Robert Williams III

Portland Trail Blazers · F

Age 29 · 6'8" · 237 lb · USA

Pick #27, 2018 Draft · Rookie 2019 · 294 games · 61 playoff games

DPM · #36 of 519

+2.2
Offense +0.1 Defense +2.1 Last played Oct 21, 2026

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

CompAgeDPM thenNext 5 seasonsMatch
Derrick Favors 2019-2029+2.0 +0.3, -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 84
Anderson Varejao 2010-1128+2.4 +2.7, +2.3, +2.6, +1.9, -0.9 83
Amir Johnson 2015-1628+2.3 +2.2, +0.5, -1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games 82
DeAndre Jordan 2017-1829+2.1 -0.3, +0.1, -1.1, -2.5, -3.2 79
P.J. Brown 1998-9929+1.6 +1.8, +2.5, +2.4, +1.4, +1.1 78
Al Horford 2014-1528+2.4 +2.0, +1.9, +2.0, +2.1, +1.3 78
Brendan Haywood 2007-0828+1.3 under 10 games, +2.2, +1.0, +0.8, -1.2 78
Jerome Williams 2001-0228+2.3 +2.0, +0.1, +1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games 78
Lamar Odom 2007-0828+2.9 +4.9, +4.3, +3.5, -0.6, +0.8 77
Kenyon Martin 2005-0628+1.6 under 10 games, +1.3, +1.6, +0.1, +0.5 77

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Robert's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to Robert Williams III's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

  1. +2.2DPMDPM Offense +0.1 Defense +2.1 Per 100 possessions:18.2points18.8rebounds3.3assistsP/R/A
    100.0
  2. +2.2DPMDPM Offense -0.1 Defense +2.2 Per 100 possessions:20.7points16.2rebounds3.2assistsP/R/A
    88.4
  3. +2.2DPMDPM Offense +0.1 Defense +2.1 Per 100 possessions:17.5points20.0rebounds2.3assistsP/R/A
    88.3
  4. +2.4DPMDPM Offense 0.0 Defense +2.5 Per 100 possessions:18.6points14.0rebounds3.5assistsP/R/A
    82.7
  5. +1.3DPMDPM Offense -0.3 Defense +1.6 Per 100 possessions:18.7points15.9rebounds3.9assistsP/R/A
    82.3
  6. +2.9DPMDPM Offense +0.9 Defense +2.0 Per 100 possessions:22.7points14.7rebounds2.6assistsP/R/A
    79.9
  7. +1.5DPMDPM Offense +0.4 Defense +1.1 Per 100 possessions:23.8points17.9rebounds3.7assistsP/R/A
    78.0
  8. +1.2DPMDPM Offense +0.2 Defense +1.0 Per 100 possessions:21.8points18.6rebounds3.4assistsP/R/A
    76.6
  9. +1.7DPMDPM Offense 0.0 Defense +1.7 Per 100 possessions:21.9points17.4rebounds6.7assistsP/R/A
    76.6
  10. 10 Paul Reed DET ↗
    +1.4DPMDPM Offense +0.2 Defense +1.2 Per 100 possessions:26.2points16.0rebounds4.8assistsP/R/A
    76.5
How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Robert Williams III's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value
$26.0M
DARKO's market estimate
Salary
$13.1M
Actual
Surplus
+$12.9M
Value minus salary
WARP
3.8
Wins above replacement
Seasons left
3.6
Projected
Retires at
32.6
Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Robert Williams III, season by season
SeasonTeamAgeGamesMPGDPMOffDefFor his age
2026-27 so farPOR29115.3+2.20+0.11+2.09—
2025-26POR2859 +517.1+2.67+0.39+2.2887th of 858
2024-25POR272017.6+1.86-0.27+2.13133rd of 924
2023-24POR26619.8+1.65+0.19+1.47—
2022-23BOS2535 +2023.5+2.59+0.31+2.2871st of 1077
2021-22BOS2461 +1729.6+2.51+0.85+1.6672nd of 1185
2020-21BOS2352 +318.9+1.26+0.79+0.47133rd of 1100
2019-20BOS2229 +1313.4+1.27+0.55+0.7376th of 813
2018-19BOS2131 +39.1-0.02-1.29+1.27120th of 571

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 13.8 projected minutes and a pace of 99.9.

Robert Williams III, projected box score
StatPer 100Per game
Points18.25.2
Rebounds18.85.4
Offensive6.51.9
Defensive12.33.5
Assists3.30.9
Steals1.70.5
Blocks3.51.0
Turnovers2.20.6
3-pt attempts1.50.4
FG attempts12.53.6
FT attempts3.10.9
FG% · 3P% · FT%64.5% · 29.3% · 66.0%