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Eastern Conference
Boston Celtics
Record 9-2Projected 57.8-24.2Playoffs 99.5%Win conference 35.2%Win Finals 16.2%Lottery 0.5%Expected pick 27.0SRS +9.06
DARKO rating · #3 of 30
+7.8 Offense +5.4 Defense +2.4
Worth about 57 wins over 82 games
Ratings through Nov 10, 2026
Where the rating comes from
Each player's DPM times their share of DARKO's projected team minutes, times five for the five players on the floor, split into offense and defense (points per 100 possessions; 0 is an average player). The columns add up to the team's numbers at the bottom, and offense plus defense is net. Players above average add +8.46; the ones below take away 0.69.
- Jayson Tatum Offense+3.05 Defense+0.03 Net+3.08
- Paul George Offense+0.55 Defense+0.63 Net+1.18
- Derrick White Offense+0.65 Defense+0.44 Net+1.09
- Payton Pritchard Offense+1.53 Defense-0.57 Net+0.96
- Neemias Queta Offense-0.08 Defense+0.85 Net+0.76
- Luka Garza Offense+0.48 Defense+0.08 Net+0.56
- Mitchell Robinson Offense-0.04 Defense+0.54 Net+0.50
- Sam Hauser Offense+0.39 Defense-0.07 Net+0.33
- Jordan Walsh Offense-0.12 Defense+0.11 Net-0.01
- Hugo González Offense-0.31 Defense+0.27 Net-0.03
- Devin Carter Offense-0.03 Defense-0.08 Net-0.11
- Baylor Scheierman Offense-0.16 Defense+0.03 Net-0.13
- Mike Conley Offense-0.31 Defense+0.11 Net-0.20
Boston Celtics Offense+5.38 Defense+2.39 Net+7.77
Players
| Player | Pos |
|---|
| Player | Pos | DPM | Off | Def | Fair Salary | Box | On/Off | MPG | Pace | Pts/100 | Ast/100 | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Pos | |||||||||||||
| Amari Williams | F-C | -2.1 | -2.8 | +0.8 | -$0.1M | -2.0 | -2.7 | 1.2 | 97.5 | 15.2 | 3.7 | 57.3% | 21.1% | 68.0% |
| Baylor Scheierman | G | -0.4 | -0.5 | +0.1 | $9.1M | -0.6 | -0.0 | 16.9 | 96.1 | 16.7 | 4.4 | 42.2% | 37.6% | 84.5% |
| Chris Cenac Jr. | F | -2.3 | -2.2 | -0.1 | -$0.6M | -2.3 | -3.0 | 4.5 | 97.7 | 20.8 | 2.1 | 45.5% | 31.4% | 63.6% |
| Derrick White | G | +2.0 | +1.2 | +0.8 | $35.8M | +0.6 | +2.3 | 28.7 | 95.1 | 23.4 | 7.8 | 42.4% | 35.6% | 87.7% |
| Devin Carter | G | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.3 | $9.6M | -0.5 | +0.0 | 13.5 | 97.5 | 23.8 | 7.0 | 41.8% | 32.4% | 71.8% |
| Dillon Mitchell | F | -2.4 | -1.9 | -0.5 | -$1.2M | -2.4 | -1.9 | 2.6 | 97.0 | 16.8 | 4.5 | 48.2% | 31.3% | 70.6% |
| Hugo González | G | -0.1 | -1.3 | +1.1 | $6.4M | -0.3 | +0.3 | 12.6 | 96.9 | 17.5 | 3.1 | 45.2% | 34.1% | 68.0% |
| Jayson Tatum | F | +4.9 | +4.9 | +0.0 | $68.8M | +4.0 | +5.1 | 32.5 | 96.5 | 37.8 | 9.7 | 44.2% | 35.9% | 85.3% |
| Jordan Walsh | G | -0.0 | -0.4 | +0.4 | $7.6M | +0.1 | -0.4 | 14.2 | 96.6 | 16.1 | 2.8 | 44.1% | 34.3% | 73.4% |
| Luka Garza | C | +2.6 | +2.2 | +0.4 | $17.4M | +3.5 | +0.9 | 11.3 | 95.5 | 27.3 | 3.4 | 49.5% | 37.1% | 75.0% |
| Mike Conley | G | -1.2 | -1.9 | +0.6 | $1.1M | -1.5 | -1.2 | 8.8 | 96.6 | 13.0 | 7.5 | 38.7% | 37.1% | 84.7% |
| Mitchell Robinson | C | +1.7 | -0.1 | +1.8 | $18.9M | +1.6 | +1.6 | 15.4 | 94.9 | 17.5 | 2.4 | 66.4% | 16.1% | 46.8% |
| Neemias Queta | C | +1.7 | -0.2 | +1.9 | $26.0M | +0.7 | +2.8 | 23.1 | 96.1 | 22.2 | 3.5 | 62.1% | 26.4% | 70.5% |
| Paul George | F | +2.1 | +1.0 | +1.1 | $36.5M | +2.0 | +2.1 | 29.7 | 95.9 | 30.7 | 6.4 | 42.8% | 37.9% | 82.7% |
| Payton Pritchard | G | +1.9 | +3.0 | -1.1 | $29.5M | +2.4 | +1.6 | 27.0 | 95.2 | 27.1 | 8.3 | 44.8% | 37.7% | 87.5% |
| Ron Harper Jr. | F | -0.2 | -0.5 | +0.3 | $2.0M | -0.1 | -1.2 | 2.6 | 96.6 | 20.0 | 3.7 | 41.1% | 34.5% | 78.8% |
| Sam Hauser | F | +0.9 | +1.1 | -0.2 | $16.4M | +0.4 | +0.9 | 19.6 | 95.8 | 19.4 | 2.7 | 42.6% | 39.1% | 85.8% |
Core outlook
The rotation by projected minutes: age, rating and how long DARKO expects each player to last.
| Player | Age | DPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | 28 | +4.9 | 8.8 | 99% |
| Paul George | 36 | +2.1 | 2.9 | 50% |
| Derrick White | 32 | +2.0 | 6.3 | 95% |
| Payton Pritchard | 28 | +1.9 | 6.9 | 97% |
| Neemias Queta | 27 | +1.7 | 6.4 | 95% |
| Sam Hauser | 28 | +0.9 | 5.3 | 88% |
| Baylor Scheierman | 26 | -0.4 | 6.9 | 95% |
| Mitchell Robinson | 28 | +1.7 | 5.7 | 90% |
| Jordan Walsh | 22 | 0.0 | 6.4 | 88% |
Payroll against DARKO value
$209.0M of salary for $285.1M of DARKO fair value. The 12 best-paid players:
- Jayson Tatum : salary $58.5M, DARKO value $68.8M, surplus +$10.3M
- Paul George : salary $54.1M, DARKO value $36.5M, surplus -$17.6M
- Derrick White : salary $30.3M, DARKO value $35.8M, surplus +$5.4M
- Mitchell Robinson : salary $15.0M, DARKO value $18.9M, surplus +$3.8M
- Sam Hauser : salary $10.8M, DARKO value $16.4M, surplus +$5.6M
- Payton Pritchard : salary $7.8M, DARKO value $29.5M, surplus +$21.7M
- Devin Carter : salary $7.6M, DARKO value $9.6M, surplus +$2.0M
- Ron Harper Jr. : salary $3.2M, DARKO value $2.0M, surplus -$1.1M
- Chris Cenac Jr. : salary $3.0M, DARKO value -$0.6M, surplus -$3.6M
- Hugo González : salary $2.9M, DARKO value $6.4M, surplus +$3.5M
- Luka Garza : salary $2.8M, DARKO value $17.4M, surplus +$14.6M
- Baylor Scheierman : salary $2.7M, DARKO value $9.1M, surplus +$6.4M