Keon Ellis Profile — DARKO DPM

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Morris Peterson 2003-04	26	+0.5	+0.9, +0.3, -0.7, -0.2, -0.3	86
James Ennis III 2016-17	26	+0.4	-0.9, -0.2, -0.5, -0.3, under 10 games	85
Thabo Sefolosha 2010-11	27	+0.2	+1.0, +1.5, +0.4, +1.7, +1.0	84
Rudy Fernandez 2010-11	26	+0.4	+0.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	84
Solomon Hill 2016-17	26	+0.1	-1.2, -1.6, -1.2, -1.8, -1.6	84
Mickael Pietrus 2008-09	27	+0.2	0.0, -1.2, -0.4, -1.0, under 10 games	84
Devean George 2003-04	26	+1.0	+0.1, +0.6, -1.0, -1.6, -2.6	83
Chris Douglas-Roberts 2013-14	27	+0.3	-1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	83
Jake Layman 2020-21	27	-0.1	-0.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	83
Alex Caruso 2019-20	26	+1.0	+0.7, +0.8, +1.4, +1.8, +2.3	83

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Keon's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to Keon Ellis's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

1 Keon Ellis BKN Self

+0.5DPMDPM Offense -0.7 Defense +1.2 Per 100 possessions:16.5points5.2rebounds2.7assistsP/R/A
100.0
2 Herbert Jones NOP ↗

+0.4DPMDPM Offense -0.5 Defense +0.9 Per 100 possessions:14.9points5.9rebounds4.4assistsP/R/A
91.1
3 Josh Okogie UTA ↗

+0.5DPMDPM Offense -1.1 Defense +1.6 Per 100 possessions:13.2points7.3rebounds3.2assistsP/R/A
89.1
4 Josh Green UTA ↗

+0.2DPMDPM Offense -0.5 Defense +0.7 Per 100 possessions:13.4points5.2rebounds2.7assistsP/R/A
87.0
5 Jake LaRavia LAL ↗

0.0DPMDPM Offense -1.0 Defense +1.0 Per 100 possessions:16.1points7.8rebounds3.6assistsP/R/A
86.8
6 Jordan Goodwin PHX ↗

+0.4DPMDPM Offense -0.5 Defense +0.8 Per 100 possessions:17.8points10.2rebounds3.9assistsP/R/A
86.2
7 Kris Murray MEM ↗

+0.2DPMDPM Offense -1.3 Defense +1.6 Per 100 possessions:11.6points7.8rebounds3.3assistsP/R/A
85.8
8 Jalen Slawson IND ↗

+0.5DPMDPM Offense -1.2 Defense +1.7 Per 100 possessions:14.0points8.7rebounds4.6assistsP/R/A
85.6
9 Jaylen Clark MIN ↗

-0.2DPMDPM Offense -0.8 Defense +0.6 Per 100 possessions:15.4points6.3rebounds3.0assistsP/R/A
85.2
10 Luguentz Dort ATL ↗

-0.2DPMDPM Offense -1.0 Defense +0.8 Per 100 possessions:15.6points6.5rebounds2.7assistsP/R/A
85.1

How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Keon Ellis's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $6.3M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $8.2M; Actual
Surplus: -$1.9M; Value minus salary
WARP: 4.2; Wins above replacement
Seasons left: 4.7; Projected, within 15
Retires at: 31.5; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Keon Ellis, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2026-27 so far	BKN	26	1	33.9	+0.47	-0.44	+0.91	—
2025-26	CLE	26	72 +12	20.5	+0.29	-0.61	+0.89	349th of 1010
2024-25	SAC	25	80	24.3	+1.20	+0.13	+1.07	175th of 1077
2023-24	SAC	24	57	17.2	+1.29	-0.35	+1.63	151st of 1185
2022-23	SAC	23	16	4.4	-0.63	-1.34	+0.71	—

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 24.9 projected minutes and a pace of 99.0.

Keon Ellis, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	16.5	8.5
Rebounds	5.2	2.7
Offensive	1.3	0.7
Defensive	3.8	2.0
Assists	2.7	1.4
Steals	2.8	1.4
Blocks	1.4	0.7
Turnovers	1.5	0.8
3-pt attempts	7.6	3.9
FG attempts	12.5	6.4
FT attempts	2.5	1.3
FG% · 3P% · FT%	45.2% · 38.1% · 78.0%