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Eastern Conference
Washington Wizards
Record 4-7Projected 31.8-50.2Playoffs 16.7%Win conference 0.1%Win Finals 0.0%Lottery 83.3%Expected pick 8.5SRS -4.13
DARKO rating · #26 of 30
-3.7 Offense -1.3 Defense -2.4
Worth about 26 wins over 82 games
Ratings through Nov 10, 2026
Where the rating comes from
Each player's DPM times their share of DARKO's projected team minutes, times five for the five players on the floor, split into offense and defense (points per 100 possessions; 0 is an average player). The columns add up to the team's numbers at the bottom, and offense plus defense is net. Players above average add +2.02; the ones below take away 5.75.
- Anthony Davis Offense+0.22 Defense+0.78 Net+1.00
- Trae Young Offense+1.64 Defense-1.06 Net+0.58
- Justin Champagnie Offense+0.15 Defense+0.04 Net+0.20
- Deandre Ayton Offense-0.08 Defense+0.20 Net+0.12
- Tristan Vukcevic Offense+0.08 Defense+0.04 Net+0.12
- Jamir Watkins Offense-0.22 Defense+0.18 Net-0.05
- Kyshawn George Offense-0.33 Defense-0.21 Net-0.54
- Bilal Coulibaly Offense-0.58 Defense-0.18 Net-0.75
- Alexandre Sarr Offense-0.60 Defense-0.20 Net-0.80
- Carlton Carrington Offense-0.42 Defense-0.52 Net-0.95
- AJ Dybantsa Offense-0.33 Defense-0.65 Net-0.98
- Tre Johnson Offense-0.47 Defense-0.67 Net-1.14
Washington Wizards Offense-1.31 Defense-2.42 Net-3.73
Players
| Player | Pos |
|---|
| Player | Pos | DPM | Off | Def | Fair Salary | Box | On/Off | MPG | Pace | Pts/100 | Ast/100 | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Pos | |||||||||||||
| AJ Dybantsa | F | -1.7 | -0.6 | -1.1 | $2.7M | -1.6 | -2.0 | 32.6 | 98.5 | 26.8 | 3.8 | 46.2% | 32.6% | 76.1% |
| Alexandre Sarr | C | -1.7 | -1.3 | -0.4 | $2.9M | -0.7 | -2.8 | 25.4 | 99.8 | 23.2 | 3.9 | 47.3% | 33.0% | 73.0% |
| Anthony Davis | F-C | +1.7 | +0.4 | +1.3 | $21.9M | -0.0 | +1.8 | 32.6 | 98.8 | 33.4 | 3.9 | 51.9% | 31.6% | 77.8% |
| Anthony Gill | F | -1.9 | -1.6 | -0.3 | $0.2M | -1.7 | -2.3 | 2.3 | 99.1 | 16.1 | 3.0 | 55.3% | 32.2% | 69.3% |
| Bilal Coulibaly | G | -1.9 | -1.5 | -0.5 | $1.1M | +0.2 | -3.0 | 21.8 | 98.9 | 19.1 | 3.4 | 45.2% | 33.4% | 75.5% |
| Carlton Carrington | G | -3.2 | -1.4 | -1.8 | -$7.8M | -1.8 | -4.2 | 16.5 | 99.2 | 19.6 | 7.3 | 41.4% | 36.9% | 78.6% |
| Deandre Ayton | F-C | +0.7 | -0.4 | +1.1 | $11.7M | +2.0 | +0.3 | 10.5 | 97.8 | 18.8 | 2.8 | 65.4% | 23.5% | 67.0% |
| Felix Okpara | C | -3.3 | -3.0 | -0.3 | -$3.0M | -3.3 | -2.0 | 0.4 | 97.7 | 17.6 | 2.4 | 53.9% | 28.8% | 66.8% |
| Jamir Watkins | F | -0.1 | -0.6 | +0.5 | $10.6M | -0.1 | -0.1 | 19.8 | 99.4 | 18.4 | 3.4 | 43.5% | 33.3% | 72.8% |
| Justin Champagnie | G-F | +1.1 | +0.9 | +0.2 | $20.8M | +2.2 | -0.1 | 10.0 | 99.5 | 20.7 | 2.8 | 49.1% | 34.0% | 76.5% |
| Khris Middleton | F-G | -2.1 | -1.5 | -0.6 | -$0.1M | -3.3 | -2.0 | 4.8 | 98.8 | 19.7 | 5.3 | 42.8% | 37.4% | 84.2% |
| Kyshawn George | F | -1.0 | -0.6 | -0.4 | $12.1M | -0.2 | -1.7 | 31.4 | 98.8 | 26.0 | 7.3 | 45.1% | 35.9% | 81.3% |
| Reece Beekman | G | -2.3 | -2.3 | +0.0 | -$1.2M | -2.3 | -2.7 | 3.9 | 98.1 | 12.5 | 7.6 | 42.2% | 33.0% | 77.9% |
| Trae Young | G | +1.0 | +2.9 | -1.8 | $32.6M | +0.6 | +1.1 | 31.9 | 99.4 | 26.6 | 12.6 | 41.7% | 35.2% | 85.3% |
| Tre Johnson | G | -3.2 | -1.3 | -1.9 | -$6.0M | -3.4 | -2.8 | 19.6 | 99.5 | 23.7 | 3.5 | 41.3% | 36.4% | 84.3% |
| Tre Mann | G | -2.7 | -2.3 | -0.4 | -$1.2M | -1.6 | -3.8 | 1.3 | 98.0 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 41.5% | 35.4% | 82.1% |
| Tristan Vukcevic | F | +0.5 | +0.4 | +0.2 | $11.7M | +1.7 | -2.9 | 11.8 | 99.5 | 29.3 | 3.7 | 46.8% | 35.0% | 79.3% |
| Will Riley | F | -2.4 | -1.0 | -1.4 | -$1.7M | -1.6 | -4.1 | 4.7 | 99.3 | 22.3 | 4.2 | 44.6% | 34.1% | 81.4% |
Core outlook
The rotation by projected minutes: age, rating and how long DARKO expects each player to last.
| Player | Age | DPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis | 33 | +1.7 | 4.1 | 75% |
| AJ Dybantsa | 19 | -1.7 | 9.6 | 97% |
| Trae Young | 28 | +1.0 | 6.1 | 90% |
| Kyshawn George | 22 | -1.0 | 7.5 | 92% |
| Alexandre Sarr | 21 | -1.7 | 6.9 | 90% |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 22 | -1.9 | 5.2 | 75% |
| Jamir Watkins | 25 | -0.1 | 2.1 | 27% |
| Tre Johnson | 20 | -3.2 | 6.2 | 86% |
| Carlton Carrington | 21 | -3.2 | 7.5 | 90% |
Payroll against DARKO value
$196.9M of salary for $128.2M of DARKO fair value. The 12 best-paid players:
- Anthony Davis : salary $58.5M, DARKO value $21.9M, surplus -$36.5M
- Trae Young : salary $49.5M, DARKO value $32.6M, surplus -$16.9M
- AJ Dybantsa : salary $14.7M, DARKO value $2.7M, surplus -$12.0M
- Alexandre Sarr : salary $12.4M, DARKO value $2.9M, surplus -$9.4M
- Bilal Coulibaly : salary $9.2M, DARKO value $1.1M, surplus -$8.2M
- Tre Johnson : salary $8.6M, DARKO value -$6.0M, surplus -$14.7M
- Deandre Ayton : salary $8.1M, DARKO value $11.7M, surplus +$3.6M
- Tre Mann : salary $8.0M, DARKO value -$1.2M, surplus -$9.2M
- Khris Middleton : salary $5.6M, DARKO value -$0.1M, surplus -$5.7M
- Carlton Carrington : salary $4.9M, DARKO value -$7.8M, surplus -$12.7M
- Will Riley : salary $3.7M, DARKO value -$1.7M, surplus -$5.4M
- Kyshawn George : salary $3.1M, DARKO value $12.1M, surplus +$9.0M