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Eastern Conference
Orlando Magic
Record 3-7Projected 39.3-42.7Playoffs 55.6%Win conference 2.0%Win Finals 0.5%Lottery 44.4%Expected pick 14.1SRS +0.32
DARKO rating · #16 of 30
+1.5 Offense -0.6 Defense +2.1
Worth about 40 wins over 82 games
Ratings through Nov 10, 2026
Where the rating comes from
Each player's DPM times their share of DARKO's projected team minutes, times five for the five players on the floor, split into offense and defense (points per 100 possessions; 0 is an average player). The columns add up to the team's numbers at the bottom, and offense plus defense is net. Players above average add +3.50; the ones below take away 2.00.
- Franz Wagner Offense+1.28 Defense-0.10 Net+1.17
- Wendell Carter Jr. Offense-0.37 Defense+0.95 Net+0.57
- Desmond Bane Offense+0.60 Defense-0.03 Net+0.57
- Jalen Suggs Offense-0.05 Defense+0.34 Net+0.29
- Paolo Banchero Offense+0.37 Defense-0.08 Net+0.29
- Anthony Black Offense-0.34 Defense+0.60 Net+0.26
- Goga Bitadze Offense-0.04 Defense+0.23 Net+0.19
- Jonathan Isaac Offense-0.27 Defense+0.43 Net+0.17
- Tristan da Silva Offense+0.01 Defense-0.03 Net-0.02
- Colin Castleton Offense-0.18 Defense+0.09 Net-0.09
- Noah Penda Offense-0.16 Defense+0.05 Net-0.11
- Nikola Vucevic Offense-0.38 Defense+0.03 Net-0.35
- Alex Morales Offense-0.41 Defense+0.02 Net-0.39
- Jase Richardson Offense-0.28 Defense-0.12 Net-0.40
- Jamal Cain Offense-0.41 Defense-0.24 Net-0.65
Orlando Magic Offense-0.62 Defense+2.13 Net+1.51
Players
| Player | Pos |
|---|
| Player | Pos | DPM | Off | Def | Fair Salary | Box | On/Off | MPG | Pace | Pts/100 | Ast/100 | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Pos | |||||||||||||
| Alex Morales | G | -2.3 | -2.4 | +0.1 | -$0.8M | -2.3 | -1.3 | 8.5 | 97.0 | 12.4 | 3.5 | 43.2% | 32.7% | 71.4% |
| Anthony Black | G | +0.4 | -0.6 | +1.0 | $24.0M | +0.7 | +0.3 | 29.5 | 97.5 | 25.8 | 7.1 | 44.4% | 33.7% | 75.0% |
| Colin Castleton | C | -0.7 | -1.5 | +0.8 | $1.9M | -0.5 | -2.6 | 5.7 | 97.7 | 18.5 | 2.8 | 57.4% | 26.9% | 72.2% |
| Desmond Bane | G | +0.9 | +0.9 | -0.0 | $29.2M | +0.7 | +0.9 | 32.9 | 97.4 | 28.3 | 4.9 | 44.5% | 38.2% | 88.3% |
| Franz Wagner | F | +1.7 | +1.9 | -0.2 | $40.2M | +0.8 | +2.0 | 33.9 | 97.7 | 32.2 | 10.2 | 47.1% | 32.7% | 84.0% |
| Goga Bitadze | C | +1.4 | -0.3 | +1.7 | $8.7M | +1.8 | +0.9 | 6.7 | 97.6 | 18.8 | 3.8 | 63.1% | 23.2% | 67.8% |
| Izaiyah Nelson | F | -2.8 | -2.4 | -0.4 | -$2.2M | -2.8 | -2.1 | 1.7 | 98.4 | 17.9 | 2.5 | 46.6% | 31.6% | 70.2% |
| Jalen Suggs | G | +1.3 | -0.2 | +1.5 | $27.9M | -0.1 | +2.0 | 11.3 | 98.7 | 20.8 | 8.6 | 42.3% | 35.0% | 83.2% |
| Jamal Cain | F | -1.8 | -1.2 | -0.7 | $1.5M | -1.8 | -2.1 | 18.0 | 97.9 | 19.9 | 2.5 | 45.6% | 36.7% | 76.7% |
| Jase Richardson | G | -1.7 | -1.2 | -0.5 | $2.5M | -1.7 | -2.1 | 11.5 | 98.1 | 17.7 | 6.0 | 43.3% | 35.1% | 79.5% |
| Jevon Carter | G | -1.2 | -1.0 | -0.2 | $2.9M | -0.9 | -1.3 | 3.9 | 97.8 | 16.9 | 5.8 | 38.8% | 37.4% | 81.8% |
| Jonathan Isaac | F | +1.1 | -1.7 | +2.8 | $8.4M | +0.3 | +1.4 | 7.7 | 98.2 | 15.0 | 2.5 | 46.7% | 31.1% | 66.1% |
| Nikola Vucevic | C | -1.8 | -2.0 | +0.2 | $0.7M | +0.4 | -2.1 | 9.5 | 98.0 | 21.0 | 5.2 | 46.7% | 35.5% | 78.8% |
| Noah Penda | G-F | -0.8 | -1.2 | +0.4 | $4.2M | -0.5 | -1.9 | 6.6 | 98.3 | 15.5 | 4.9 | 42.3% | 33.9% | 73.5% |
| Paolo Banchero | F | +1.1 | +1.5 | -0.3 | $23.4M | -0.8 | +1.7 | 12.8 | 98.5 | 33.7 | 8.1 | 46.6% | 33.0% | 75.6% |
| Tristan da Silva | F | -0.0 | +0.0 | -0.1 | $20.4M | -0.5 | +0.1 | 26.4 | 97.9 | 23.1 | 3.6 | 43.0% | 37.3% | 82.9% |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | F | +1.0 | -0.6 | +1.6 | $29.5M | -0.1 | +1.2 | 29.9 | 97.7 | 19.6 | 3.0 | 53.1% | 33.6% | 76.0% |
Core outlook
The rotation by projected minutes: age, rating and how long DARKO expects each player to last.
| Player | Age | DPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner | 25 | +1.7 | 9.4 | 99% |
| Desmond Bane | 28 | +0.9 | 6.6 | 95% |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 27 | +1.0 | 6.9 | 95% |
| Anthony Black | 22 | +0.4 | 10.4 | 99% |
| Tristan da Silva | 25 | 0.0 | 6.9 | 91% |
| Jamal Cain | 27 | -1.8 | 3.1 | 49% |
| Paolo Banchero | 23 | +1.1 | 10.5 | 99% |
| Jase Richardson | 21 | -1.7 | 5.1 | 72% |
| Jalen Suggs | 25 | +1.3 | 8.0 | 95% |
Payroll against DARKO value
$222.2M of salary for $225.5M of DARKO fair value. The 12 best-paid players:
- Franz Wagner : salary $41.8M, DARKO value $40.2M, surplus -$1.6M
- Paolo Banchero : salary $41.5M, DARKO value $23.4M, surplus -$18.1M
- Desmond Bane : salary $39.4M, DARKO value $29.2M, surplus -$10.2M
- Jalen Suggs : salary $32.4M, DARKO value $27.9M, surplus -$4.5M
- Wendell Carter Jr. : salary $18.1M, DARKO value $29.5M, surplus +$11.4M
- Jonathan Isaac : salary $10.4M, DARKO value $8.4M, surplus -$2.0M
- Anthony Black : salary $10.1M, DARKO value $24.0M, surplus +$13.9M
- Goga Bitadze : salary $7.6M, DARKO value $8.7M, surplus +$1.1M
- Tristan da Silva : salary $4.0M, DARKO value $20.4M, surplus +$16.4M
- Jase Richardson : salary $3.1M, DARKO value $2.5M, surplus -$0.6M
- Jamal Cain : salary $2.6M, DARKO value $1.5M, surplus -$1.1M
- Jevon Carter : salary $2.4M, DARKO value $2.9M, surplus +$0.5M