Alperen Sengun Profile

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Bam Adebayo 2020-21	23	+2.2	+3.0, +2.3, +2.3, +1.5, +3.4	89
Chris Webber 1996-97	24	+2.9	+3.0, +1.7, +2.9, +3.3, +3.8	81
Jusuf Nurkic 2018-19	24	+2.4	under 10 games, +2.8, +2.9, +1.6, +2.4	80
Ben Simmons 2020-21	24	+2.0	under 10 games, +1.1, +1.1, -0.4, under 10 games	80
Al Horford 2010-11	24	+2.0	+1.9, +2.0, +2.3, +2.4, +2.0	80
Shawn Marion 2001-02	23	+2.4	+3.4, +2.5, +4.8, +5.1, +5.2	79
Eric Bledsoe 2013-14	24	+2.6	+2.4, +2.3, +2.5, +3.3, +3.6	79
Blake Griffin 2012-13	24	+3.5	+4.3, +5.0, +4.3, +4.7, +3.1	79
Pau Gasol 2004-05	24	+2.7	+2.9, +1.9, +2.3, +3.0, +3.2	79
Josh Smith 2009-10	24	+3.2	+2.9, +3.6, +2.9, +0.7, +1.5	79

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Alperen's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to Alperen Sengun's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

1 Alperen Sengun HOU Self

+2.4DPMDPM Offense +1.4 Defense +1.0 Per 100 possessions:31.4points13.9rebounds9.7assistsP/R/A
100.0
2 Scottie Barnes TOR ↗

+2.9DPMDPM Offense +1.3 Defense +1.6 Per 100 possessions:31.9points10.5rebounds8.8assistsP/R/A
87.5
3 Evan Mobley CLE ↗

+2.4DPMDPM Offense +1.4 Defense +1.0 Per 100 possessions:27.2points12.6rebounds5.4assistsP/R/A
82.2
4 Jalen Williams OKC ↗

+1.8DPMDPM Offense +1.5 Defense +0.3 Per 100 possessions:29.0points7.8rebounds7.6assistsP/R/A
79.3
5 Jalen Duren DET ↗

+1.8DPMDPM Offense +1.1 Defense +0.6 Per 100 possessions:30.0points17.2rebounds4.2assistsP/R/A
78.3
6 Ajay Mitchell OKC ↗

+1.9DPMDPM Offense +1.2 Defense +0.7 Per 100 possessions:26.3points6.2rebounds7.2assistsP/R/A
78.1
7 Franz Wagner ORL ↗

+1.8DPMDPM Offense +1.9 Defense -0.1 Per 100 possessions:32.5points8.5rebounds8.9assistsP/R/A
77.9
8 Amen Thompson HOU ↗

+1.4DPMDPM Offense +1.0 Defense +0.3 Per 100 possessions:25.8points10.1rebounds6.6assistsP/R/A
77.2
9 Bam Adebayo MIA ↗

+3.0DPMDPM Offense +1.9 Defense +1.1 Per 100 possessions:28.5points13.7rebounds5.5assistsP/R/A
76.8
10 Stephon Castle SAS ↗

+1.5DPMDPM Offense +1.2 Defense +0.2 Per 100 possessions:28.3points8.0rebounds9.8assistsP/R/A
75.5

How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Alperen Sengun's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $40.9M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $35.6M; Actual
Surplus: +$5.2M; Value minus salary
WARP: 9.8; Wins above replacement
Seasons left: 10.7; Projected, within 15
Retires at: 35.4; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Alperen Sengun, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2026-27 so far	HOU	24	6	34.3	+2.35	+1.28	+1.07	—
2025-26	HOU	23	72 +6	33.3	+2.29	+1.12	+1.17	58th of 1100
2024-25	HOU	22	76 +7	31.5	+1.66	+0.87	+0.79	51st of 813
2023-24	HOU	21	63	32.5	+0.53	+0.58	-0.05	64th of 571
2022-23	HOU	20	75	28.9	-0.89	-0.45	-0.44	116th of 354
2021-22	HOU	19	72	20.7	-0.34	-0.74	+0.40	13th of 109

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 34.1 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 96.2.

Alperen Sengun, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	31.4	21.4
Rebounds	13.9	9.5
Offensive	4.9	3.3
Defensive	9.0	6.2
Assists	9.7	6.6
Steals	1.9	1.3
Blocks	1.5	1.0
Turnovers	4.7	3.2
3-pt attempts	2.5	1.7
FG attempts	22.7	15.5
FT attempts	8.1	5.5
FG% · 3P% · FT%	51.9% · 29.1% · 71.3%