Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.22
- +1.75 before the first game, +1.53 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.26
- Dec 5 vs MIL · 30 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.23
- Dec 7 vs LAL · 32 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.11
- Last 20 games, vs 0.09 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+1.5 at age 36 in 2025-26 ranks 30th of 189 age-36 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Paul Pierce, 2013-14.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce 2013-14 | 36 | +1.3 | +0.9, -2.1, -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Vince Carter 2012-13 | 36 | +1.9 | +1.3, -1.3, -2.0, -1.0, -1.8 | 84 |
| Scottie Pippen 2000-01 | 35 | +1.8 | +0.5, +1.7, -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
| Paul Millsap 2020-21 | 36 | +2.0 | -2.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
| Jon Barry 2004-05 | 35 | +1.3 | +0.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 80 |
| Clifford Robinson 2001-02 | 35 | +0.8 | -0.7, -1.5, -3.6, -3.8, -5.6 | 80 |
| Eddie Jones 2006-07 | 35 | +0.8 | -0.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 79 |
| Ron Harper 1999-00 | 36 | +0.8 | 0.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 78 |
| Chris Mullin 1998-99 | 35 | +1.7 | +1.1, -0.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 77 |
| Toni Kukoc 2003-04 | 35 | +1.1 | 0.0, -1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 76 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Paul's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Paul George's seasons, at the same age.
- Collin Murray-Boyles TOR like his 2010-11 84
- Cason Wallace OKC like his 2011-12 81
- Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL like his 2020-21 77
- Luka Doncic LAL like his 2016-17 72
- Nikola Jokic DEN like his 2020-21 61
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Paul George's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $35.7M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $51.7M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$15.9M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.6
- Projected
- Retires at
- 37.8
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | PHI | 36 | 37 +11 | 30.7 | +1.53 | +0.34 | +1.18 | 30th of 189 |
| 2024-25 | PHI | 34 | 41 | 32.5 | +2.11 | +0.92 | +1.19 | 36th of 336 |
| 2023-24 | LAC | 34 | 74 +6 | 33.8 | +4.54 | +3.14 | +1.40 | 15th of 336 |
| 2022-23 | LAC | 32 | 56 | 34.6 | +4.49 | +2.79 | +1.71 | 16th of 530 |
| 2021-22 | LAC | 31 | 31 | 34.8 | +4.44 | +2.68 | +1.76 | 20th of 616 |
| 2020-21 | LAC | 31 | 54 +19 | 33.7 | +5.08 | +3.56 | +1.52 | 12th of 616 |
| 2019-20 | LAC | 30 | 48 +13 | 29.6 | +4.69 | +2.66 | +2.03 | 22nd of 697 |
| 2018-19 | OKC | 28 | 77 +5 | 36.9 | +4.82 | +2.55 | +2.26 | 23rd of 858 |
| 2017-18 | OKC | 27 | 79 +6 | 36.6 | +3.19 | +2.07 | +1.12 | 56th of 924 |
| 2016-17 | IND | 26 | 75 +4 | 35.9 | +4.61 | +2.86 | +1.75 | 17th of 1010 |
| 2015-16 | IND | 25 | 81 +7 | 34.8 | +4.07 | +1.85 | +2.22 | 26th of 1078 |
| 2014-15 | IND | 24 | 6 | 15.2 | +3.86 | +1.72 | +2.14 | — |
| 2013-14 | IND | 24 | 80 +19 | 36.2 | +3.83 | +1.93 | +1.91 | 24th of 1185 |
| 2012-13 | IND | 23 | 79 +19 | 37.6 | +3.30 | +1.32 | +1.97 | 24th of 1100 |
| 2011-12 | IND | 22 | 66 +11 | 29.7 | +2.51 | +0.94 | +1.57 | 26th of 813 |
| 2010-11 | IND | 20 | 61 +5 | 20.7 | +0.83 | -0.28 | +1.12 | 33rd of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 22.9 projected minutes and a pace of 94.6.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 22.7 | 10.3 |
| Rebounds | 7.4 | 3.3 |
| Offensive | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Defensive | 6.4 | 2.9 |
| Assists | 4.6 | 2.1 |
| Steals | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| Blocks | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| 3-pt attempts | 10.2 | 4.6 |
| FG attempts | 18.5 | 8.4 |
| FT attempts | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 42.2% · 36.4% · 81.2% | |
