Will Riley Profile — DARKO DPM

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Jeremy Lamb 2012-13	20	-2.2	-0.2, -0.6, +0.4, -0.1, +0.3	94
Mario Hezonja 2015-16	21	-1.8	-2.7, -0.7, -1.4, -2.3, under 10 games	90
Jaylen Brown 2016-17	20	-2.3	+0.6, +0.3, +1.2, +2.3, +4.1	90
Anfernee Simons 2018-19	19	-2.3	-3.1, -1.4, -0.6, -1.3, -0.7	90
Alec Burks 2011-12	20	-1.8	-0.7, -0.9, -1.8, -0.5, -1.5	89
Shawne Williams 2006-07	21	-2.1	-0.9, -1.6, under 10 games, -0.7, -1.2	88
Zach LaVine 2015-16	21	-1.8	-0.9, -1.4, -0.4, +0.4, +1.6	88
Jason Richardson 2001-02	21	-1.7	-1.3, +0.4, +0.9, +1.8, +1.2	88
Sasha Pavlovic 2004-05	21	-1.9	-1.4, -0.1, -1.9, -1.2, -2.8	88
Ben McLemore 2013-14	21	-2.7	-0.8, -0.4, -0.8, -2.7, -1.4	88

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Will's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to Will Riley's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

1 Will Riley WAS Self

-2.2DPMDPM Offense -0.7 Defense -1.5 Per 100 possessions:23.7points6.4rebounds4.6assistsP/R/A
100.0
2 Ace Bailey UTA ↗

-2.4DPMDPM Offense -0.8 Defense -1.6 Per 100 possessions:24.4points7.7rebounds3.3assistsP/R/A
90.9
3 Tre Johnson WAS ↗

-2.8DPMDPM Offense -1.0 Defense -1.8 Per 100 possessions:24.5points5.2rebounds4.1assistsP/R/A
88.5
4 Jett Howard DAL ↗

-1.9DPMDPM Offense -0.8 Defense -1.1 Per 100 possessions:21.6points5.8rebounds3.5assistsP/R/A
87.1
5 Jarace Walker IND ↗

-2.3DPMDPM Offense -1.3 Defense -1.0 Per 100 possessions:21.5points9.8rebounds5.6assistsP/R/A
86.5
6 Mikel Brown Jr. BKN ↗

-2.5DPMDPM Offense -1.6 Defense -0.9 Per 100 possessions:22.7points6.0rebounds7.0assistsP/R/A
86.4
7 Darryn Peterson UTA ↗

-2.1DPMDPM Offense -1.5 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:22.2points6.8rebounds6.8assistsP/R/A
85.5
8 Drake Powell BKN ↗

-2.7DPMDPM Offense -1.7 Defense -1.0 Per 100 possessions:18.0points4.7rebounds3.1assistsP/R/A
84.9
9 Cody Williams MIN ↗

-2.8DPMDPM Offense -1.8 Defense -1.0 Per 100 possessions:18.9points5.8rebounds3.5assistsP/R/A
84.8
10 Bennedict Mathurin NOP ↗

-1.8DPMDPM Offense -0.5 Defense -1.3 Per 100 possessions:27.3points8.1rebounds4.7assistsP/R/A
84.7

How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Will Riley's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: -$1.0M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $3.5M; Actual
Surplus: -$4.5M; Value minus salary
WARP: 0.0; Wins above replacement
Seasons left: 4.4; Projected, within 15
Retires at: 25.1; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Will Riley, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2026-27 so far	WAS	20	0	—	-2.18	-0.69	-1.49	—
2025-26	WAS	20	74	22.1	-2.39	-0.88	-1.51	266th of 354

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 4.1 projected minutes and a pace of 101.3.

Will Riley, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	23.7	2.0
Rebounds	6.4	0.6
Offensive	1.5	0.1
Defensive	4.9	0.4
Assists	4.6	0.4
Steals	1.6	0.1
Blocks	0.4	0.0
Turnovers	2.8	0.2
3-pt attempts	7.5	0.6
FG attempts	18.5	1.6
FT attempts	5.6	0.5
FG% · 3P% · FT%	44.3% · 33.4% · 81.0%