Jayson Tatum
Age 28 · 6'8" · 210 lb · USA
Pick #3, 2017 Draft · Rookie 2018 · 602 games · 127 playoff games
DPM · #7 of 519
+4.6Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Griffin 2016-17 | 28 | +4.8 | +2.9, +3.0, +1.8, +1.0, -0.7 | 86 |
| Tracy McGrady 2006-07 | 27 | +5.1 | +3.2, +1.7, -0.3, +0.1, -0.1 | 82 |
| Baron Davis 2007-08 | 29 | +4.8 | +2.5, +2.9, +3.2, +0.7, under 10 games | 81 |
| Paul Pierce 2005-06 | 28 | +4.4 | +3.9, +5.3, +4.6, +3.8, +4.1 | 80 |
| Manu Ginobili 2005-06 | 28 | +5.2 | +5.5, +5.4, +4.9, +4.8, +5.2 | 80 |
| Vince Carter 2005-06 | 29 | +4.0 | +3.5, +2.6, +2.1, +3.1, +0.9 | 76 |
| Kevin Durant 2016-17 | 28 | +6.3 | +4.9, +4.7, under 10 games, +5.9, +4.8 | 76 |
| Shawn Marion 2005-06 | 28 | +5.1 | +5.2, +3.5, +1.8, +1.9, +0.3 | 76 |
| Jrue Holiday 2018-19 | 28 | +4.4 | +3.3, +3.8, +4.0, +5.1, +1.9 | 75 |
| Kyrie Irving 2020-21 | 29 | +4.0 | +4.1, +4.3, +4.0, +3.0, under 10 games | 75 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jayson's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Jayson Tatum's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- +4.6DPMDPM Offense +4.2 Defense +0.5 Per 100 possessions:33.7points12.7rebounds8.9assistsP/R/A100.0
- +4.5DPMDPM Offense +4.9 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:34.8points6.5rebounds7.2assistsP/R/A81.5
- +5.3DPMDPM Offense +5.2 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:41.5points10.0rebounds10.2assistsP/R/A80.5
- +5.1DPMDPM Offense +5.3 Defense -0.2 Per 100 possessions:39.4points7.3rebounds5.2assistsP/R/A76.5
- +3.8DPMDPM Offense +3.6 Defense +0.2 Per 100 possessions:35.0points6.9rebounds12.4assistsP/R/A76.4
- +4.3DPMDPM Offense +3.4 Defense +0.9 Per 100 possessions:40.9points15.7rebounds9.2assistsP/R/A75.3
- +3.4DPMDPM Offense +4.0 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:33.3points5.9rebounds8.4assistsP/R/A74.9
- +4.1DPMDPM Offense +2.8 Defense +1.2 Per 100 possessions:35.5points11.7rebounds7.1assistsP/R/A74.8
- +3.2DPMDPM Offense +3.7 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:32.9points7.5rebounds11.7assistsP/R/A71.7
- +3.1DPMDPM Offense +3.6 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:40.9points6.0rebounds10.9assistsP/R/A70.6
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jayson Tatum's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $71.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $54.8M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$16.4M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 14.6
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 7.4
- Projected
- Retires at
- 36.0
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | BOS | 28 | 1 | 37.8 | +5.01 | +4.47 | +0.53 | — |
| 2025-26 | BOS | 28 | 16 +6 | 32.6 | +5.10 | +4.56 | +0.54 | — |
| 2024-25 | BOS | 27 | 72 +8 | 36.4 | +6.19 | +5.76 | +0.42 | 12th of 924 |
| 2023-24 | BOS | 26 | 74 +19 | 35.7 | +5.74 | +5.28 | +0.46 | 9th of 1010 |
| 2022-23 | BOS | 25 | 74 +20 | 36.9 | +5.44 | +5.00 | +0.44 | 9th of 1077 |
| 2021-22 | BOS | 24 | 76 +24 | 35.9 | +5.08 | +4.43 | +0.66 | 11th of 1185 |
| 2020-21 | BOS | 23 | 64 +5 | 35.8 | +3.35 | +3.59 | -0.25 | 21st of 1100 |
| 2019-20 | BOS | 22 | 66 +17 | 34.3 | +4.56 | +3.22 | +1.33 | 4th of 813 |
| 2018-19 | BOS | 21 | 79 +9 | 31.1 | +1.53 | +0.42 | +1.11 | 26th of 571 |
| 2017-18 | BOS | 20 | 80 +19 | 30.5 | +1.55 | +0.57 | +0.98 | 12th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 33.2 projected minutes and a pace of 98.5.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 33.7 | 22.9 |
| Rebounds | 12.7 | 8.7 |
| Offensive | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Defensive | 11.7 | 7.9 |
| Assists | 8.9 | 6.0 |
| Steals | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 4.0 | 2.7 |
| 3-pt attempts | 12.6 | 8.6 |
| FG attempts | 26.5 | 18.0 |
| FT attempts | 6.3 | 4.3 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 43.8% · 35.4% · 82.2% | |