Western Conference
Denver Nuggets
Record 0-0Projected 46.3-35.7Playoffs 82.1%Win conference 5.3%Win Finals 2.5%Lottery 17.9%Expected pick 19.8SRS +3.85
DARKO rating · #9 of 30
+5.4Worth about 50 wins over 82 games
Ratings through Oct 21, 2026
Where the rating comes from
Each player's DPM times their share of DARKO's projected team minutes, times five for the five players on the floor, split into offense and defense (points per 100 possessions; 0 is an average player). The columns add up to the team's numbers at the bottom, and offense plus defense is net. Players above average add +8.76; the ones below take away 3.33.
- Nikola Jokic Offense+3.20 Defense+1.22 Net+4.42
- Jamal Murray Offense+2.71 Defense-0.40 Net+2.31
- Aaron Gordon Offense+1.17 Defense+0.24 Net+1.41
- Cameron Johnson Offense+0.43 Defense-0.10 Net+0.33
- Christian Braun Offense+0.28 Defense-0.01 Net+0.28
- Zeke Nnaji Offense-0.26 Defense+0.11 Net-0.14
- Cam Whitmore Offense-0.07 Defense-0.12 Net-0.19
- Tyus Jones Offense-0.18 Defense-0.08 Net-0.26
- Julian Strawther Offense-0.04 Defense-0.29 Net-0.33
- Marvin Bagley III Offense-0.20 Defense-0.15 Net-0.35
- Spencer Jones Offense-0.51 Defense+0.10 Net-0.40
- Ryan Nembhard Offense-0.35 Defense-0.26 Net-0.61
- DeMar DeRozan Offense-0.01 Defense-0.90 Net-0.91
Players
| Player | Pos |
|---|
| Player | Pos | DPM | Off | Def | Fair Salary | Box | On/Off | MPG | Pace | Pts/100 | Ast/100 | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Pos | |||||||||||||
| Aaron Gordon | F | +2.8 | +2.3 | +0.5 | $34.9M | +0.0 | +3.3 | 26.7 | 98.6 | 27.7 | 4.3 | 49.1% | 35.3% | 76.8% |
| Alpha Diallo | G | -1.5 | -1.2 | -0.3 | $0.4M | -1.5 | -1.5 | 2.6 | 98.2 | 16.2 | 3.4 | 44.4% | 32.6% | 73.3% |
| Bryce Hopkins | F | -2.4 | -1.8 | -0.6 | -$0.3M | -2.4 | -1.8 | 2.1 | 98.3 | 17.2 | 3.3 | 51.2% | 30.7% | 71.9% |
| Cam Whitmore | F | -1.3 | -0.5 | -0.8 | $0.4M | -0.7 | -2.4 | 8.0 | 98.4 | 26.7 | 2.4 | 46.1% | 33.4% | 74.3% |
| Cameron Johnson | F | +0.6 | +0.8 | -0.2 | $20.6M | +0.2 | +0.7 | 29.3 | 98.4 | 22.1 | 3.7 | 46.7% | 38.5% | 83.9% |
| Christian Braun | G | +0.5 | +0.5 | -0.0 | $23.5M | -0.8 | +1.2 | 27.7 | 98.7 | 18.0 | 3.3 | 50.1% | 35.0% | 77.2% |
| DaRon Holmes II | F | +0.2 | -0.1 | +0.3 | $5.8M | +0.3 | -1.0 | 4.0 | 98.4 | 23.0 | 3.1 | 47.2% | 35.4% | 74.8% |
| DeMar DeRozan | G | -1.9 | -0.0 | -1.9 | $0.8M | -0.4 | -2.0 | 25.7 | 97.9 | 27.1 | 6.7 | 49.6% | 32.8% | 85.3% |
| Jamal Murray | G | +3.4 | +4.0 | -0.6 | $59.2M | +2.3 | +3.7 | 35.6 | 98.6 | 33.3 | 8.4 | 46.7% | 38.6% | 87.6% |
| Julian Strawther | G | -1.4 | -0.2 | -1.2 | $1.7M | -1.2 | -1.7 | 12.4 | 98.7 | 25.6 | 3.0 | 45.1% | 36.6% | 80.4% |
| Marvin Bagley III | F | -1.2 | -0.7 | -0.5 | $5.5M | -1.5 | -1.1 | 15.6 | 98.3 | 25.5 | 2.9 | 56.3% | 32.1% | 66.7% |
| Nikola Jokic | C-F | +7.0 | +5.1 | +1.9 | $90.1M | +4.1 | +7.3 | 33.5 | 98.9 | 33.4 | 14.1 | 55.1% | 35.7% | 81.5% |
| Ryan Nembhard | G | -2.5 | -1.4 | -1.0 | -$2.6M | -2.7 | -1.8 | 13.0 | 98.7 | 16.5 | 11.2 | 43.2% | 34.0% | 79.8% |
| Spencer Jones | F | -1.3 | -1.6 | +0.3 | $1.0M | -0.8 | -2.1 | 16.4 | 98.3 | 12.1 | 2.0 | 47.6% | 35.8% | 68.3% |
| Trevon Brazile | F | -2.5 | -2.0 | -0.5 | -$0.4M | -2.5 | -2.0 | 2.9 | 97.9 | 19.2 | 2.0 | 49.9% | 33.2% | 65.2% |
| Tyus Jones | G | -1.6 | -1.1 | -0.5 | $0.9M | -0.9 | -1.9 | 8.5 | 97.9 | 12.3 | 9.3 | 41.7% | 36.4% | 82.2% |
| Zeke Nnaji | F-C | -1.3 | -2.4 | +1.1 | $1.8M | +0.0 | -2.7 | 5.7 | 98.4 | 18.0 | 2.4 | 47.8% | 33.2% | 70.1% |
Core outlook
The rotation by projected minutes: age, rating and how long DARKO expects each player to last.
| Player | Age | DPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | 29 | +3.4 | 5.8 | 94% |
| Nikola Jokic | 31 | +7.0 | 7.8 | 99% |
| Cameron Johnson | 30 | +0.6 | 3.4 | 61% |
| Christian Braun | 25 | +0.5 | 5.8 | 93% |
| Aaron Gordon | 31 | +2.8 | 3.6 | 68% |
| DeMar DeRozan | 37 | -1.9 | 1.6 | 20% |
| Spencer Jones | 25 | -1.3 | 4.8 | 77% |
| Marvin Bagley III | 27 | -1.2 | 1.2 | 23% |
| Ryan Nembhard | 23 | -2.5 | 2.9 | 44% |
Payroll against DARKO value
$210.4M of salary for $246.7M of DARKO fair value. The 12 best-paid players:
- Nikola Jokic : salary $55.3M, DARKO value $90.1M, surplus +$34.8M
- Jamal Murray : salary $47.0M, DARKO value $59.2M, surplus +$12.2M
- Aaron Gordon : salary $31.6M, DARKO value $34.9M, surplus +$3.3M
- Cameron Johnson : salary $21.6M, DARKO value $20.6M, surplus -$1.0M
- Christian Braun : salary $20.2M, DARKO value $23.5M, surplus +$3.3M
- Zeke Nnaji : salary $7.0M, DARKO value $1.8M, surplus -$5.2M
- Spencer Jones : salary $5.6M, DARKO value $1.0M, surplus -$4.6M
- Julian Strawther : salary $4.5M, DARKO value $1.7M, surplus -$2.8M
- DaRon Holmes II : salary $3.2M, DARKO value $5.8M, surplus +$2.6M
- Marvin Bagley III : salary $2.3M, DARKO value $5.5M, surplus +$3.2M
- Tyus Jones : salary $2.3M, DARKO value $0.9M, surplus -$1.4M
- DeMar DeRozan : salary $2.3M, DARKO value $0.8M, surplus -$1.5M
Top Lineups
| Lineup | Poss | Net +/- | Off +/- | Def +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Cameron Johnson, Christian Braun | 545 | +14.9 | +13.1 | +1.8 |
| Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Cameron Johnson, Julian Strawther, Christian Braun | 250 | +12.6 | +12.8 | -0.2 |
Worst Lineups
No other lineup is still together.
Lineups whose five players are all on today's roster, from lineup ratings computed March 26, 2026.