Al Horford

Golden State Warriors · C-F

Age 40 · 6'10" · 240 lb · Dominican Republic

Pick #3, 2007 Draft · Rookie 2008 · 1,184 games · 197 playoff games

DPM · #279 of 519

-0.8

Offense -1.3 Defense +0.5 Last played Oct 21, 2026

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Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Vince Carter 2016-17	40	-0.6	-2.1, -2.5, -3.8, under 10 games, under 10 games	86
Dirk Nowitzki 2018-19	40	-1.3	under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	83
Sam Perkins 2000-01	39	-0.1	under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	81
Derek Fisher 2013-14	39	-0.7	under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	78
Manu Ginobili 2017-18	40	0.0	under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	76
Jason Kidd 2012-13	40	+0.7	under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	69
Andre Miller 2015-16	40	-1.4	under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	69
Darrell Armstrong 2007-08	39	-2.6	under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	66
Grant Hill 2012-13	40	-2.9	under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	65
Jason Terry 2017-18	40	-2.8	under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	63

The 24 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Al's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to Al Horford's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

1 Al Horford GSW Self

-0.8DPMDPM Offense -1.3 Defense +0.5 Per 100 possessions:17.4points10.7rebounds4.9assistsP/R/A
100.0
2 Brook Lopez LAC ↗

-0.5DPMDPM Offense -1.9 Defense +1.4 Per 100 possessions:20.7points9.1rebounds2.9assistsP/R/A
82.5
3 Nikola Vucevic ORL ↗

-1.3DPMDPM Offense -1.7 Defense +0.3 Per 100 possessions:21.6points13.8rebounds4.8assistsP/R/A
80.1
4 Mike Conley BOS ↗

-1.8DPMDPM Offense -2.3 Defense +0.5 Per 100 possessions:12.6points4.7rebounds8.0assistsP/R/A
75.3
5 Bogdan Bogdanovic HOU ↗

-0.6DPMDPM Offense -0.8 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:20.9points6.3rebounds5.3assistsP/R/A
75.3
6 Buddy Hield CHI ↗

-1.1DPMDPM Offense -0.9 Defense -0.2 Per 100 possessions:21.2points6.5rebounds4.8assistsP/R/A
73.9
7 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope PHI ↗

-0.8DPMDPM Offense -0.9 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:17.4points5.2rebounds4.2assistsP/R/A
73.8
8 Royce O'Neale CHA ↗

-1.5DPMDPM Offense -1.6 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:18.3points8.0rebounds4.1assistsP/R/A
73.6
9 Dorian Finney-Smith ATL ↗

-1.3DPMDPM Offense -2.3 Defense +1.0 Per 100 possessions:12.8points7.1rebounds2.6assistsP/R/A
71.8
10 Klay Thompson MIA ↗

-1.7DPMDPM Offense -0.9 Defense -0.8 Per 100 possessions:22.3points4.6rebounds3.0assistsP/R/A
71.1

How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Al Horford's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $8.0M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $6.4M; Actual
Surplus: +$1.6M; Value minus salary
WARP: 1.1; Wins above replacement
Seasons left: 0.7; Projected
Retires at: 41.0; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Al Horford, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2026-27 so far	GSW	40	1	17.3	-0.76	-1.28	+0.52	—
2025-26	GSW	39	45	21.5	-0.94	-1.19	+0.25	21st of 47
2024-25	BOS	38	60 +11	27.6	+0.64	-1.02	+1.66	18th of 78
2023-24	BOS	38	65 +19	26.8	+0.97	-0.86	+1.83	16th of 78
2022-23	BOS	36	63 +20	30.5	+0.30	-1.29	+1.59	58th of 189
2021-22	BOS	36	69 +23	29.1	+1.63	-1.07	+2.70	32nd of 189
2020-21	OKC	34	28	27.9	-0.74	-1.65	+0.91	170th of 337
2019-20	PHI	34	67 +4	30.2	+1.31	-0.24	+1.54	63rd of 337
2018-19	BOS	32	68 +9	29.0	+2.06	+0.13	+1.93	57th of 530
2017-18	BOS	31	72 +19	31.6	+2.02	-0.03	+2.05	86th of 616
2016-17	BOS	30	68 +18	32.3	+1.86	+0.48	+1.38	107th of 697
2015-16	ATL	29	82 +10	32.1	+1.95	+0.06	+1.89	115th of 774
2014-15	ATL	28	76 +16	30.5	+2.36	+0.85	+1.51	99th of 858
2013-14	ATL	27	29	33.0	+2.38	+1.09	+1.29	108th of 924
2012-13	ATL	26	74 +6	37.2	+1.96	+0.63	+1.33	120th of 1010
2011-12	ATL	25	11 +3	31.6	+1.83	+0.47	+1.36	—
2010-11	ATL	24	77 +12	35.1	+2.12	+0.50	+1.62	88th of 1185
2009-10	ATL	23	81 +11	35.1	+2.38	+0.92	+1.46	54th of 1100
2008-09	ATL	22	67 +9	33.5	+0.36	-0.52	+0.88	168th of 813
2007-08	ATL	21	81 +7	31.4	-0.60	-1.07	+0.47	190th of 571

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 13.4 projected minutes and a pace of 99.6.

Al Horford, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	17.4	4.8
Rebounds	10.7	3.0
Offensive	2.3	0.7
Defensive	8.4	2.3
Assists	4.9	1.4
Steals	1.3	0.3
Blocks	2.0	0.6
Turnovers	2.0	0.6
3-pt attempts	10.4	2.9
FG attempts	15.7	4.4
FT attempts	1.6	0.4
FG% · 3P% · FT%	41.6% · 37.3% · 80.3%