Fred VanVleet
Age 32 · 6'1" · 197 lb · USA
Rookie 2017 · 550 games · 59 playoff games
DPM · #65 of 519
+1.5Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Ward 2002-03 | 32 | +1.5 | -0.4, +0.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Greg Anthony 1999-00 | 32 | +1.3 | -0.4, -2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| George Hill 2018-19 | 33 | +1.7 | +2.0, -0.9, +0.7, -1.2, under 10 games | 86 |
| Derek Fisher 2006-07 | 32 | +1.4 | +1.9, +1.7, +1.4, +1.2, -0.1 | 85 |
| Doug Christie 2001-02 | 32 | +1.3 | +1.7, +1.5, -0.1, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Kyle Korver 2013-14 | 33 | +1.3 | +2.5, +1.8, -0.5, +0.5, -0.9 | 84 |
| Joe Ingles 2019-20 | 32 | +1.0 | +1.5, +0.4, 0.0, -1.0, -2.5 | 84 |
| Devin Harris 2014-15 | 32 | +1.3 | -0.2, -0.3, +0.1, -1.6, under 10 games | 83 |
| Patrick Beverley 2019-20 | 32 | +0.8 | +1.2, +2.0, -1.5, -2.7, under 10 games | 83 |
| Jared Dudley 2017-18 | 32 | +1.1 | +0.3, -1.5, -2.3, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Fred's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Fred VanVleet's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- +1.5DPMDPM Offense +0.3 Defense +1.2 Per 100 possessions:19.0points5.0rebounds9.5assistsP/R/A100.0
- +1.3DPMDPM Offense 0.0 Defense +1.3 Per 100 possessions:18.0points5.2rebounds6.4assistsP/R/A88.6
- +1.5DPMDPM Offense +0.2 Defense +1.3 Per 100 possessions:19.1points6.4rebounds6.2assistsP/R/A86.4
- +2.2DPMDPM Offense +1.3 Defense +0.9 Per 100 possessions:22.8points6.0rebounds7.2assistsP/R/A81.8
- +0.7DPMDPM Offense -0.7 Defense +1.4 Per 100 possessions:12.1points6.5rebounds8.0assistsP/R/A80.8
- +1.2DPMDPM Offense +0.5 Defense +0.7 Per 100 possessions:19.4points6.9rebounds7.1assistsP/R/A80.2
- +0.5DPMDPM Offense -0.2 Defense +0.7 Per 100 possessions:21.1points6.0rebounds8.5assistsP/R/A78.6
- +0.8DPMDPM Offense 0.0 Defense +0.8 Per 100 possessions:18.2points11.6rebounds7.0assistsP/R/A78.5
- +2.2DPMDPM Offense 0.0 Defense +2.2 Per 100 possessions:19.0points7.0rebounds4.9assistsP/R/A78.0
- +1.8DPMDPM Offense +0.7 Defense +1.1 Per 100 possessions:27.3points7.6rebounds5.9assistsP/R/A77.9
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Fred VanVleet's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $17.7M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $23.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$5.7M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 4.8
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 2.2
- Projected
- Retires at
- 34.9
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | HOU | 32 | 1 | 29.6 | +1.44 | +0.34 | +1.10 | — |
| 2025-26 | HOU | 32 | 0 | — | +1.57 | +0.32 | +1.26 | — |
| 2024-25 | HOU | 31 | 60 +7 | 35.2 | +2.04 | +1.00 | +1.03 | 85th of 616 |
| 2023-24 | HOU | 30 | 73 | 36.8 | +2.57 | +1.36 | +1.21 | 68th of 697 |
| 2022-23 | TOR | 29 | 69 | 36.7 | +3.02 | +1.82 | +1.20 | 61st of 774 |
| 2021-22 | TOR | 28 | 65 +4 | 37.9 | +2.13 | +1.37 | +0.75 | 112th of 858 |
| 2020-21 | TOR | 27 | 52 | 36.5 | +1.82 | +1.15 | +0.67 | 137th of 924 |
| 2019-20 | TOR | 26 | 54 +11 | 35.7 | +1.16 | +0.86 | +0.29 | 206th of 1010 |
| 2018-19 | TOR | 25 | 64 +24 | 27.5 | +0.56 | +0.13 | +0.44 | 265th of 1077 |
| 2017-18 | TOR | 24 | 76 +6 | 20.0 | +1.76 | +1.13 | +0.63 | 109th of 1185 |
| 2016-17 | TOR | 23 | 36 +7 | 8.2 | -1.71 | -1.49 | -0.22 | 760th of 1100 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 21.0 projected minutes and a pace of 97.4.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19.0 | 8.1 |
| Rebounds | 5.0 | 2.1 |
| Offensive | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Defensive | 4.3 | 1.8 |
| Assists | 9.5 | 4.0 |
| Steals | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 3-pt attempts | 13.1 | 5.6 |
| FG attempts | 17.0 | 7.3 |
| FT attempts | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 38.0% · 36.1% · 83.0% | |