Anthony Davis

Washington Wizards · F-C

Age 33 · 6'10" · 253 lb · USA

Pick #1, 2012 Draft · Rookie 2013 · 814 games · 60 playoff games

DPM · #51 of 522

+1.8

Offense +0.4 Defense +1.4 Market +3.6 · playoffs +3.9 Last played Nov 2, 2026

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Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Paul Millsap 2017-18	33	+2.0	+2.2, +1.5, +1.4, -1.3, under 10 games	84
David West 2013-14	33	+1.8	+0.7, +0.8, -1.0, -1.9, under 10 games	83
Pau Gasol 2013-14	33	+0.9	0.0, +0.3, -0.8, -2.1, -2.6	81
Zach Randolph 2014-15	33	+1.8	+0.4, +0.3, -2.2, under 10 games, under 10 games	81
Brad Miller 2008-09	33	+1.7	+1.1, -0.2, -1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games	80
Al Horford 2018-19	32	+2.1	+1.3, -0.8, +1.6, +0.3, +1.1	80
Nene 2015-16	33	+1.6	+2.6, +2.0, +1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games	80
LaMarcus Aldridge 2018-19	33	+2.9	+0.8, -1.0, -1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games	79
Zydrunas Ilgauskas 2007-08	32	+1.8	+1.9, +0.9, -0.9, under 10 games, under 10 games	77
Danny Manning 1998-99	32	+1.3	-1.4, 0.0, -1.7, -2.4, under 10 games	77

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Anthony's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to Anthony Davis's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

1 Anthony Davis WAS Self

+1.8DPMDPM Offense +0.4 Defense +1.4 Per 100 possessions:32.0points15.4rebounds3.9assistsP/R/A
100.0
2 Kristaps Porzingis GSW ↗

+1.3DPMDPM Offense +0.4 Defense +1.0 Per 100 possessions:30.0points11.0rebounds4.4assistsP/R/A
82.8
3 Ivica Zubac IND ↗

+1.1DPMDPM Offense +0.2 Defense +1.0 Per 100 possessions:23.2points17.9rebounds3.9assistsP/R/A
77.5
4 Paul Reed DET ↗

+1.8DPMDPM Offense +0.1 Defense +1.7 Per 100 possessions:26.2points15.2rebounds4.8assistsP/R/A
77.4
5 Robert Williams III POR ↗

+2.1DPMDPM Offense +0.2 Defense +1.8 Per 100 possessions:18.5points19.0rebounds3.3assistsP/R/A
74.9
6 Tobias Harris SAS ↗

+0.8DPMDPM Offense +0.2 Defense +0.7 Per 100 possessions:23.0points9.4rebounds3.7assistsP/R/A
74.3
7 Jakob Poeltl TOR ↗

+2.4DPMDPM Offense -0.1 Defense +2.5 Per 100 possessions:18.1points14.3rebounds3.6assistsP/R/A
73.9
8 Neemias Queta BOS ↗

+2.3DPMDPM Offense +0.1 Defense +2.2 Per 100 possessions:22.1points15.8rebounds3.1assistsP/R/A
73.3
9 Bam Adebayo MIA ↗

+3.0DPMDPM Offense +1.9 Defense +1.1 Per 100 possessions:28.5points13.7rebounds5.5assistsP/R/A
72.9
10 Paul George BOS ↗

+1.7DPMDPM Offense +0.8 Defense +0.9 Per 100 possessions:27.8points8.0rebounds7.1assistsP/R/A
72.7

How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Anthony Davis's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $36.2M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $58.5M; Actual
Surplus: -$22.3M; Value minus salary
WARP: 8.0; Wins above replacement
Seasons left: 2.9; Projected, within 15
Retires at: 37.0; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Anthony Davis, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2026-27 so far	WAS	33	7	33.5	+1.67	+0.25	+1.42	—
2025-26	WAS	33	20	31.3	+2.24	+0.42	+1.83	37th of 405
2024-25	DAL	32	51	33.4	+4.10	+2.03	+2.08	20th of 530
2023-24	LAL	31	76 +5	35.5	+4.17	+1.68	+2.49	29th of 616
2022-23	LAL	30	56 +16	34.0	+3.90	+1.28	+2.61	34th of 697
2021-22	LAL	29	40	35.1	+2.73	+1.08	+1.65	73rd of 774
2020-21	LAL	28	36 +5	32.3	+3.94	+1.65	+2.29	31st of 858
2019-20	LAL	27	62 +21	34.4	+4.29	+2.24	+2.05	29th of 924
2018-19	NOP	26	56	33.0	+4.70	+2.57	+2.13	19th of 1010
2017-18	NOP	25	75 +9	36.4	+4.13	+2.07	+2.05	30th of 1077
2016-17	NOP	24	75	36.1	+3.04	+1.47	+1.58	45th of 1185
2015-16	NOP	23	61	35.5	+2.63	+1.78	+0.85	40th of 1100
2014-15	NOP	22	68 +4	36.1	+3.92	+2.95	+0.96	11th of 813
2013-14	NOP	21	67	35.2	+1.79	+2.08	-0.29	19th of 571
2012-13	NOP	20	64	28.8	+0.43	+0.50	-0.07	40th of 354

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 32.3 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 98.4.

Anthony Davis, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	32.0	21.2
Rebounds	15.4	10.2
Offensive	3.7	2.4
Defensive	11.7	7.8
Assists	3.9	2.5
Steals	1.7	1.1
Blocks	2.4	1.6
Turnovers	3.4	2.3
3-pt attempts	4.4	2.9
FG attempts	24.9	16.4
FT attempts	7.5	5.0
FG% · 3P% · FT%	50.8% · 31.7% · 76.2%