Western Conference
Oklahoma City Thunder
Record 0-0Projected 58.3-23.7Playoffs 99.4%Win conference 35.1%Win Finals 23.1%Lottery 0.6%Expected pick 27.5SRS +10.22
DARKO rating · #1 of 30
+9.4Worth about 60 wins over 82 games
Ratings through Oct 21, 2026
Where the rating comes from
Each player's DPM times their share of DARKO's projected team minutes, times five for the five players on the floor, split into offense and defense (points per 100 possessions; 0 is an average player). The columns add up to the team's numbers at the bottom, and offense plus defense is net. Players above average add +11.15; the ones below take away 1.79.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Offense+3.89 Defense+0.39 Net+4.28
- Chet Holmgren Offense+0.94 Defense+1.38 Net+2.31
- Isaiah Hartenstein Offense-0.18 Defense+1.26 Net+1.08
- Jalen Williams Offense+0.87 Defense+0.12 Net+0.99
- Alex Caruso Offense-0.02 Defense+0.94 Net+0.92
- Cason Wallace Offense+0.08 Defense+0.72 Net+0.80
- Ajay Mitchell Offense+0.42 Defense+0.08 Net+0.50
- Jaylin Williams Offense-0.05 Defense+0.29 Net+0.23
- Kenrich Williams Offense-0.07 Defense+0.11 Net+0.04
- Jared McCain Offense+0.26 Defense-0.64 Net-0.38
- Aday Mara Offense-0.39 Defense-0.04 Net-0.44
- Otega Oweh Offense-0.45 Defense-0.15 Net-0.60
Players
| Player | Pos |
|---|
| Player | Pos | DPM | Off | Def | Fair Salary | Box | On/Off | MPG | Pace | Pts/100 | Ast/100 | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Pos | |||||||||||||
| Aday Mara | C | -2.2 | -2.0 | -0.2 | -$1.2M | -2.2 | -2.7 | 9.6 | 99.7 | 22.5 | 3.4 | 64.9% | 21.4% | 71.5% |
| Ajay Mitchell | G | +1.1 | +1.0 | +0.2 | $26.0M | +0.4 | +2.1 | 21.3 | 99.6 | 23.4 | 7.7 | 47.2% | 34.5% | 83.8% |
| Alex Caruso | G | +2.2 | -0.0 | +2.2 | $27.0M | +2.0 | +2.2 | 20.8 | 100.0 | 19.0 | 4.9 | 44.1% | 35.8% | 78.0% |
| Bennett Stirtz | G | -2.1 | -1.4 | -0.7 | -$0.2M | -2.1 | -1.7 | 2.4 | 99.4 | 21.4 | 5.7 | 42.7% | 35.6% | 77.7% |
| Brooks Barnhizer | G | -2.5 | -2.3 | -0.2 | -$1.5M | -2.4 | -3.7 | 2.9 | 99.4 | 16.8 | 3.5 | 45.3% | 32.7% | 72.5% |
| Cason Wallace | G | +1.8 | +0.2 | +1.6 | $29.7M | +1.9 | +1.7 | 21.5 | 100.1 | 17.9 | 5.3 | 44.3% | 36.9% | 80.3% |
| Chet Holmgren | C-F | +3.8 | +1.6 | +2.3 | $54.2M | +2.3 | +4.5 | 29.5 | 100.0 | 26.5 | 2.9 | 54.0% | 35.1% | 79.3% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | F-C | +2.9 | -0.5 | +3.3 | $35.1M | +2.7 | +2.9 | 18.5 | 99.9 | 17.6 | 6.7 | 59.0% | 24.2% | 65.1% |
| Jalen Williams | G-F | +1.9 | +1.7 | +0.2 | $33.3M | +0.9 | +2.3 | 25.4 | 100.0 | 29.7 | 7.7 | 48.9% | 35.4% | 79.9% |
| Jared McCain | G | -0.9 | +0.6 | -1.6 | $3.2M | -1.4 | -0.5 | 20.0 | 99.7 | 28.3 | 3.8 | 42.3% | 37.2% | 84.3% |
| Jaylin Williams | F | +0.7 | -0.2 | +0.9 | $19.1M | +0.3 | +1.2 | 15.4 | 99.1 | 18.3 | 5.9 | 42.8% | 37.1% | 76.9% |
| Josh Dix | G | -2.2 | -2.0 | -0.2 | -$0.1M | -2.2 | -2.9 | 2.0 | 99.6 | 16.1 | 3.5 | 41.3% | 33.4% | 75.7% |
| Kenrich Williams | G-F | +0.3 | -0.5 | +0.8 | $7.1M | +0.0 | +0.3 | 6.5 | 99.3 | 19.7 | 4.1 | 44.0% | 35.6% | 67.6% |
| Nikola Topić | G | -1.1 | -0.6 | -0.5 | $0.9M | -1.0 | -2.5 | 5.0 | 100.2 | 17.2 | 10.6 | 45.4% | 32.2% | 73.6% |
| Otega Oweh | G | -2.5 | -1.9 | -0.6 | -$2.1M | -2.5 | -1.8 | 11.5 | 99.7 | 16.9 | 2.9 | 45.1% | 31.0% | 70.6% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | G | +6.1 | +5.6 | +0.6 | $85.6M | +5.2 | +6.3 | 34.3 | 100.1 | 41.3 | 10.4 | 51.3% | 36.0% | 88.3% |
| Thomas Sorber | C | -1.1 | -0.8 | -0.3 | $1.2M | -1.1 | -2.4 | 2.0 | 100.0 | 20.2 | 2.4 | 49.1% | 31.3% | 70.2% |
Core outlook
The rotation by projected minutes: age, rating and how long DARKO expects each player to last.
| Player | Age | DPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 28 | +6.1 | 10.6 | 100% |
| Chet Holmgren | 24 | +3.8 | 10.1 | 99% |
| Jalen Williams | 25 | +1.9 | 8.6 | 98% |
| Cason Wallace | 22 | +1.8 | 9.3 | 98% |
| Ajay Mitchell | 24 | +1.1 | 8.4 | 97% |
| Alex Caruso | 32 | +2.2 | 2.8 | 52% |
| Jared McCain | 22 | -0.9 | 6.0 | 86% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 28 | +2.9 | 5.7 | 93% |
| Jaylin Williams | 24 | +0.7 | 6.8 | 93% |
Payroll against DARKO value
$205.2M of salary for $322.5M of DARKO fair value. The 12 best-paid players:
- Chet Holmgren : salary $38.9M, DARKO value $54.2M, surplus +$15.3M
- Jalen Williams : salary $38.9M, DARKO value $33.3M, surplus -$5.6M
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander : salary $38.3M, DARKO value $85.6M, surplus +$47.3M
- Isaiah Hartenstein : salary $21.7M, DARKO value $35.1M, surplus +$13.4M
- Alex Caruso : salary $18.3M, DARKO value $27.0M, surplus +$8.7M
- Jaylin Williams : salary $7.3M, DARKO value $19.1M, surplus +$11.8M
- Cason Wallace : salary $7.0M, DARKO value $29.7M, surplus +$22.8M
- Aday Mara : salary $5.4M, DARKO value -$1.2M, surplus -$6.7M
- Nikola Topić : salary $5.1M, DARKO value $0.9M, surplus -$4.2M
- Kenrich Williams : salary $4.7M, DARKO value $7.1M, surplus +$2.4M
- Thomas Sorber : salary $4.6M, DARKO value $1.2M, surplus -$3.4M
- Bennett Stirtz : salary $4.4M, DARKO value -$0.2M, surplus -$4.6M
Top Lineups
| Lineup | Poss | Net +/- | Off +/- | Def +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell | 111 | +14.8 | +8.5 | +6.3 |
Worst Lineups
No other lineup is still together.
Lineups whose five players are all on today's roster, from lineup ratings computed March 26, 2026.