Giannis Antetokounmpo

Miami Heat · F-G

Age 31 · 6'9" · 242 lb · Greece

Pick #15, 2013 Draft · Rookie 2014 · 902 games · 84 playoff games

DPM · #11 of 522

+3.8
Offense +2.9 Defense +0.8 Market +6.0 · playoffs +6.4 Last played Nov 2, 2026

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

CompAgeDPM thenNext 5 seasonsMatch
Russell Westbrook 2019-2031+3.5 +1.9, -0.8, +0.1, -0.6, -1.3 76
Dwyane Wade 2013-1432+3.5 +3.0, +1.5, -0.1, -1.2, -1.7 74
Jimmy Butler 2020-2131+3.7 +4.0, +3.6, +3.3, +2.8, +2.2 72
Paul George 2020-2131+5.3 +4.7, +4.6, +4.5, +2.3, +1.9 71
Paul Pierce 2008-0931+4.7 +3.8, +4.2, +3.8, +3.2, +1.2 70
Vince Carter 2007-0831+2.6 +2.1, +3.1, +0.9, +1.7, +2.1 69
Mike Conley 2018-1931+4.2 +1.7, +3.4, +3.0, +1.4, +1.4 68
Gary Payton 1999-0031+4.6 +2.9, +3.0, +1.3, +0.8, +0.1 67
Manu Ginobili 2008-0931+4.8 +4.8, +5.2, +4.8, +3.6, +4.2 67
Chris Webber 2003-0431+2.5 +0.2, +0.2, -0.3, under 10 games, under 10 games 66

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Giannis's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to Giannis Antetokounmpo's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

  1. +3.8DPMDPM Offense +2.9 Defense +0.8 Per 100 possessions:42.2points16.5rebounds9.3assistsP/R/A
    100.0
  2. +3.8DPMDPM Offense +2.3 Defense +1.5 Per 100 possessions:33.4points11.7rebounds7.0assistsP/R/A
    80.5
  3. +3.3DPMDPM Offense +2.1 Defense +1.3 Per 100 possessions:30.4points18.6rebounds6.6assistsP/R/A
    77.4
  4. +3.0DPMDPM Offense +1.9 Defense +1.1 Per 100 possessions:28.5points13.7rebounds5.5assistsP/R/A
    71.5
  5. +5.0DPMDPM Offense +4.9 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:36.9points11.3rebounds9.8assistsP/R/A
    68.6
  6. +3.1DPMDPM Offense +3.5 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:41.0points5.8rebounds10.4assistsP/R/A
    67.3
  7. +3.7DPMDPM Offense +3.5 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:32.8points7.2rebounds5.9assistsP/R/A
    66.5
  8. +4.4DPMDPM Offense +3.9 Defense +0.4 Per 100 possessions:36.8points7.6rebounds12.5assistsP/R/A
    66.1
  9. +2.9DPMDPM Offense +1.3 Defense +1.6 Per 100 possessions:31.9points10.5rebounds8.8assistsP/R/A
    65.8
  10. +3.3DPMDPM Offense +3.9 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:34.0points6.1rebounds8.2assistsP/R/A
    65.6
How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Giannis Antetokounmpo's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value
$56.1M
DARKO's market estimate
Salary
$58.5M
Actual
Surplus
-$2.3M
Value minus salary
WARP
12.2
Wins above replacement
Seasons left
6.5
Projected, within 15
Retires at
38.8
Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Giannis Antetokounmpo, season by season
SeasonTeamAgeGamesMPGDPMOffDefFor his age
2026-27 so farMIA31731.8+3.64+2.98+0.66—
2025-26MIL313628.9+5.37+3.93+1.4414th of 616
2024-25MIL3067 +534.2+6.57+4.18+2.3910th of 697
2023-24MIL297335.2+6.15+3.83+2.3112th of 774
2022-23MIL2863 +332.1+6.76+3.88+2.8811th of 858
2021-22MIL2767 +1232.9+7.12+4.19+2.944th of 924
2020-21MIL2661 +2133.0+6.74+4.26+2.484th of 1010
2019-20MIL2563 +930.4+6.29+3.47+2.826th of 1077
2018-19MIL2472 +1532.7+6.04+3.59+2.454th of 1185
2017-18MIL2375 +736.7+4.45+2.92+1.5412th of 1100
2016-17MIL2280 +635.6+3.55+2.17+1.3713th of 813
2015-16MIL218035.3+1.20+0.88+0.3235th of 571
2014-15MIL2081 +631.4+0.03-0.83+0.8653rd of 354
2013-14MIL197724.6-1.10-1.44+0.3538th of 109

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 32.8 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 100.7.

Giannis Antetokounmpo, projected box score
StatPer 100Per game
Points42.229.0
Rebounds16.511.4
Offensive4.43.0
Defensive12.28.4
Assists9.36.4
Steals1.51.0
Blocks1.20.8
Turnovers4.93.4
3-pt attempts2.61.8
FG attempts26.818.4
FT attempts15.110.4
FG% · 3P% · FT%59.2% · 29.2% · 64.6%