Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.09
- +2.24 before the first game, +2.33 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.29
- Oct 21 vs LAL · 35 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.27
- Nov 21 vs POR · 34 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.06
- Last 19 games, vs 0.12 in the first 19. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+2.3 at age 36 in 2025-26 ranks 18th of 189 age-36 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Vince Carter, 2012-13.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Carter 2012-13 | 36 | +1.9 | +1.3, -1.3, -2.0, -1.0, -1.8 | 81 |
| Clyde Drexler 1997-98 | 35 | +2.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 78 |
| Paul Pierce 2013-14 | 36 | +1.3 | +0.9, -2.1, -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 77 |
| Dirk Nowitzki 2014-15 | 36 | +1.9 | +2.2, +0.2, -0.1, -1.7, under 10 games | 76 |
| Manu Ginobili 2012-13 | 35 | +3.0 | +4.3, +2.5, +2.4, +1.0, +0.1 | 76 |
| Jeff Hornacek 1998-99 | 36 | +1.6 | +0.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 75 |
| Paul Millsap 2020-21 | 36 | +2.0 | -2.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 72 |
| Terry Porter 1999-00 | 37 | +1.8 | +1.3, +1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 72 |
| Chris Mullin 1998-99 | 35 | +1.7 | +1.1, -0.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 72 |
| Andre Miller 2011-12 | 36 | +1.1 | +0.3, -0.7, -0.8, -1.7, under 10 games | 72 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jimmy's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Jimmy Butler's seasons, at the same age.
- Adou Thiero LAL like his 2011-12 91
- Tyrese Haliburton IND like his 2015-16 80
- Joel Embiid PHI like his 2020-21 78
- Karl-Anthony Towns NYK like his 2019-20 74
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jimmy Butler's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $25.3M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $54.1M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$28.8M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.8
- Projected
- Retires at
- 38.7
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | GSW | 36 | 38 | 31.1 | +2.33 | +1.65 | +0.68 | 18th of 189 |
| 2024-25 | GSW | 35 | 55 +11 | 31.7 | +2.46 | +1.34 | +1.12 | 24th of 243 |
| 2023-24 | MIA | 34 | 60 | 34.0 | +3.50 | +2.30 | +1.20 | 23rd of 336 |
| 2022-23 | MIA | 33 | 64 +22 | 33.4 | +3.57 | +2.87 | +0.70 | 17th of 406 |
| 2021-22 | MIA | 32 | 57 +17 | 33.9 | +4.07 | +2.85 | +1.22 | 18th of 530 |
| 2020-21 | MIA | 31 | 52 +4 | 33.5 | +3.66 | +2.42 | +1.24 | 31st of 616 |
| 2019-20 | MIA | 31 | 58 +21 | 33.8 | +3.30 | +2.31 | +0.99 | 37th of 616 |
| 2018-19 | PHI | 29 | 65 +12 | 33.6 | +3.22 | +2.01 | +1.21 | 47th of 774 |
| 2017-18 | MIN | 28 | 59 +5 | 36.7 | +4.30 | +2.99 | +1.31 | 28th of 858 |
| 2016-17 | CHI | 27 | 76 +6 | 37.0 | +3.39 | +2.19 | +1.20 | 50th of 924 |
| 2015-16 | CHI | 26 | 67 | 36.9 | +2.55 | +1.93 | +0.62 | 80th of 1010 |
| 2014-15 | CHI | 25 | 65 +12 | 38.7 | +3.07 | +1.78 | +1.29 | 47th of 1078 |
| 2013-14 | CHI | 24 | 67 +5 | 38.7 | +2.30 | +0.86 | +1.44 | 72nd of 1185 |
| 2012-13 | CHI | 23 | 82 +12 | 26.0 | +2.20 | +1.05 | +1.15 | 50th of 1100 |
| 2011-12 | CHI | 22 | 42 +3 | 8.5 | -1.73 | -1.38 | -0.35 | 556th of 813 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 23.7 projected minutes and a pace of 94.5.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 27.0 | 12.6 |
| Rebounds | 8.7 | 4.1 |
| Offensive | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| Defensive | 5.5 | 2.6 |
| Assists | 7.2 | 3.3 |
| Steals | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 4.4 | 2.0 |
| 3-pt attempts | 4.8 | 2.2 |
| FG attempts | 19.7 | 9.2 |
| FT attempts | 9.3 | 4.3 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 47.0% · 30.3% · 82.0% | |
