/A65.6
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Giannis Antetokounmpo's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $56.1M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $58.5M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$2.3M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 12.2
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 6.5
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 38.8
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | MIA | 31 | 7 | 31.8 | +3.64 | +2.98 | +0.66 | — |
| 2025-26 | MIL | 31 | 36 | 28.9 | +5.37 | +3.93 | +1.44 | 14th of 616 |
| 2024-25 | MIL | 30 | 67 +5 | 34.2 | +6.57 | +4.18 | +2.39 | 10th of 697 |
| 2023-24 | MIL | 29 | 73 | 35.2 | +6.15 | +3.83 | +2.31 | 12th of 774 |
| 2022-23 | MIL | 28 | 63 +3 | 32.1 | +6.76 | +3.88 | +2.88 | 11th of 858 |
| 2021-22 | MIL | 27 | 67 +12 | 32.9 | +7.12 | +4.19 | +2.94 | 4th of 924 |
| 2020-21 | MIL | 26 | 61 +21 | 33.0 | +6.74 | +4.26 | +2.48 | 4th of 1010 |
| 2019-20 | MIL | 25 | 63 +9 | 30.4 | +6.29 | +3.47 | +2.82 | 6th of 1077 |
| 2018-19 | MIL | 24 | 72 +15 | 32.7 | +6.04 | +3.59 | +2.45 | 4th of 1185 |
| 2017-18 | MIL | 23 | 75 +7 | 36.7 | +4.45 | +2.92 | +1.54 | 12th of 1100 |
| 2016-17 | MIL | 22 | 80 +6 | 35.6 | +3.55 | +2.17 | +1.37 | 13th of 813 |
| 2015-16 | MIL | 21 | 80 | 35.3 | +1.20 | +0.88 | +0.32 | 35th of 571 |
| 2014-15 | MIL | 20 | 81 +6 | 31.4 | +0.03 | -0.83 | +0.86 | 53rd of 354 |
| 2013-14 | MIL | 19 | 77 | 24.6 | -1.10 | -1.44 | +0.35 | 38th of 109 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 32.8 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 100.7.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 42.2 | 29.0 |
| Rebounds | 16.5 | 11.4 |
| Offensive | 4.4 | 3.0 |
| Defensive | 12.2 | 8.4 |
| Assists | 9.3 | 6.4 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Turnovers | 4.9 | 3.4 |
| 3-pt attempts | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| FG attempts | 26.8 | 18.4 |
| FT attempts | 15.1 | 10.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 59.2% · 29.2% · 64.6% | |









