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Western Conference
Houston Rockets
Record 0-0Projected 50.9-31.1Playoffs 93.0%Win conference 12.8%Win Finals 6.7%Lottery 7.0%Expected pick 23.3SRS +6.24
DARKO rating · #4 of 30
+7.5 Offense +4.2 Defense +3.4
Worth about 55 wins over 82 games
Ratings through Oct 21, 2026
Where the rating comes from
Each player's DPM times their share of DARKO's projected team minutes, times five for the five players on the floor, split into offense and defense (points per 100 possessions; 0 is an average player). The columns add up to the team's numbers at the bottom, and offense plus defense is net. Players above average add +7.82; the ones below take away 0.28.
- Kevin Durant Offense+2.57 Defense+0.06 Net+2.63
- Alperen Sengun Offense+0.73 Defense+0.69 Net+1.42
- Amen Thompson Offense+0.77 Defense+0.32 Net+1.09
- Fred VanVleet Offense+0.13 Defense+0.53 Net+0.66
- Marcus Smart Offense0.00 Defense+0.63 Net+0.62
- Jabari Smith Jr. Offense+0.41 Defense+0.12 Net+0.53
- Reed Sheppard Offense+0.14 Defense+0.08 Net+0.22
- Oscar Tshiebwe Offense+0.16 Defense+0.04 Net+0.20
- Tari Eason Offense-0.07 Defense+0.23 Net+0.16
- Clint Capela Offense-0.25 Defense+0.37 Net+0.12
- Bogdan Bogdanovic Offense-0.15 Defense+0.03 Net-0.12
Houston Rockets Offense+4.18 Defense+3.36 Net+7.54
Players
| Player | Pos |
|---|
| Player | Pos | DPM | Off | Def | Fair Salary | Box | On/Off | MPG | Pace | Pts/100 | Ast/100 | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Pos | |||||||||||||
| Alperen Sengun | C | +2.1 | +1.1 | +1.0 | $45.1M | -0.1 | +2.9 | 32.3 | 96.9 | 30.6 | 8.9 | 51.2% | 29.3% | 71.2% |
| Amen Thompson | G-F | +1.4 | +1.0 | +0.4 | $35.8M | +1.2 | +1.4 | 36.2 | 97.5 | 24.9 | 7.0 | 53.4% | 28.8% | 74.9% |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | G | -0.6 | -0.8 | +0.1 | $2.8M | -1.2 | -0.5 | 9.2 | 97.6 | 20.9 | 5.3 | 40.1% | 36.5% | 84.3% |
| Bruce Thornton | G | -2.6 | -1.8 | -0.8 | -$0.7M | -2.6 | -1.8 | 1.3 | 98.3 | 22.1 | 5.3 | 40.8% | 34.0% | 79.0% |
| Clint Capela | F-C | +1.0 | -2.1 | +3.0 | $9.4M | +0.6 | +1.0 | 5.8 | 98.0 | 14.2 | 2.7 | 52.8% | 18.3% | 54.0% |
| Fred VanVleet | G | +1.5 | +0.3 | +1.2 | $17.7M | +1.5 | +1.4 | 21.0 | 97.4 | 19.0 | 9.5 | 38.0% | 36.1% | 83.0% |
| Isaiah Crawford | F | -0.5 | -0.4 | -0.2 | $1.7M | -0.5 | -1.7 | 0.3 | 97.9 | 17.6 | 2.4 | 42.0% | 34.8% | 73.9% |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | F | +0.7 | +0.6 | +0.2 | $26.8M | +0.2 | +0.9 | 34.4 | 97.1 | 24.0 | 2.5 | 44.3% | 35.8% | 79.3% |
| Jae'Sean Tate | F | -1.8 | -2.2 | +0.4 | $0.2M | -0.8 | -2.5 | 1.5 | 97.4 | 15.8 | 3.3 | 47.5% | 32.8% | 69.8% |
| Julian Phillips | F | -0.4 | -0.4 | +0.0 | $2.7M | -0.5 | -0.3 | 2.8 | 99.0 | 16.4 | 2.1 | 43.1% | 34.5% | 77.4% |
| Kevin Durant | F-G | +3.5 | +3.5 | +0.1 | $57.6M | +3.4 | +3.5 | 35.4 | 97.2 | 33.4 | 6.4 | 51.4% | 38.6% | 85.2% |
| Marcus Smart | G | +1.3 | -0.0 | +1.3 | $21.1M | -0.3 | +1.5 | 23.5 | 98.5 | 18.0 | 6.4 | 41.0% | 34.3% | 79.1% |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | F-C | +1.2 | +1.0 | +0.2 | $22.6M | +1.5 | -0.6 | 8.0 | 98.6 | 20.8 | 3.2 | 60.3% | 17.1% | 63.5% |
| Quadir Copeland | G | -2.2 | -1.8 | -0.4 | -$0.1M | -2.2 | -2.7 | 1.7 | 98.8 | 16.7 | 4.8 | 45.0% | 31.4% | 71.7% |
| Reed Sheppard | G | +0.7 | +0.4 | +0.2 | $22.2M | +1.3 | -0.1 | 15.3 | 98.3 | 24.6 | 6.7 | 40.8% | 36.3% | 81.0% |
| Steven Adams | C | +2.0 | -1.3 | +3.3 | $15.6M | -0.4 | +2.3 | 4.0 | 98.2 | 11.4 | 3.1 | 52.4% | 15.7% | 51.3% |
| Tari Eason | F | +1.1 | -0.5 | +1.6 | $23.5M | +0.1 | +1.9 | 6.9 | 97.9 | 21.3 | 2.9 | 45.0% | 34.8% | 77.1% |
Core outlook
The rotation by projected minutes: age, rating and how long DARKO expects each player to last.
| Player | Age | DPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson | 23 | +1.4 | 9.7 | 99% |
| Kevin Durant | 38 | +3.5 | 3.1 | 68% |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 23 | +0.7 | 9.3 | 98% |
| Alperen Sengun | 24 | +2.1 | 9.5 | 99% |
| Marcus Smart | 32 | +1.3 | 2.2 | 32% |
| Fred VanVleet | 32 | +1.5 | 2.2 | 32% |
| Reed Sheppard | 22 | +0.7 | 8.4 | 98% |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 34 | -0.6 | 0.4 | 7% |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 26 | +1.2 | 0.8 | 17% |
Payroll against DARKO value
$193.9M of salary for $304.9M of DARKO fair value. The 12 best-paid players:
- Kevin Durant : salary $41.2M, DARKO value $57.6M, surplus +$16.4M
- Alperen Sengun : salary $33.4M, DARKO value $45.1M, surplus +$11.7M
- Fred VanVleet : salary $23.4M, DARKO value $17.7M, surplus -$5.7M
- Jabari Smith Jr. : salary $22.2M, DARKO value $26.8M, surplus +$4.7M
- Tari Eason : salary $13.2M, DARKO value $23.5M, surplus +$10.4M
- Steven Adams : salary $12.2M, DARKO value $15.6M, surplus +$3.4M
- Amen Thompson : salary $11.5M, DARKO value $35.8M, surplus +$24.3M
- Reed Sheppard : salary $10.4M, DARKO value $22.2M, surplus +$11.8M
- Clint Capela : salary $6.6M, DARKO value $9.4M, surplus +$2.8M
- Marcus Smart : salary $5.7M, DARKO value $21.1M, surplus +$15.4M
- Oscar Tshiebwe : salary $2.4M, DARKO value $22.6M, surplus +$20.3M
- Julian Phillips : salary $2.4M, DARKO value $2.7M, surplus +$0.3M
Top Lineups
| Lineup | Poss | Net +/- | Off +/- | Def +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant, Steven Adams, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Amen Thompson | 119 | +9.6 | +5.2 | +4.4 |
| Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Amen Thompson | 542 | +8.4 | +4.7 | +3.8 |
| Kevin Durant, Steven Adams, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson | 182 | +8.3 | +4.1 | +4.3 |
| Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard | 118 | +6.2 | +3.9 | +2.2 |
| Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard | 406 | +4.9 | +4.6 | +0.4 |
Worst Lineups
| Lineup | Poss | Net +/- | Off +/- | Def +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard | 109 | +3.0 | +1.7 | +1.2 |
| Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard | 101 | +4.3 | +1.8 | +2.5 |
Lineups whose five players are all on today's roster, from lineup ratings computed March 26, 2026.