Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.74
- +0.40 before the first game, +1.14 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.34
- Mar 8 vs SAS · 14 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.33
- Nov 14 vs POR · 9 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.12
- Last 20 games, vs 0.10 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+1.1 at age 31 in 2025-26 ranks 132nd of 616 age-31 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Erick Dampier, 2006-07.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erick Dampier 2006-07 | 31 | +1.1 | +0.2, -0.3, +0.5, -1.1, -1.1 | 86 |
| Ian Mahinmi 2018-19 | 32 | +0.5 | -0.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Brendan Haywood 2011-12 | 32 | +0.7 | -1.3, under 10 games, -3.2, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Marcus Camby 2005-06 | 32 | +1.4 | +1.6, +0.6, +0.6, +1.6, +0.6 | 86 |
| Scot Pollard 2005-06 | 31 | +0.7 | -0.6, -0.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Marcin Gortat 2015-16 | 32 | +1.5 | +1.0, +0.7, -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Salah Mejri 2017-18 | 31 | +1.2 | +1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Theo Ratliff 2004-05 | 32 | +1.1 | -0.6, under 10 games, -1.8, -2.0, -1.7 | 83 |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas 2006-07 | 32 | +1.1 | +1.7, +2.1, +0.2, -1.3, under 10 games | 82 |
| Ervin Johnson 1999-00 | 32 | +1.7 | +1.4, -0.2, -1.3, -1.3, -2.0 | 82 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Clint's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Clint Capela's seasons, at the same age.
- Walker Kessler UTA like his 2018-19 84
- Jalen Duren DET like his 2016-17 83
- Day'Ron Sharpe BKN like his 2018-19 81
- Donovan Clingan POR like his 2015-16 80
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Clint Capela's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $6.4M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $6.7M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$0.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.3
- Projected
- Retires at
- 33.5
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | HOU | 31 | 75 +4 | 12.3 | +1.14 | -1.79 | +2.93 | 132nd of 616 |
| 2024-25 | ATL | 30 | 55 | 21.4 | +0.35 | -1.18 | +1.53 | 255th of 697 |
| 2023-24 | ATL | 29 | 73 | 25.8 | +1.12 | -0.01 | +1.13 | 177th of 774 |
| 2022-23 | ATL | 28 | 65 +6 | 26.6 | +1.07 | +0.29 | +0.78 | 197th of 858 |
| 2021-22 | ATL | 27 | 74 +2 | 27.6 | +1.85 | +0.17 | +1.68 | 124th of 924 |
| 2020-21 | ATL | 27 | 63 +18 | 30.1 | +2.32 | +0.15 | +2.17 | 103rd of 924 |
| 2019-20 | ATL | 25 | 39 | 32.8 | +0.74 | -0.50 | +1.24 | 226th of 1078 |
| 2018-19 | HOU | 24 | 67 +11 | 33.6 | +1.17 | -0.43 | +1.61 | 158th of 1185 |
| 2017-18 | HOU | 24 | 74 +17 | 27.5 | +1.78 | -0.16 | +1.93 | 105th of 1185 |
| 2016-17 | HOU | 22 | 65 +11 | 23.9 | +1.09 | +0.03 | +1.06 | 88th of 813 |
| 2015-16 | HOU | 21 | 77 +5 | 19.1 | +1.52 | +0.39 | +1.14 | 26th of 571 |
| 2014-15 | HOU | 21 | 12 +17 | 7.5 | -0.97 | -1.50 | +0.52 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 3.6 projected minutes and a pace of 93.8.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 16.5 | 1.2 |
| Rebounds | 16.7 | 1.2 |
| Offensive | 6.8 | 0.5 |
| Defensive | 9.8 | 0.7 |
| Assists | 2.3 | 0.2 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 0.1 |
| Blocks | 3.3 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.5 | 0.2 |
| 3-pt attempts | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| FG attempts | 12.6 | 0.9 |
| FT attempts | 4.2 | 0.3 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 55.9% · 24.7% · 53.0% | |
