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Western Conference
Houston Rockets
Record 7-1Projected 56.3-25.7Playoffs 98.2%Win conference 20.6%Win Finals 12.3%Lottery 1.8%Expected pick 26.3SRS +8.52
DARKO rating · #3 of 30
+8.0 Offense +4.1 Defense +4.0
Worth about 57 wins over 82 games
Ratings through Nov 2, 2026
Where the rating comes from
Each player's DPM times their share of DARKO's projected team minutes, times five for the five players on the floor, split into offense and defense (points per 100 possessions; 0 is an average player). The columns add up to the team's numbers at the bottom, and offense plus defense is net. Players above average add +8.22; the ones below take away 0.17.
- Kevin Durant Offense+2.34 Defense+0.07 Net+2.41
- Alperen Sengun Offense+0.94 Defense+0.70 Net+1.64
- Amen Thompson Offense+0.71 Defense+0.21 Net+0.92
- Fred VanVleet Offense+0.19 Defense+0.58 Net+0.77
- Tari Eason Offense-0.13 Defense+0.76 Net+0.63
- Marcus Smart Offense+0.01 Defense+0.54 Net+0.55
- Jabari Smith Jr. Offense+0.33 Defense+0.19 Net+0.52
- Reed Sheppard Offense+0.17 Defense+0.06 Net+0.23
- Oscar Tshiebwe Offense+0.16 Defense+0.07 Net+0.22
- Clint Capela Offense-0.37 Defense+0.54 Net+0.17
- Bogdan Bogdanovic Offense-0.05 Defense-0.02 Net-0.06
Houston Rockets Offense+4.09 Defense+3.96 Net+8.05
Players
| Player | Pos |
|---|
| Player | Pos | DPM | Off | Def | Fair Salary | Box | On/Off | MPG | Pace | Pts/100 | Ast/100 | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Pos | |||||||||||||
| Alperen Sengun | C | +2.4 | +1.4 | +1.0 | $40.9M | +1.0 | +2.9 | 34.1 | 96.2 | 31.4 | 9.7 | 51.9% | 29.1% | 71.3% |
| Amen Thompson | G-F | +1.4 | +1.0 | +0.3 | $35.6M | +0.6 | +1.6 | 34.4 | 96.3 | 25.8 | 6.6 | 53.7% | 29.0% | 75.6% |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | G | -0.5 | -0.4 | -0.1 | $5.9M | -0.1 | -0.6 | 6.7 | 96.1 | 21.8 | 5.2 | 41.0% | 37.1% | 85.5% |
| Bruce Thornton | G | -2.8 | -1.6 | -1.1 | -$0.5M | -2.8 | -2.0 | 1.2 | 97.6 | 23.0 | 4.6 | 41.1% | 34.3% | 79.4% |
| Clint Capela | F-C | +0.9 | -2.0 | +3.0 | $16.7M | +0.5 | +0.9 | 9.2 | 96.3 | 13.9 | 3.2 | 54.7% | 18.3% | 53.4% |
| Fred VanVleet | G | +1.5 | +0.4 | +1.2 | $29.1M | +1.5 | +1.5 | 25.4 | 96.2 | 20.3 | 9.5 | 38.1% | 36.4% | 83.7% |
| Isaiah Crawford | F | -0.8 | -0.6 | -0.2 | $2.1M | -0.8 | -1.5 | 1.2 | 96.0 | 17.5 | 2.3 | 42.2% | 35.6% | 74.1% |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | F | +0.8 | +0.5 | +0.3 | $28.5M | -0.0 | +1.1 | 35.0 | 95.9 | 24.7 | 2.9 | 44.6% | 36.6% | 80.7% |
| Jae'Sean Tate | F | -1.9 | -2.2 | +0.3 | $0.2M | -1.0 | -2.5 | 1.1 | 95.9 | 15.3 | 3.4 | 47.2% | 32.9% | 69.5% |
| Julian Phillips | F | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.0 | $5.7M | -0.5 | -0.3 | 3.0 | 97.7 | 16.7 | 2.2 | 43.0% | 34.9% | 77.2% |
| Kevin Durant | F-G | +3.7 | +3.5 | +0.1 | $57.7M | +3.0 | +3.7 | 33.4 | 96.6 | 32.8 | 5.9 | 51.5% | 38.9% | 85.5% |
| Marcus Smart | G | +1.3 | +0.0 | +1.3 | $25.8M | -0.2 | +1.5 | 21.7 | 96.7 | 19.6 | 6.6 | 40.7% | 35.2% | 80.1% |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | F-C | +1.9 | +1.3 | +0.6 | $7.9M | +2.3 | -0.2 | 5.9 | 97.0 | 20.0 | 3.3 | 61.5% | 17.3% | 62.3% |
| Quadir Copeland | G | -2.1 | -1.7 | -0.4 | -$0.4M | -2.1 | -2.6 | 1.5 | 97.5 | 16.6 | 4.9 | 45.4% | 31.8% | 71.6% |
| Reed Sheppard | G | +0.8 | +0.6 | +0.2 | $13.0M | +1.5 | -0.1 | 14.7 | 96.7 | 25.0 | 7.2 | 40.8% | 36.8% | 81.9% |
| Steven Adams | C | +1.8 | -1.3 | +3.2 | $8.9M | -1.3 | +2.3 | 4.4 | 97.0 | 11.7 | 3.4 | 53.6% | 19.7% | 51.8% |
| Tari Eason | F | +1.4 | -0.3 | +1.7 | $23.4M | +0.4 | +2.2 | 22.5 | 96.7 | 21.6 | 2.9 | 45.3% | 35.4% | 78.8% |
Core outlook
The rotation by projected minutes: age, rating and how long DARKO expects each player to last.
| Player | Age | DPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 23 | +0.8 | 10.0 | 99% |
| Amen Thompson | 23 | +1.4 | 10.7 | 99% |
| Alperen Sengun | 24 | +2.4 | 10.7 | 99% |
| Kevin Durant | 38 | +3.7 | 4.1 | 73% |
| Fred VanVleet | 32 | +1.5 | 2.7 | 47% |
| Tari Eason | 25 | +1.4 | 6.4 | 93% |
| Marcus Smart | 32 | +1.3 | 2.5 | 40% |
| Reed Sheppard | 22 | +0.8 | 8.7 | 97% |
| Clint Capela | 32 | +0.9 | 1.3 | 17% |
Payroll against DARKO value
$206.8M of salary for $301.4M of DARKO fair value. The 12 best-paid players:
- Kevin Durant : salary $43.9M, DARKO value $57.7M, surplus +$13.8M
- Alperen Sengun : salary $35.6M, DARKO value $40.9M, surplus +$5.2M
- Fred VanVleet : salary $25.0M, DARKO value $29.1M, surplus +$4.1M
- Jabari Smith Jr. : salary $23.6M, DARKO value $28.5M, surplus +$4.9M
- Tari Eason : salary $14.1M, DARKO value $23.4M, surplus +$9.4M
- Steven Adams : salary $13.0M, DARKO value $8.9M, surplus -$4.1M
- Amen Thompson : salary $12.3M, DARKO value $35.6M, surplus +$23.3M
- Reed Sheppard : salary $11.1M, DARKO value $13.0M, surplus +$1.9M
- Clint Capela : salary $7.0M, DARKO value $16.7M, surplus +$9.6M
- Marcus Smart : salary $6.1M, DARKO value $25.8M, surplus +$19.7M
- Oscar Tshiebwe : salary $2.5M, DARKO value $7.9M, surplus +$5.4M
- Julian Phillips : salary $2.5M, DARKO value $5.7M, surplus +$3.1M
Top Lineups
| Lineup | Poss | Net +/- | Off +/- | Def +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant, Steven Adams, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson | 183 | +9.5 | +5.0 | +4.5 |
| Kevin Durant, Steven Adams, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Amen Thompson | 120 | +9.4 | +4.9 | +4.5 |
| Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Amen Thompson | 622 | +8.4 | +5.1 | +3.2 |
| Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard | 308 | +5.0 | +3.1 | +1.9 |
| Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard | 183 | +4.6 | +3.3 | +1.3 |
Worst Lineups
| Lineup | Poss | Net +/- | Off +/- | Def +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard | 137 | +0.8 | -1.5 | +2.4 |
| Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard | 133 | +1.9 | +2.1 | -0.2 |
| Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard | 562 | +4.1 | +3.8 | +0.3 |
Lineups whose five players are all on today's roster, from lineup ratings computed November 4, 2026.