Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donyell Marshall 2008-09 | 35 | -0.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Matt Barnes 2015-16 | 36 | -1.3 | -1.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
| Shawn Marion 2013-14 | 35 | -0.5 | -1.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
| Danny Manning 2001-02 | 35 | -1.6 | -2.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 79 |
| Luis Scola 2015-16 | 36 | -2.6 | -2.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 79 |
| Clifford Robinson 2002-03 | 36 | -1.3 | -1.6, -3.8, -3.6, -5.2, under 10 games | 79 |
| Mike Dunleavy 2016-17 | 36 | -1.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 78 |
| P.J. Brown 2005-06 | 36 | -1.0 | +0.1, -2.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 77 |
| Carmelo Anthony 2019-20 | 36 | -1.7 | -2.8, -2.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 77 |
| Michael Finley 2008-09 | 36 | -1.3 | -2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 77 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Nikola's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Nikola Vucevic's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- -1.3DPMDPM Offense -1.7 Defense +0.3 Per 100 possessions:21.6points13.8rebounds4.8assistsP/R/A100.0
- -1.0DPMDPM Offense -1.0 Defense 0.0 Per 100 possessions:22.1points12.4rebounds4.5assistsP/R/A82.1
- -1.7DPMDPM Offense -1.5 Defense -0.2 Per 100 possessions:15.5points8.3rebounds3.0assistsP/R/A80.7
- -1.8DPMDPM Offense -1.3 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:20.9points7.4rebounds6.0assistsP/R/A80.7
- -0.8DPMDPM Offense -1.3 Defense +0.5 Per 100 possessions:17.4points10.7rebounds4.9assistsP/R/A80.1
- -1.5DPMDPM Offense -1.6 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:18.3points8.0rebounds4.1assistsP/R/A79.8
- -1.1DPMDPM Offense -0.9 Defense -0.2 Per 100 possessions:21.2points6.5rebounds4.8assistsP/R/A79.3
- -2.1DPMDPM Offense -1.7 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:17.7points9.4rebounds4.4assistsP/R/A77.7
- -0.6DPMDPM Offense -0.8 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:20.9points6.3rebounds5.3assistsP/R/A77.5
- -1.8DPMDPM Offense -2.2 Defense +0.4 Per 100 possessions:15.8points8.8rebounds3.3assistsP/R/A77.2
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Nikola Vucevic's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $4.6M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$2.3M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 0.2
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 0.7
- Projected
- Retires at
- 36.7
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | ORL | 35 | 1 | 5.3 | -1.31 | -1.56 | +0.26 | — |
| 2025-26 | BOS | 35 | 64 +6 | 28.4 | -1.48 | -1.45 | -0.03 | 147th of 243 |
| 2024-25 | CHI | 34 | 73 | 31.2 | -1.87 | -1.06 | -0.80 | 246th of 337 |
| 2023-24 | CHI | 33 | 76 | 34.3 | -2.09 | -1.18 | -0.92 | 328th of 405 |
| 2022-23 | CHI | 32 | 82 | 33.5 | -0.42 | -0.51 | +0.08 | 244th of 530 |
| 2021-22 | CHI | 31 | 73 +5 | 33.1 | -0.16 | -0.47 | +0.32 | 274th of 616 |
| 2020-21 | CHI | 30 | 70 | 33.5 | +0.61 | +0.75 | -0.14 | 223rd of 697 |
| 2019-20 | ORL | 29 | 62 +5 | 32.2 | +1.95 | +0.32 | +1.62 | 116th of 774 |
| 2018-19 | ORL | 28 | 80 +5 | 31.4 | +2.17 | -0.24 | +2.41 | 109th of 858 |
| 2017-18 | ORL | 27 | 57 | 29.5 | +0.89 | -0.78 | +1.67 | 248th of 924 |
| 2016-17 | ORL | 26 | 75 | 28.8 | +0.60 | -0.86 | +1.45 | 289th of 1010 |
| 2015-16 | ORL | 25 | 65 | 31.3 | +0.61 | +0.13 | +0.48 | 253rd of 1077 |
| 2014-15 | ORL | 24 | 74 | 34.2 | -0.41 | -0.03 | -0.39 | 475th of 1185 |
| 2013-14 | ORL | 23 | 57 | 31.8 | -1.17 | -0.82 | -0.36 | 611th of 1100 |
| 2012-13 | ORL | 22 | 77 | 33.2 | -1.41 | -1.30 | -0.10 | 500th of 813 |
| 2011-12 | PHI | 21 | 51 +1 | 15.9 | -3.02 | -2.98 | -0.04 | 538th of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 4.9 projected minutes and a pace of 100.7.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 21.6 | 2.2 |
| Rebounds | 13.8 | 1.4 |
| Offensive | 3.3 | 0.3 |
| Defensive | 10.5 | 1.1 |
| Assists | 4.8 | 0.5 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| Blocks | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 2.3 | 0.2 |
| 3-pt attempts | 7.8 | 0.8 |
| FG attempts | 18.3 | 1.9 |
| FT attempts | 2.6 | 0.3 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 46.9% · 35.1% · 78.6% | |









